MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco Giants
Milwaukee Brewers
37.2%
62.8%
+182
-196
+185
-195
+1½-123
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+110
1
2
-0.42888-0.42580-0.46536
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
44.2%
55.8%
+124
-132
+130
-136
+1½-168
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+148
4
3
-0.82175-0.84390-0.81753
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
35.9%
64.1%
+235
-260
+235
-251
+1½+120
-1½-123
+1½+115
-1½-120
11
6
-1.22946-1.22248-1.02376
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
34.5%
65.5%
+207
-220
+210
-221
+1½+100
-1½-113
+1½+100
-1½-111
3
6
-0.38784-0.38427-0.42309
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
53.3%
46.7%
-133
+126
-135
+126
-1½+122
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-138
1
2
-0.82858-0.83218-0.76233
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
34.4%
65.6%
+255
-285
+245
-270
+1½+130
-1½-143
+1½+125
-1½-132
3
4
-0.32247-0.33448-0.42137
Minnesota Twins
New York Yankees
40.0%
60.0%
+171
-181
+176
-185
+1½-140
-1½+127
+1½-135
-1½+125
1
7
-0.45290-0.44351-0.51064
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
31.6%
68.4%
+266
-300
+263
-285
+1½+135
-1½-148
+1½+135
-1½-140
5
6
-0.31064-0.31637-0.37987
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
43.7%
56.3%
+129
-139
+130
-140
+1½-160
-1½+147
+1½-164
-1½+145
7
1
-0.84665-0.85085-0.82704
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
54.9%
45.1%
-136
+127
-133
+132
-1½+122
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-135
4
1
-0.56784-0.56252-0.59906
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
41.7%
58.3%
+148
-157
+149
-154
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+140
3
4
-0.50687-0.50826-0.53941
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
42.9%
57.1%
+168
-178
+166
-175
+1½-133
-1½+118
+1½-135
-1½+120
0
1
-0.45917-0.46421-0.55977
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
70.8%
29.2%
-360
+319
-375
+334
-1½-200
+1½+180
-1½-205
+1½+186
10
0
-0.26617-0.25608-0.34494
Chicago White Sox
Seattle Mariners
42.7%
57.3%
+177
-189
+176
-188
+1½-128
-1½+112
+1½-130
-1½+115
9
6
-1.03372-1.03022-0.85020
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
29.6%
70.4%
+211
-234
+213
-234
+1½+100
-1½-113
+1½+105
-1½-114
3
7
-0.37772-0.37571-0.35120
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels
38.5%
61.5%
+195
-213
+200
-214
+1½-103
-1½-113
+1½+100
-1½-114
5
4
-1.10112-1.11337-0.95378
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.