MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
St. Louis Cardinals
Seattle Mariners
43.7%
56.3%
+155
-160
+150
-160
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+141
4
5
-0.49303-0.50078-0.57368
Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Angels
36.9%
63.1%
+158
-163
+160
-167
+1½-125
-1½+112
+1½-125
-1½+113
11
8
-0.95514-0.96553-0.99671
Miami Marlins
Cleveland Guardians
40.6%
59.4%
+195
-132
+129
-133
+1½-105
-1½+162
+1½-172
-1½+165
3
2
-0.98524-0.83602-0.90209
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
52.9%
47.1%
-135
+130
-136
+130
-1½+118
+1½-130
-1½+117
+1½-125
5
3
-0.56352-0.56217-0.63686
Houston Astros
Atlanta Braves
47.4%
52.6%
+102
-110
+104
-108


6
3
-0.72177-0.72233-0.74710
Boston Red Sox
Milwaukee Brewers
46.9%
53.1%
+117
-124
+118
-122
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+160
4
5
-0.60567-0.60690-0.63209
Detroit Tigers
Baltimore Orioles
38.0%
62.0%
+160
-168
+162
-174
+1½-130
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+115
1
5
-0.47844-0.47064-0.47733
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
38.1%
61.9%
+220
-240
+222
-245
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-128
3
18
-0.36652-0.36278-0.47928
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
45.0%
55.0%
+144
-152
+152
-160
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+125
1
2
-0.51849-0.49765-0.59851
Miami Marlins
Cleveland Guardians
37.0%
63.0%
+203
-220
+213
-228
+1½-103
-1½-112
+1½+100
-1½-110
6
1
-1.12596-1.15553-0.99455
Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
41.2%
58.8%
+175
-184
+181
-188
+1½-120
-1½+112
+1½-120
-1½+112
3
4
-0.44551-0.43513-0.53106
New York Mets
San Francisco Giants
50.8%
49.2%
+112
-120
+110
-117
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
4
7
-0.62315-0.63297-0.71003
Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies
40.4%
59.6%
+160
-167
+160
-163
+1½-125
-1½+112
+1½-125
-1½+115
3
4
-0.47929-0.48279-0.51706
Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago Cubs
55.8%
44.2%
-118
+112
-120
+114
-1½+130
+1½-143
-1½+132
+1½-140
9
4
-0.62672-0.61880-0.58295
Washington Nationals
Minnesota Twins
31.9%
68.1%
+275
-305
+270
-290
+1½+135
-1½-145
+1½+135
-1½-140
10
4
-1.34132-1.32208-1.14335
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
42.7%
57.3%
+155
-165
+160
-169
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-130
-1½+126
2
3
-0.48848-0.47760-0.55673
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.