German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
FC Koln		53.3%
26.5%		20.3%
+122
+220
+115
+205
2
2		-1.38974-1.39946-1.59608
Borussia Monchengladbach
Hertha BSC		39.9%
35.1%		25.0%
+120
+256
+115
+250
0
1		-1.28291-1.29026-1.04617
SpVgg Greuther Furth
RB Leipzig		11.1%
82.4%		6.5%
+2172
-785
+2000
-800
1
4		-0.14681-0.15978-0.19340
Freiburg
Wolfsburg		24.5%
55.1%		20.4%
+266
+120
+260
+120
2
0		-1.31830-1.32017-1.40723
Hoffenheim
Bayern Munich		11.5%
82.2%		6.3%
+1365
-500
+1250
-570
0
4		-0.20125-0.21025-0.19589
Dortmund
Arminia Bielefeld		54.4%
24.9%		20.7%
-190
+554
-200
+545
3
1		-0.44572-0.45577-0.60871
Augsburg
Mainz 05		28.7%
48.4%		22.9%
+528
-155
+525
-160
1
4		-0.52106-0.52003-0.72530
Arminia Bielefeld
Augsburg		31.0%
43.0%		26.0%
+285
+123
+260
+117
1
1		-1.20294-1.22394-1.34727
Bayern Munich
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		54.0%
25.9%		20.1%
-150
+380
-155
+352
5
1		-0.53171-0.54787-0.61669
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Monchengladbach		26.5%
53.3%		20.1%
+560
-187
+550
-200
1
1		-1.58494-1.54590-1.60221
VfL Bochum
SpVgg Greuther Furth		32.9%
42.8%		24.3%
+221
+131
+212
+125
1
0		-1.18899-1.18725-1.11194
Hertha BSC
Eintracht Frankfurt		24.7%
57.7%		17.6%
+407
-134
+386
-140
2
1		-1.64610-1.63066-1.39922
RB Leipzig
Freiburg		48.4%
28.4%		23.1%
-105
+308
-105
+285
1
1		-1.36496-1.34565-1.46443
Mainz 05
Dortmund		15.5%
74.6%		10.0%
+700
-234
+614
-245
1
3		-0.36826-0.38939-0.29350
Wolfsburg
Union Berlin		38.2%
35.0%		26.8%
+235
+163
+222
+140
0
2		-0.95818-0.91822-1.05002
FC Koln
Hoffenheim		21.2%
63.9%		14.9%
+245
+111
+240
+105
0
5		-0.75734-0.76260-0.44763
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.