MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
New York Mets
42.3%
57.7%
+149
-142
+150
-155
+1½-162
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+155
7
1
-0.90059-0.92410-0.86043
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
44.7%
55.3%
+120
-124
+119
-125
+1½-185
-1½+176
+1½-190
-1½+175
4
0
-0.79653-0.79600-0.80486
Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals
49.4%
50.6%
-103
-104
-103
+100
+1½-231
-1½+200
+1½-220
-1½+200
6
3
-0.69551-0.68583-0.70496
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians
49.2%
50.8%
+116
-120
+115
-120
+1½-210
-1½+195
+1½-210
-1½+195
1
2
-0.61452-0.61667-0.67694
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
35.3%
64.7%
+138
-148
+138
-146
+1½-163
-1½+147
+1½-159
-1½+145
2
9
-0.53302-0.53529-0.43563
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
23.6%
76.4%
+270
-303
+270
-290
+1½+133
-1½-145
+1½+130
-1½-140
1
6
-0.30710-0.31004-0.26976
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
40.7%
59.3%
+172
-186
+181
-190
+1½-128
-1½+112
+1½-125
-1½+110
2
3
-0.44809-0.43383-0.52258
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners
37.6%
62.4%
+131
-140
+133
-136
+1½-158
-1½+142
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
5
-0.55511-0.55661-0.47160
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
44.7%
55.3%
+110
-117
+113
-115
+1½-188
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
10
1
-0.75717-0.76048-0.80517
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
51.7%
48.3%
+129
-137
+130
-138
+1½-168
-1½+152
+1½-164
-1½+150
3
6
-0.56272-0.55953-0.72819
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
42.2%
57.8%
+162
-175
+160
-170
+1½-131
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+120
2
9
-0.46988-0.47678-0.54901
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
39.3%
60.7%
+125
-133
+129
-132
+1½-170
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+160
8
1
-0.82608-0.83418-0.93428
Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers
38.0%
62.0%
+152
-162
+155
-158
+1½-148
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+137
4
2
-0.93928-0.94063-0.96801
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
60.7%
39.3%
+108
-117
+110
-118
+1½-188
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
9
12
-0.63747-0.63113-0.93519
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
51.4%
48.6%
-123
+115
-122
+115
-1½+137
+1½-148
-1½+140
+1½-146
15
2
-0.61153-0.61323-0.66619
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
57.0%
43.0%
-103
-104
+101
-105
-1½+152
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-160
2
4
-0.69079-0.67871-0.84499
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.