German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Wolfsburg
Hertha BSC
41.8%
33.0%
25.2%
+122
+235
+130
+234
2
1
-0.83158-0.85668-0.87139
Augsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
21.3%
63.9%
14.8%
+420
-155
+420
-162
0
0
-1.51745-1.49548-1.91081
VfB Stuttgart
RB Leipzig
17.4%
70.3%
12.3%
+550
-190
+563
-215
0
4
-0.44441-0.42704-0.35308
RB Leipzig
Mainz 05
57.5%
23.8%
18.8%
-179
+675
-240
+650
0
1
-2.01786-2.05338-1.43708
Eintracht Frankfurt
Dortmund
22.8%
61.8%
15.4%
+545
-195
+525
-220
2
5
-0.42414-0.42498-0.48133
VfL Bochum
Wolfsburg
17.6%
69.7%
12.7%
+606
-220
+595
-200
0
1
-0.40342-0.42674-0.36141
SpVgg Greuther Furth
VfB Stuttgart
22.3%
61.1%
16.6%
+320
-120
+313
-120
1
5
-0.64219-0.64794-0.49267
Hoffenheim
Augsburg
43.4%
32.2%
24.4%
+120
+230
+118
+225
4
0
-0.81240-0.81186-0.83437
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Union Berlin
41.5%
32.9%
25.6%
+180
+186
+177
+170
1
1
-1.20371-1.22775-1.36191
Freiburg
Arminia Bielefeld
35.2%
36.5%
28.3%
+150
+205
+150
+204
0
0
-1.21359-1.19277-1.26394
Bayern Munich
Borussia Monchengladbach
61.0%
22.7%
16.4%
-140
+394
-145
+360
1
1
-1.59509-1.49046-1.80923
Holstein Kiel
FC Koln
30.9%
46.6%
22.5%
+425
-140
+430
-150
1
0
-1.68799-1.71497-1.17341
Mainz 05
Wolfsburg
22.0%
60.6%
17.4%
+326
-122
+385
-120
3
2
-1.47709-1.57152-1.51490
Hertha BSC
Hoffenheim
28.5%
50.1%
21.4%
+355
-140
+338
-105
1
2
-0.56644-0.64173-0.69159
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Dortmund
35.6%
39.0%
25.5%
+440
-180
+450
-180
1
3
-0.47387-0.48078-0.94287
Augsburg
Bayern Munich
8.5%
87.1%
4.4%
+1600
-710
+1600
-760
2
5
-0.16500-0.17030-0.13858
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.