German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated 2 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
09/11/2021 01:30 PM	Dortmund Bayer 04 Leverkusen	35.3% 39.2%	25.4%	+125 +205 +122 +205	4 3	-0.83926-0.84151	-1.04010
09/11/2021 01:30 PM	Augsburg Union Berlin	25.2% 54.2%	20.6%	+425 -139 +401 -135	0 0	-1.39865-1.40060	-1.58129
08/29/2021 03:30 PM	RB Leipzig Wolfsburg	39.9% 33.9%	26.2%	+125 +230 +122 +235	0 1	-1.22656-1.25534	-1.08114
08/29/2021 01:30 PM	Borussia Monchengladbach Union Berlin	36.5% 37.2%	26.3%	+187 +165 +180 +160	1 2	-0.99428-1.00376	-0.98779
08/28/2021 04:30 PM	Hertha BSC Bayern Munich	8.3% 87.6%	4.1%	+1650 -600 +1550 -700	0 5	-0.17922-0.18223	-0.13222
08/28/2021 01:30 PM	SpVgg Greuther Furth Mainz 05	25.2% 55.4%	19.4%	+490 -175 +480 -180	0 3	-0.48457-0.48250	-0.59144
08/28/2021 01:30 PM	VfL Bochum FC Koln	30.3% 47.3%	22.5%	+393 -143 +380 -135	1 2	-0.56256-0.58241	-0.74938
08/28/2021 01:30 PM	Bayer 04 Leverkusen Augsburg	49.8% 28.0%	22.2%	-140 +425 -140 +392	4 1	-0.56254-0.58173	-0.69756
08/28/2021 01:30 PM	Freiburg VfB Stuttgart	30.6% 45.3%	24.1%	+240 +115 +237 +115	3 2	-1.26012-1.25751	-1.18378
08/28/2021 01:30 PM	Eintracht Frankfurt Arminia Bielefeld	41.3% 33.1%	25.6%	+105 +260 +105 +250	1 1	-1.33351-1.34715	-1.36219
08/27/2021 06:30 PM	Hoffenheim Dortmund	20.7% 64.9%	14.3%	+615 -245 +560 -260	2 3	-0.36892-0.37198	-0.43188
08/22/2021 03:30 PM	FC Koln Bayern Munich	6.5% 90.8%	2.7%	+1930 -730 +2000 -810	2 3	-0.15310-0.15344	-0.09684
08/22/2021 01:30 PM	Union Berlin Hoffenheim	27.4% 50.7%	21.8%	+255 +105 +288 +105	2 2	-1.35728-1.30398	-1.52211
08/21/2021 04:30 PM	Borussia Monchengladbach Bayer 04 Leverkusen	26.9% 52.3%	20.9%	+225 +125 +215 +124	0 4	-0.84042-0.84954	-0.64898
08/21/2021 01:30 PM	Mainz 05 VfL Bochum	34.2% 40.5%	25.3%	+145 +200 +150 +193	0 2	-1.12948-1.11319	-0.90500
08/21/2021 01:30 PM	Dortmund Freiburg	46.5% 30.2%	23.3%	-130 +350 -136 +400	1 2	-1.52129-1.62095	-1.19809

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.