MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
58.1%
41.9%
-148
+139
-148
+145
-1½+102
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-110
8
12
-0.88637-0.90101-0.87067
San Diego Padres
Atlanta Braves
38.0%
62.0%
+138
-148
+139
-147
+1½-145
-1½+137
+1½-140
-1½+135
4
1
-0.88390-0.88474-0.96640
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
49.5%
50.5%
-150
+145
-150
+142
-1½+107
+1½-122
-1½+110
+1½-120
6
0
-0.51896-0.52396-0.70316
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
58.2%
41.8%
-122
+115
-124
+116
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+128
+1½-135
4
1
-0.61323-0.60776-0.54134
Chicago White Sox
Pittsburgh Pirates
50.0%
50.0%
-116
+109
-116
+112
-1½+139
+1½-150
-1½+142
+1½-155
11
5
-0.63707-0.63038-0.69243
Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Guardians
45.5%
54.5%
+122
-129
+127
-128
+1½-165
-1½+156
+1½-165
-1½+150
3
2
-0.81119-0.82171-0.78772
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
36.0%
64.0%
+253
-270
+260
-280
+1½+130
-1½-140
+1½+135
-1½-148
0
11
-0.32802-0.31990-0.44685
Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers
56.2%
43.8%
-136
+132
-135
+129
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+125
+1½-130
14
5
-0.55846-0.56539-0.57698
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
36.5%
63.5%
+158
-163
+160
-170
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+130
2
5
-0.48574-0.47678-0.45386
Texas Rangers
Chicago Cubs
52.1%
47.9%
+114
-118
+114
-117
+1½-190
-1½+178
+1½-194
-1½+180
3
10
-0.62235-0.62416-0.73549
Kansas City Royals
San Francisco Giants
44.8%
55.2%
+131
-139
+133
-137
+1½-163
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+150
6
5
-0.85163-0.85308-0.80352
Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies
38.8%
61.2%
+130
-133
+127
-133
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+155
2
3
-0.56627-0.57197-0.49124
Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins
51.2%
48.8%
+101
-107
+100
-108
+1½-210
-1½+190
+1½-205
-1½+184
6
9
-0.67421-0.67446-0.71812
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
67.7%
32.3%
-235
+224
-235
+236
-1½-145
+1½+142
-1½-160
+1½+145
3
6
-1.18567-1.21103-1.13032
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Angels
53.1%
46.9%
+132
-135
+133
-130
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+148
4
3
-0.84707-0.84026-0.63352
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
44.0%
56.0%
+102
-102
+105
-107
+1½-170
-1½+165
+1½-165
-1½+160
10
5
-0.70310-0.72256-0.82021
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.