German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt 		15.3%
68.0%		16.7%
+455
-175
+475
-195
1.20
2.64		3.84
o3-111
u3+100
o3-115
u3-105
Augsburg
Dortmund 		14.1%
69.2%		16.7%
+530
-192
+570
-235
1.10
2.59		3.69
o3-112
u3+101
o3-120
u3+100
Bayern Munich
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 		57.6%
20.8%		21.6%
-184
+480
-185
+440
1.98
1.10		3.08
o3¾-104
u3¾-106
o3½-105
u3½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim 		16.0%
64.3%		19.6%
+640
-235
+580
-240
0.98
2.16		3.14
o3¼-119
u3¼+106
o3½+110
u3½-130
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Borussia Monchengladbach
Wolfsburg		28.7%
48.8%		22.5%
+276
+110
+270
+100
3
1		-1.33968-1.35452-1.24716
Freiburg
Hertha BSC		34.2%
40.0%		25.8%
+153
+217
+145
+211
2
1		-0.93739-0.93189-1.07195
Hoffenheim
VfB Stuttgart		32.2%
43.7%		24.1%
+144
+189
+140
+180
1
3		-1.08010-1.06592-0.82883
Augsburg
Freiburg		23.9%
56.7%		19.4%
+375
-116
+360
-123
0
3		-0.64299-0.64067-0.56775
VfB Stuttgart
VfL Bochum		41.1%
34.0%		24.9%
+126
+230
+122
+215
0
0		-1.30597-1.31535-1.39179
Dortmund
Borussia Monchengladbach		40.1%
35.2%		24.7%
+115
+250
+115
+219
0
1		-1.25934-1.20094-1.04393
Arminia Bielefeld
Union Berlin		25.8%
51.1%		23.1%
+490
-143
+454
-150
0
1		-0.55385-0.55692-0.67148
Hertha BSC
RB Leipzig		15.0%
75.0%		10.0%
+957
-320
+925
-315
0
6		-0.30044-0.31340-0.28812
FC Koln
Eintracht Frankfurt		20.3%
66.6%		13.1%
+242
+115
+230
+110
1
1		-1.36324-1.35864-2.03631
Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim		35.1%
39.0%		25.9%
+179
+165
+172
+165
1
3		-0.99344-1.00884-0.94135
Mainz 05
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		18.9%
67.0%		14.1%
+410
-138
+365
-140
0
1		-0.56175-0.58625-0.40036
Bayern Munich
SpVgg Greuther Furth		81.1%
12.1%		6.8%
-843
+2000
-1000
+1800
3
1		-0.14024-0.14660-0.20943
Eintracht Frankfurt
Wolfsburg		27.6%
51.6%		20.8%
+345
-113
+320
-115
1
1		-1.37255-1.34059-1.57070
Union Berlin
Dortmund		18.2%
68.9%		12.8%
+961
-330
+875
-350
2
4		-0.28640-0.29994-0.37240
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
VfB Stuttgart		39.2%
35.0%		25.9%
+115
+258
+110
+239
3
1		-0.76964-0.78115-0.93711
RB Leipzig
FC Koln		64.0%
20.8%		15.2%
-104
+295
-105
+270
1
1		-1.38593-1.37964-1.88625
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.70932 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71523 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.63247
0.07685
0.08276

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.