German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt 		15.3%
68.0%		16.7%
+455
-172
+475
-195
1.20
2.64		3.84
o3-112
u3+100
o3-115
u3-105
Augsburg
Dortmund 		14.1%
69.2%		16.7%
+560
-205
+570
-235
1.10
2.59		3.69
o3-115
u3+102
o3-120
u3+100
Bayern Munich
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 		57.6%
20.8%		21.6%
-185
+485
-185
+420
1.98
1.10		3.08
o3½-106
u3½-106
o3½+100
u3½-115
Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim 		16.0%
64.3%		19.6%
+580
-222
+580
-240
0.98
2.16		3.14
o3¼-118
u3¼+104
o3½+115
u3½-130
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hertha BSC
Union Berlin		26.8%
51.7%		21.5%
+345
+102
+325
-105
0
2		-0.71775-0.70981-0.65933
VfB Stuttgart
Dortmund		16.4%
73.2%		10.5%
+837
-278
+800
-290
1
2		-0.32534-0.34045-0.31236
VfL Bochum
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		17.1%
71.3%		11.7%
+650
-215
+645
-223
0
1		-0.40800-0.41627-0.33843
SpVgg Greuther Furth
Borussia Monchengladbach		14.5%
76.8%		8.7%
+1000
-350
+1000
-335
0
4		-0.27959-0.29853-0.26404
RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim		45.3%
31.0%		23.7%
-127
+350
-130
+350
0
2		-1.52092-1.53211-1.17096
Wolfsburg
Arminia Bielefeld		44.0%
30.0%		26.0%
+105
+312
-102
+325
2
2		-1.24810-1.25544-1.34854
Bayern Munich
Augsburg		81.0%
11.9%		7.1%
-486
+1400
-525
+1300
1
2		-2.72830-2.68458-2.12846
Eintracht Frankfurt
SpVgg Greuther Furth		47.1%
30.7%		22.2%
+103
+276
+110
+265
2
1		-0.73158-0.77024-0.75235
Union Berlin
FC Koln		38.8%
35.5%		25.7%
+290
+106
+280
+101
2
2		-1.29430-1.28764-1.35751
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Hertha BSC		44.8%
31.2%		24.1%
+121
+247
+115
+240
1
1		-1.29517-1.28627-1.42391
Dortmund
RB Leipzig		28.9%
49.0%		22.1%
+315
-116
+300
-110
1
2		-0.64510-0.67641-0.71308
Freiburg
Bayern Munich		10.5%
83.2%		6.3%
+1497
-552
+1400
-580
1
2		-0.19052-0.20422-0.18379
Augsburg
Wolfsburg		18.9%
66.7%		14.4%
+525
-165
+515
-170
0
1		-0.49431-0.50102-0.40440
Arminia Bielefeld
VfB Stuttgart		24.8%
53.7%		21.5%
+325
+103
+320
-102
1
0		-1.45261-1.46746-1.39292
Hoffenheim
VfL Bochum		41.4%
34.0%		24.7%
-105
+295
-105
+281
0
2		-1.38713-1.37543-1.07955
Borussia Monchengladbach
Mainz 05		41.5%
33.6%		24.9%
+168
+173
+162
+165
1
1		-1.29393-1.30685-1.39026
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.70932 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71523 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.63247
0.07685
0.08276

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.