German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt 		15.3%
68.0%		16.7%
+470
-172
+475
-185
1.20
2.64		3.84
o3-112
u3+101
o3-115
u3+100
Augsburg
Dortmund 		14.1%
69.2%		16.7%
+530
-200
+570
-210
1.10
2.59		3.69
o3-114
u3+102
o3-120
u3+100
Bayern Munich
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 		57.6%
20.8%		21.6%
-190
+480
-195
+440
1.98
1.10		3.08
o3¾-104
u3¾-106
o3½-105
u3½+110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim 		16.0%
64.3%		19.6%
+660
-240
+625
-240
0.98
2.16		3.14
o3¼-119
u3¼+106
o3½+110
u3½-125
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
VfL Bochum
Bayern Munich		6.8%
90.1%		3.1%
+3443
-1515
+2700
-1700
0
7		-0.09033-0.10843-0.10441
Freiburg
Mainz 05		35.4%
38.0%		26.6%
+330
-105
+300
-105
0
0		-1.33309-1.33629-1.32366
Hoffenheim
Arminia Bielefeld		37.4%
35.3%		27.3%
+106
+272
+110
+272
0
0		-1.33655-1.32742-1.29803
Borussia Monchengladbach
Augsburg		44.0%
31.8%		24.1%
+104
+267
+105
+250
0
1		-1.32302-1.29149-1.14445
Arminia Bielefeld
Borussia Monchengladbach		21.2%
61.3%		17.5%
+671
-210
+680
-232
1
3		-0.40480-0.40645-0.49006
Hertha BSC
VfL Bochum		34.5%
40.4%		25.0%
+170
+170
+170
+175
3
1		-1.02753-1.02963-1.06294
VfB Stuttgart
Eintracht Frankfurt		28.1%
51.3%		20.6%
+247
+110
+240
+105
1
1		-1.38155-1.36520-1.57775
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig		42.1%
33.1%		24.8%
+118
+215
+125
+195
4
1		-0.80515-0.84812-0.86491
Wolfsburg
SpVgg Greuther Furth		51.6%
27.0%		21.4%
-140
+428
-145
+389
2
0		-0.54699-0.55300-0.66254
Mainz 05
Hoffenheim		24.4%
56.9%		18.7%
+245
+125
+215
+120
2
0		-1.23932-1.19379-1.41137
FC Koln
Freiburg		22.3%
60.8%		16.9%
+221
+135
+220
+130
1
1		-1.29968-1.28522-1.77934
Dortmund
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		35.3%
39.2%		25.4%
+125
+205
+122
+205
4
3		-0.83926-0.84151-1.04010
Augsburg
Union Berlin		25.2%
54.2%		20.6%
+425
-139
+401
-135
0
0		-1.39865-1.40060-1.58129
RB Leipzig
Wolfsburg		39.9%
33.9%		26.2%
+125
+230
+122
+235
0
1		-1.22656-1.25534-1.08114
Borussia Monchengladbach
Union Berlin		36.5%
37.2%		26.3%
+187
+165
+180
+160
1
2		-0.99428-1.00376-0.98779
Hertha BSC
Bayern Munich		8.3%
87.6%		4.1%
+1650
-600
+1550
-700
0
5		-0.17922-0.18223-0.13222
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.70932 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71523 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.63247
0.07685
0.08276

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.