German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Freiburg
VfL Bochum
40.8%
33.7%
25.4%
+145
+210
+140
+220
1
2
-1.15594-1.20397-1.08637
Hoffenheim
SpVgg Greuther Furth
51.1%
27.8%
21.1%
-165
+420
-165
+415
6
3
-0.51028-0.51019-0.67142
Mainz 05
VfB Stuttgart
30.5%
45.8%
23.7%
+175
+170
+180
+170
1
2
-1.02527-1.02424-0.78165
FC Koln
Mainz 05
26.9%
52.4%
20.6%
+260
+110
+260
+110
1
1
-1.30199-1.28125-1.57779
Eintracht Frankfurt
Freiburg
31.0%
45.8%
23.2%
+315
-105
+320
-110
2
0
-1.44418-1.47399-1.17038
Hertha BSC
Union Berlin
26.8%
51.7%
21.5%
+345
+102
+325
-105
0
2
-0.71775-0.70981-0.65933
VfB Stuttgart
Dortmund
16.4%
73.2%
10.5%
+837
-278
+800
-290
1
2
-0.32534-0.34045-0.31236
VfL Bochum
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
17.1%
71.3%
11.7%
+650
-215
+645
-223
0
1
-0.40800-0.41627-0.33843
SpVgg Greuther Furth
Borussia Monchengladbach
14.5%
76.8%
8.7%
+1000
-350
+1000
-335
0
4
-0.27959-0.29853-0.26404
RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim
45.3%
31.0%
23.7%
-127
+350
-130
+350
0
2
-1.52092-1.53211-1.17096
Wolfsburg
Arminia Bielefeld
44.0%
30.0%
26.0%
+105
+312
-102
+325
2
2
-1.24810-1.25544-1.34854
Bayern Munich
Augsburg
81.0%
11.9%
7.1%
-486
+1400
-525
+1300
1
2
-2.72830-2.68458-2.12846
Eintracht Frankfurt
SpVgg Greuther Furth
47.1%
30.7%
22.2%
+103
+276
+110
+265
2
1
-0.73158-0.77024-0.75235
Union Berlin
FC Koln
38.8%
35.5%
25.7%
+290
+106
+280
+101
2
2
-1.29430-1.28764-1.35751
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Hertha BSC
44.8%
31.2%
24.1%
+121
+247
+115
+240
1
1
-1.29517-1.28627-1.42391
Dortmund
RB Leipzig
28.9%
49.0%
22.1%
+315
-116
+300
-110
1
2
-0.64510-0.67641-0.71308
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.