MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 23, 2025
Games for Dec 25, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Pittsburgh Pirates
Arizona Diamondbacks
41.0%
59.0%
+205
-224
+213
-228
+1½+102
-1½-115
+1½+101
-1½-115
0
3
-0.38814-0.37818-0.52719
Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs
42.0%
58.0%
+175
-189
+178
-188
+1½-120
-1½+107
+1½-115
-1½+110
3
6
-0.44214-0.43892-0.54499
Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets
32.6%
67.4%
+301
-332
+297
-335
+1½+157
-1½-172
+1½+165
-1½-180
1
5
-0.28102-0.28299-0.39386
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
54.3%
45.7%
-123
+117
-125
+120
-1½+130
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-140
4
7
-0.78704-0.79851-0.78325
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
40.1%
59.9%
+123
-131
+125
-129
+1½-160
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+155
0
4
-0.58263-0.58164-0.51233
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
44.2%
55.8%
+134
-142
+138
-142
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+160
2
5
-0.54714-0.54003-0.58288
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
43.1%
56.9%
+138
-148
+151
-149
+1½-153
-1½+137
+1½-135
-1½+136
3
6
-0.53302-0.51031-0.56416
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
44.3%
55.7%
+144
-151
+142
-147
+1½-143
-1½+127
+1½-143
-1½+130
4
6
-0.51955-0.52728-0.58544
San Francisco Giants
Oakland Athletics
60.8%
39.2%
-183
+171
-182
+176
-1½-113
+1½-103
-1½-115
+1½+110
6
4
-0.45149-0.44558-0.49738
Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs
46.2%
53.8%
+122
-130
+125
-132
+1½-168
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+150
3
0
-0.81306-0.82426-0.77148
Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers
56.0%
44.0%
-128
+119
-128
+124
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
8
2
-0.59519-0.58512-0.57976
New York Yankees
St. Louis Cardinals
55.3%
44.7%
-131
+125
-126
+122
-1½+127
+1½-137
-1½+130
+1½-145
9
12
-0.82241-0.80544-0.80620
Toronto Blue Jays
Minnesota Twins
56.2%
43.8%
-168
+161
-168
+162
-1½-108
+1½-105
-1½-108
+1½-105
3
2
-0.47697-0.47552-0.57624
Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals
53.5%
46.5%
-152
+143
-146
+145
-1½+102
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-118
5
13
-0.90249-0.89776-0.76666
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
35.9%
64.1%
+256
-288
+250
-275
+1½+120
-1½-133
+1½+120
-1½-133
4
2
-1.29266-1.27165-1.02357
Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers
58.7%
41.3%
-174
+165
-172
+168
-1½-115
+1½+102
-1½-115
+1½+100
7
0
-0.46639-0.46378-0.53234
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.