German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt 		15.3%
68.0%		16.7%
+445
-164
+430
-172
1.20
2.64		3.84
o3-112
u3+101
o3-115
u3+100
Augsburg
Dortmund 		14.1%
69.2%		16.7%
+560
-202
+500
-210
1.10
2.59		3.69
o3-111
u3+100
o3-120
u3+100
Bayern Munich
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 		57.6%
20.8%		21.6%
-182
+440
-185
+435
1.98
1.10		3.08
o3¾-104
u3¾-106
o3½-130
u3½+115
Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim 		16.0%
64.3%		19.6%
+635
-233
+625
-260
0.98
2.16		3.14
o3¼-112
u3¼+100
o3½+105
u3½-125
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
VfL Bochum
Wolfsburg		17.6%
69.7%		12.7%
+606
-220
+595
-200
0
1		-0.40342-0.42674-0.36141
SpVgg Greuther Furth
VfB Stuttgart		22.3%
61.1%		16.6%
+320
-120
+313
-120
1
5		-0.64219-0.64794-0.49267
Hoffenheim
Augsburg		43.4%
32.2%		24.4%
+120
+230
+118
+225
4
0		-0.81240-0.81186-0.83437
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Union Berlin		41.5%
32.9%		25.6%
+180
+186
+177
+170
1
1		-1.20371-1.22775-1.36191
Freiburg
Arminia Bielefeld		35.2%
36.5%		28.3%
+150
+205
+150
+204
0
0		-1.21359-1.19277-1.26394
Bayern Munich
Borussia Monchengladbach		61.0%
22.7%		16.4%
-140
+394
-145
+360
1
1		-1.59509-1.49046-1.80923
Holstein Kiel
FC Koln		30.9%
46.6%		22.5%
+425
-140
+430
-150
1
0		-1.68799-1.71497-1.17341
Mainz 05
Wolfsburg		22.0%
60.6%		17.4%
+326
-122
+385
-120
3
2		-1.47709-1.57152-1.51490
Hertha BSC
Hoffenheim		28.5%
50.1%		21.4%
+355
-140
+338
-105
1
2		-0.56644-0.64173-0.69159
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Dortmund		35.6%
39.0%		25.5%
+440
-180
+450
-180
1
3		-0.47387-0.48078-0.94287
Augsburg
Bayern Munich		8.5%
87.1%		4.4%
+1600
-710
+1600
-760
2
5		-0.16500-0.17030-0.13858
Arminia Bielefeld
VfB Stuttgart		28.0%
48.8%		23.2%
+187
+130
+187
+140
2
0		-1.09318-1.07496-1.27282
Borussia Monchengladbach
Werder Bremen		56.8%
24.6%		18.6%
+112
+219
+130
+205
4
2		-0.78067-0.84364-0.56599
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin		59.9%
22.5%		17.6%
-105
+265
+120
+260
1
2		-1.32494-1.26185-1.49330
Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt		31.7%
44.7%		23.6%
+215
+112
+201
+110
1
3		-0.77078-0.78211-0.80435
Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig		25.3%
54.0%		20.7%
+280
+103
+277
+115
2
2		-1.32806-1.27687-1.57397
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.70932 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71523 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.63247
0.07685
0.08276

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.