German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt 		15.3%
68.0%		16.7%
+460
-175
+445
-180
1.20
2.64		3.84
o3-110
u3+100
o3-115
u3+100
Augsburg
Dortmund 		14.1%
69.2%		16.7%
+538
-200
+500
-210
1.10
2.59		3.69
o3-115
u3+103
o3-120
u3+100
Bayern Munich
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 		57.6%
20.8%		21.6%
-185
+450
-185
+435
1.98
1.10		3.08
o3¾-107
u3¾+100
o3½-130
u3½+115
Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim 		16.0%
64.3%		19.6%
+660
-240
+625
-260
0.98
2.16		3.14
o3¼-116
u3¼+105
o3½+105
u3½-125
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
SpVgg Greuther Furth
Mainz 05		25.2%
55.4%		19.4%
+490
-175
+480
-180
0
3		-0.48457-0.48250-0.59144
VfL Bochum
FC Koln		30.3%
47.3%		22.5%
+393
-143
+380
-135
1
2		-0.56256-0.58241-0.74938
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Augsburg		49.8%
28.0%		22.2%
-140
+425
-140
+392
4
1		-0.56254-0.58173-0.69756
Freiburg
VfB Stuttgart		30.6%
45.3%		24.1%
+240
+115
+237
+115
3
2		-1.26012-1.25751-1.18378
Eintracht Frankfurt
Arminia Bielefeld		41.3%
33.1%		25.6%
+105
+260
+105
+250
1
1		-1.33351-1.34715-1.36219
Hoffenheim
Dortmund		20.7%
64.9%		14.3%
+615
-245
+560
-260
2
3		-0.36892-0.37198-0.43188
FC Koln
Bayern Munich		6.5%
90.8%		2.7%
+1930
-730
+2000
-810
2
3		-0.15310-0.15344-0.09684
Union Berlin
Hoffenheim		27.4%
50.7%		21.8%
+255
+105
+288
+105
2
2		-1.35728-1.30398-1.52211
Borussia Monchengladbach
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		26.9%
52.3%		20.9%
+225
+125
+215
+124
0
4		-0.84042-0.84954-0.64898
Mainz 05
VfL Bochum		34.2%
40.5%		25.3%
+145
+200
+150
+193
0
2		-1.12948-1.11319-0.90500
Dortmund
Freiburg		46.5%
30.2%		23.3%
-130
+350
-136
+400
1
2		-1.52129-1.62095-1.19809
Wolfsburg
Hertha BSC		41.8%
33.0%		25.2%
+122
+235
+130
+234
2
1		-0.83158-0.85668-0.87139
Augsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt		21.3%
63.9%		14.8%
+420
-155
+420
-162
0
0		-1.51745-1.49548-1.91081
VfB Stuttgart
RB Leipzig		17.4%
70.3%		12.3%
+550
-190
+563
-215
0
4		-0.44441-0.42704-0.35308
RB Leipzig
Mainz 05		57.5%
23.8%		18.8%
-179
+675
-240
+650
0
1		-2.01786-2.05338-1.43708
Eintracht Frankfurt
Dortmund		22.8%
61.8%		15.4%
+545
-195
+525
-220
2
5		-0.42414-0.42498-0.48133
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.70932 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71523 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.63247
0.07685
0.08276

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.