German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated 1 day ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
12/11/2021 02:30 PM	Dortmund VfL Bochum	58.5% 24.0%	17.5%	-200 +525 -205 +519	1 1	-1.60306-1.59297	-1.74343
12/10/2021 07:30 PM	Augsburg FC Koln	29.5% 48.1%	22.4%	+415 -140 +400 -142	2 0	-1.65963-1.64558	-1.22220
12/05/2021 04:30 PM	Freiburg Borussia Monchengladbach	27.5% 50.7%	21.7%	+348 -117 +346 -125	6 0	-1.51827-1.53716	-1.28949
12/05/2021 02:30 PM	Hertha BSC VfB Stuttgart	30.1% 46.8%	23.0%	+275 +120 +270 +115	2 2	-1.27995-1.28388	-1.46768
12/04/2021 05:30 PM	Bayern Munich Dortmund	48.5% 29.5%	22.0%	-108 +281 -109 +260	3 2	-0.66957-0.68500	-0.72328
12/04/2021 02:30 PM	SpVgg Greuther Furth Bayer 04 Leverkusen	12.2% 80.5%	7.3%	+1300 -500 +1250 -450	1 7	-0.21802-0.22507	-0.21714
12/04/2021 02:30 PM	Eintracht Frankfurt Hoffenheim	31.9% 45.2%	22.9%	+290 -101 +290 -107	2 3	-0.69703-0.68294	-0.79323
12/04/2021 02:30 PM	Wolfsburg Mainz 05	38.5% 35.1%	26.4%	+240 +125 +234 +120	0 3	-0.83896-0.83540	-1.04774
12/04/2021 02:30 PM	VfL Bochum Augsburg	32.3% 43.3%	24.4%	+230 +125 +230 +125	3 2	-1.22656-1.23138	-1.12877
12/03/2021 07:30 PM	RB Leipzig Union Berlin	47.8% 28.7%	23.5%	+108 +289 +100 +274	1 2	-1.37015-1.36324	-1.24761
11/28/2021 04:30 PM	Bayer 04 Leverkusen RB Leipzig	25.7% 53.8%	20.6%	+283 -101 +265 -105	3 1	-1.36266-1.33454	-1.36051
11/28/2021 02:30 PM	Union Berlin Eintracht Frankfurt	27.9% 50.9%	21.2%	+222 +146 +220 +145	1 2	-0.91827-0.92872	-0.67462
11/27/2021 05:30 PM	Arminia Bielefeld Bayern Munich	6.1% 90.1%	3.8%	+2800 -1200 +2600 -1400	0 1	-0.11366-0.11520	-0.10465
11/27/2021 02:30 PM	Dortmund Wolfsburg	40.4% 34.2%	25.4%	+159 +191 +150 +187	3 1	-0.97188-0.96215	-0.90565
11/27/2021 02:30 PM	Augsburg Hertha BSC	26.2% 53.3%	20.5%	+354 -105 +338 -110	1 1	-1.26044-1.28576	-1.58582
11/27/2021 02:30 PM	Borussia Monchengladbach FC Koln	47.0% 30.6%	22.5%	+135 +205 +135 +201	1 4	-1.13997-1.14369	-1.18548

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.