German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated 1 day ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
11/06/2021 02:30 PM	Freiburg Bayern Munich	10.5% 83.2%	6.3%	+1497 -552 +1400 -580	1 2	-0.19052-0.20422	-0.18379
11/06/2021 02:30 PM	Augsburg Wolfsburg	18.9% 66.7%	14.4%	+525 -165 +515 -170	0 1	-0.49431-0.50102	-0.40440
11/06/2021 02:30 PM	Arminia Bielefeld VfB Stuttgart	24.8% 53.7%	21.5%	+325 +103 +320 -102	1 0	-1.45261-1.46746	-1.39292
11/06/2021 02:30 PM	Hoffenheim VfL Bochum	41.4% 34.0%	24.7%	-105 +295 -105 +281	0 2	-1.38713-1.37543	-1.07955
11/05/2021 07:30 PM	Borussia Monchengladbach Mainz 05	41.5% 33.6%	24.9%	+168 +173 +162 +165	1 1	-1.29393-1.30685	-1.39026
10/31/2021 04:30 PM	VfL Bochum Borussia Monchengladbach	20.0% 66.3%	13.8%	+848 -286 +820 -285	1 2	-0.32484-0.34480	-0.41161
10/31/2021 02:30 PM	VfB Stuttgart Augsburg	37.6% 36.3%	26.1%	+178 +177 +170 +170	1 4	-1.03789-1.04055	-1.01261
10/30/2021 04:30 PM	RB Leipzig Eintracht Frankfurt	44.9% 31.7%	23.4%	-135 +388 -140 +365	1 1	-1.44694-1.43355	-1.45449
10/30/2021 01:30 PM	SpVgg Greuther Furth Freiburg	21.4% 62.1%	16.4%	+671 -224 +700 -246	1 3	-0.39433-0.37455	-0.47615
10/30/2021 01:30 PM	Mainz 05 Arminia Bielefeld	30.2% 44.2%	25.6%	+119 +260 +110 +260	2 1	-0.80223-0.78891	-1.19703
10/30/2021 01:30 PM	Wolfsburg Bayer 04 Leverkusen	28.5% 48.2%	23.3%	+316 -108 +300 -105	2 0	-1.44469-1.41614	-1.25492
10/30/2021 01:30 PM	FC Koln Dortmund	12.9% 80.2%	6.9%	+532 -201 +510 -215	0 2	-0.42909-0.43086	-0.22118
10/30/2021 01:30 PM	Bayern Munich Union Berlin	69.1% 18.0%	13.0%	-297 +848 -315 +800	5 2	-0.31219-0.31457	-0.37018
10/29/2021 06:30 PM	Hertha BSC Hoffenheim	25.6% 55.0%	19.4%	+412 -120 +350 -133	0 2	-0.58711-0.59986	-0.59869
10/24/2021 05:30 PM	Eintracht Frankfurt VfL Bochum	43.7% 33.0%	23.4%	+108 +265 +105 +250	0 2	-1.31249-1.29773	-1.11012
10/24/2021 03:30 PM	Union Berlin VfB Stuttgart	29.0% 47.8%	23.2%	+209 +145 +210 +135	1 1	-1.26185-1.26514	-1.46149

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.