German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt 		15.3%
68.0%		16.7%
+460
-175
+475
-195
1.20
2.64		3.84
o3-112
u3+100
o3-115
u3-105
Augsburg
Dortmund 		14.1%
69.2%		16.7%
+530
-196
+570
-235
1.10
2.59		3.69
o3-112
u3-101
o3-120
u3+100
Bayern Munich
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 		57.6%
20.8%		21.6%
-178
+440
-185
+440
1.98
1.10		3.08
o3½-110
u3½-103
o3½-105
u3½-115
Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim 		16.0%
64.3%		19.6%
+580
-222
+580
-240
0.98
2.16		3.14
o3¼-118
u3¼+104
o3½+110
u3½-130
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
VfL Bochum
Borussia Monchengladbach		20.0%
66.3%		13.8%
+848
-286
+820
-285
1
2		-0.32484-0.34480-0.41161
VfB Stuttgart
Augsburg		37.6%
36.3%		26.1%
+178
+177
+170
+170
1
4		-1.03789-1.04055-1.01261
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt		44.9%
31.7%		23.4%
-135
+388
-140
+365
1
1		-1.44694-1.43355-1.45449
SpVgg Greuther Furth
Freiburg		21.4%
62.1%		16.4%
+671
-224
+700
-246
1
3		-0.39433-0.37455-0.47615
Mainz 05
Arminia Bielefeld		30.2%
44.2%		25.6%
+119
+260
+110
+260
2
1		-0.80223-0.78891-1.19703
Wolfsburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		28.5%
48.2%		23.3%
+316
-108
+300
-105
2
0		-1.44469-1.41614-1.25492
FC Koln
Dortmund		12.9%
80.2%		6.9%
+532
-201
+510
-215
0
2		-0.42909-0.43086-0.22118
Bayern Munich
Union Berlin		69.1%
18.0%		13.0%
-297
+848
-315
+800
5
2		-0.31219-0.31457-0.37018
Hertha BSC
Hoffenheim		25.6%
55.0%		19.4%
+412
-120
+350
-133
0
2		-0.58711-0.59986-0.59869
Eintracht Frankfurt
VfL Bochum		43.7%
33.0%		23.4%
+108
+265
+105
+250
0
2		-1.31249-1.29773-1.11012
Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart		29.0%
47.8%		23.2%
+209
+145
+210
+135
1
1		-1.26185-1.26514-1.46149
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
FC Koln		53.3%
26.5%		20.3%
+122
+220
+115
+205
2
2		-1.38974-1.39946-1.59608
Borussia Monchengladbach
Hertha BSC		39.9%
35.1%		25.0%
+120
+256
+115
+250
0
1		-1.28291-1.29026-1.04617
SpVgg Greuther Furth
RB Leipzig		11.1%
82.4%		6.5%
+2172
-785
+2000
-800
1
4		-0.14681-0.15978-0.19340
Freiburg
Wolfsburg		24.5%
55.1%		20.4%
+266
+120
+260
+120
2
0		-1.31830-1.32017-1.40723
Hoffenheim
Bayern Munich		11.5%
82.2%		6.3%
+1365
-500
+1250
-570
0
4		-0.20125-0.21025-0.19589
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.70932 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71523 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.63247
0.07685
0.08276

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.