German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt 		15.3%
68.0%		16.7%
+455
-175
+475
-195
1.20
2.64		3.84
o3-112
u3+100
o3-115
u3-105
Augsburg
Dortmund 		14.1%
69.2%		16.7%
+530
-197
+570
-235
1.10
2.59		3.69
o3-112
u3+100
o3-120
u3+100
Bayern Munich
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 		57.6%
20.8%		21.6%
-180
+440
-185
+440
1.98
1.10		3.08
o3½-113
u3¾-116
o3½-105
u3½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim 		16.0%
64.3%		19.6%
+640
-228
+580
-240
0.98
2.16		3.14
o3¼-119
u3¼+106
o3½+110
u3½-130
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Dortmund
Arminia Bielefeld		54.4%
24.9%		20.7%
-190
+554
-200
+545
3
1		-0.44572-0.45577-0.60871
Augsburg
Mainz 05		28.7%
48.4%		22.9%
+528
-155
+525
-160
1
4		-0.52106-0.52003-0.72530
Arminia Bielefeld
Augsburg		31.0%
43.0%		26.0%
+285
+123
+260
+117
1
1		-1.20294-1.22394-1.34727
Bayern Munich
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		54.0%
25.9%		20.1%
-150
+380
-155
+352
5
1		-0.53171-0.54787-0.61669
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Monchengladbach		26.5%
53.3%		20.1%
+560
-187
+550
-200
1
1		-1.58494-1.54590-1.60221
VfL Bochum
SpVgg Greuther Furth		32.9%
42.8%		24.3%
+221
+131
+212
+125
1
0		-1.18899-1.18725-1.11194
Hertha BSC
Eintracht Frankfurt		24.7%
57.7%		17.6%
+407
-134
+386
-140
2
1		-1.64610-1.63066-1.39922
RB Leipzig
Freiburg		48.4%
28.4%		23.1%
-105
+308
-105
+285
1
1		-1.36496-1.34565-1.46443
Mainz 05
Dortmund		15.5%
74.6%		10.0%
+700
-234
+614
-245
1
3		-0.36826-0.38939-0.29350
Wolfsburg
Union Berlin		38.2%
35.0%		26.8%
+235
+163
+222
+140
0
2		-0.95818-0.91822-1.05002
FC Koln
Hoffenheim		21.2%
63.9%		14.9%
+245
+111
+240
+105
0
5		-0.75734-0.76260-0.44763
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Arminia Bielefeld		46.2%
28.8%		25.0%
-142
+403
-150
+375
4
0		-0.55215-0.56103-0.77113
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bayern Munich		12.3%
81.4%		6.3%
+2735
-913
+2250
-990
2
1		-3.35958-3.20202-2.09224
Union Berlin
Mainz 05		33.9%
40.0%		26.1%
+275
+123
+265
+115
2
1		-1.33094-1.34044-1.08267
VfL Bochum
RB Leipzig		12.4%
79.9%		7.6%
+1632
-550
+1600
-600
0
3		-0.19227-0.20226-0.22387
Augsburg
Dortmund		13.2%
78.9%		7.9%
+1300
-435
+1200
-460
1
2		-0.23393-0.24216-0.23704
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.70932 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71523 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.63247
0.07685
0.08276

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.