German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
FC Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt 		15.3%
68.0%		16.7%
+484
-188
+475
-195
1.20
2.64		3.84
o3-110
u3+100
o3-115
u3-105
Augsburg
Dortmund 		14.1%
69.2%		16.7%
+600
-226
+570
-235
1.10
2.59		3.69
o3-119
u3+106
o3-120
u3+100
Bayern Munich
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 		57.6%
20.8%		21.6%
-179
+430
-160
+415
1.98
1.10		3.08
o3½-105
u3½-108
o3½+100
u3½-115
Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim 		16.0%
64.3%		19.6%
+555
-216
+500
-205
0.98
2.16		3.14
o3¼-112
u3¼+101
o3½+115
u3½-130
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Monchengladbach 		24.9%
53.1%		21.9%
+345
+101
+315
-105
3.24
o2¼-101
u2¼-110
o2-135
u2½-145
1st H
26:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
SpVgg Greuther Furth
Wolfsburg		15.2%
74.5%		10.3%
+535
-160
+550
-170
1
4		-0.51760-0.50173-0.29391
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Dortmund		26.6%
53.1%		20.4%
+260
-100
+260
-105
5
2		-1.29612-1.32013-1.32490
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich		18.9%
67.4%		13.7%
+600
-228
+575
-250
2
3		-0.38009-0.38365-0.39463
Eintracht Frankfurt
VfB Stuttgart		37.4%
37.5%		25.1%
+199
+151
+186
+150
3
2		-1.11529-1.08957-0.98369
Hoffenheim
Mainz 05		35.8%
38.3%		25.8%
+168
+172
+170
+168
0
2		-1.03493-1.02443-0.95902
Union Berlin
Augsburg		39.5%
34.4%		26.2%
+165
+185
+163
+185
0
2		-1.07546-1.08907-1.06828
Borussia Monchengladbach
Arminia Bielefeld		46.4%
29.2%		24.3%
+110
+277
+115
+269
1
1		-1.26919-1.26401-1.41284
Freiburg
FC Koln		41.9%
33.3%		24.9%
+185
+162
+195
+152
0
1		-0.97732-0.94554-1.09994
VfL Bochum
Hertha BSC		28.0%
50.7%		21.3%
+215
+135
+225
+140
1
1		-1.28107-1.25250-1.54524
Bayern Munich
Hertha BSC		75.6%
15.0%		9.4%
-509
+1300
-575
+1375
4
1		-0.20670-0.20039-0.28032
Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig		21.7%
61.1%		17.2%
+562
-180
+540
-188
0
2		-0.46796-0.47257-0.49274
FC Koln
VfL Bochum		30.2%
47.3%		22.5%
+125
+229
+130
+213
2
2		-1.29248-1.28363-1.49330
Augsburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		15.6%
73.5%		10.9%
+660
-229
+615
-240
1
5		-0.38502-0.39693-0.30753
Union Berlin
Borussia Monchengladbach		25.2%
55.1%		19.7%
+300
+104
+276
+105
2
1		-1.40564-1.36000-1.37797
VfB Stuttgart
Freiburg		24.9%
55.2%		19.9%
+362
-113
+355
-115
0
2		-0.65759-0.66142-0.59377
Dortmund
Hoffenheim		44.5%
32.0%		23.4%
-104
+262
-105
+250
3
2		-0.69431-0.70550-0.80916
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.