MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta Braves
Oakland Athletics
67.1%
32.9%
-300
+266
-300
+268
-1½-175
+1½+157
-1½-165
+1½+155
7
3
-0.31064-0.30919-0.39884
Milwaukee Brewers
Colorado Rockies
56.2%
43.8%
-130
+125
-132
+124
-1½+110
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-125
4
8
-0.82055-0.82175-0.82638
Minnesota Twins
New York Yankees
40.6%
59.4%
+124
-133
+128
-134
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-170
-1½+163
4
5
-0.57778-0.56867-0.52076
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
68.0%
32.0%
-251
+225
-240
+233
-1½-153
+1½+137
-1½-145
+1½+140
5
1
-0.35786-0.35448-0.38528
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
35.3%
64.7%
+259
-290
+263
-285
+1½+137
-1½-150
+1½+140
-1½-148
3
6
-0.31817-0.31637-0.43512
Atlanta Braves
Oakland Athletics
62.4%
37.6%
-222
+202
-220
+201
-1½-138
+1½+125
-1½-140
+1½+130
10
9
-0.39224-0.39423-0.47152
Chicago White Sox
Seattle Mariners
45.6%
54.4%
+139
-147
+137
-144
+1½-157
-1½+142
+1½-164
-1½+145
0
3
-0.53242-0.53940-0.60829
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
39.8%
60.2%
+143
-153
+148
-154
+1½-148
-1½+137
+1½-155
-1½+140
5
6
-0.51909-0.50986-0.50800
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels
42.4%
57.6%
+120
-129
+122
-130
+1½-168
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+150
4
5
-0.59162-0.58609-0.55097
Milwaukee Brewers
Colorado Rockies
58.8%
41.2%
-184
+172
-183
+170
-1½-123
+1½+108
-1½-120
+1½+115
7
10
-1.01606-1.01011-0.88566
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
32.5%
67.5%
+228
-245
+233
-258
+1½+105
-1½-117
+1½+110
-1½-115
4
3
-1.20274-1.22373-1.12331
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
59.8%
40.2%
-195
+180
-193
+181
-1½-113
+1½+102
-1½-110
+1½+100
4
1
-0.43197-0.43195-0.51375
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
34.2%
65.8%
+216
-239
+220
-240
+1½+107
-1½-123
+1½+105
-1½-120
1
4
-0.37079-0.36652-0.41917
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
39.6%
60.4%
+141
-151
+145
-150
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
3
9
-0.52457-0.51896-0.50433
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
53.2%
46.8%
+102
-110
+100
-108
-1½+152
+1½-167

6
9
-0.66532-0.67446-0.75989
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
37.6%
62.4%
+204
-225
+205
-220
+1½-112
-1½-103
+1½-115
-1½+100
2
3
-0.38876-0.38995-0.47127
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.