German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt 		15.3%
68.0%		16.7%
+484
-188
+475
-195
1.20
2.64		3.84
o3-110
u3+100
o3-115
u3-105
Augsburg
Dortmund 		14.1%
69.2%		16.7%
+577
-222
+570
-235
1.10
2.59		3.69
o3-118
u3+104
o3-120
u3+100
Bayern Munich
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 		57.6%
20.8%		21.6%
-179
+440
-185
+420
1.98
1.10		3.08
o3½-105
u3½-106
o3½+100
u3½-115
Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim 		16.0%
64.3%		19.6%
+555
-216
+500
-205
0.98
2.16		3.14
o3¼-112
u3¼+101
o3½+115
u3½-130
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Dortmund
Hoffenheim		44.5%
32.0%		23.4%
-104
+262
-105
+250
3
2		-0.69431-0.70550-0.80916
Mainz 05
SpVgg Greuther Furth		42.6%
32.7%		24.7%
-110
+350
-115
+380
1
2		-1.52537-1.58939-1.11825
Arminia Bielefeld
Eintracht Frankfurt		20.9%
62.9%		16.2%
+456
-140
+430
-136
2
0		-1.73824-1.70024-1.56643
Eintracht Frankfurt
Augsburg		44.6%
32.0%		23.3%
+164
+185
+138
+210
1
1		-1.25769-1.23870-1.45509
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Borussia Monchengladbach		33.9%
41.1%		25.0%
+120
+228
+130
+221
2
1		-0.80096-0.84234-1.08164
Hertha BSC
Wolfsburg		22.9%
59.2%		17.9%
+333
-101
+340
-105
0
0		-1.26969-1.26727-1.71931
Hoffenheim
Union Berlin		32.4%
42.8%		24.8%
+150
+205
+145
+195
1
2		-1.13355-1.12224-0.84873
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart		53.6%
26.0%		20.4%
-163
+509
-160
+485
2
0		-0.50134-0.51529-0.62276
VfL Bochum
Mainz 05		27.4%
51.4%		21.2%
+500
-150
+465
-150
0
1		-0.53690-0.55701-0.66561
Bayern Munich
FC Koln		80.2%
12.8%		7.1%
-232
+562
-255
+585
4
0		-0.38188-0.36691-0.22111
Freiburg
Dortmund		20.9%
63.5%		15.6%
+565
-216
+550
-230
1
5		-0.40708-0.40758-0.45422
Wolfsburg
VfL Bochum		43.5%
31.8%		24.6%
+130
+240
+132
+240
0
1		-1.25082-1.25155-1.14467
Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt		43.4%
33.2%		23.4%
-124
+345
-125
+320
3
2		-0.60486-0.63051-0.83372
Mainz 05
RB Leipzig		15.7%
73.3%		11.0%
+385
-135
+365
-132
1
4		-0.58756-0.61002-0.31012
Union Berlin
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		22.1%
60.1%		17.7%
+367
-125
+342
-130
2
2		-1.39634-1.40772-1.72918
Arminia Bielefeld
Freiburg		20.7%
61.0%		18.3%
+415
-130
+400
-115
2
2		-1.34746-1.33302-1.70007
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.70932 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71523 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.63247
0.07685
0.08276

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.