MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Phillies
Texas Rangers
57.1%
42.9%
-140
+130
-140
+138
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-125
2
4
-0.85085-0.87060-0.84646
New York Mets
Houston Astros
45.8%
54.2%
+126
-132
+127
-130
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-161
-1½+145
3
5
-0.57531-0.57627-0.61254
Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago White Sox
49.4%
50.6%
-110
+104
-110
+105
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
9
5
-0.66054-0.65817-0.70465
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
54.6%
45.4%
-128
+118
-126
+124
-1½+123
+1½-140
-1½+127
+1½-140
8
2
-0.59724-0.58819-0.60455
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
40.0%
60.0%
+127
-134
+133
-134
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+170
2
3
-0.57058-0.55932-0.51054
Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Angels
39.7%
60.3%
+158
-162
+159
-168
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+120
12
11
-0.95368-0.96454-0.92339
New York Mets
Houston Astros
46.8%
53.2%
+128
-136
+128
-134
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-162
-1½+150
2
8
-0.56593-0.56867-0.63092
Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago White Sox
57.1%
42.9%
-121
+118
-120
+116
-1½+128
+1½-145
-1½+133
+1½-140
6
7
-0.78553-0.77849-0.84569
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
49.4%
50.6%
-119
+110
-117
+112
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-140
6
2
-0.62933-0.62854-0.70534
Philadelphia Phillies
Texas Rangers
52.0%
48.0%
+118
-127
+118
-125
+1½-184
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+168
0
7
-0.59878-0.60195-0.73499
Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins
40.4%
59.6%
+147
-151
+145
-151
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+120
6
5
-0.91063-0.90580-0.90515
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
46.3%
53.7%
+165
-175
+162
-170
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-126
-1½+110
12
10
-0.98819-0.97442-0.77044
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
62.7%
37.3%
-155
+148
-146
+145
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-115
4
5
-0.91925-0.89776-0.98690
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
36.3%
63.7%
+178
-188
+175
-184
+1½-119
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+106
4
5
-0.43892-0.44551-0.45119
Washington Nationals
Baltimore Orioles
44.7%
55.3%
+113
-123
+116
-120
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
3
0
-0.77696-0.77849-0.80450
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
48.6%
51.4%
+132
-139
+133
-140
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+145
1
7
-0.55453-0.55144-0.66466
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.