MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco Giants
Miami Marlins
54.1%
45.9%
-121
+111
-116
+110
-1½+130
+1½-149
-1½+135
+1½-150
5
1
-0.62358-0.63482-0.61456
Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds
40.8%
59.2%
+161
-171
+165
-175
+1½-121
-1½+110
+1½-115
-1½+115
5
4
-0.97339-0.98819-0.89580
Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays
35.9%
64.1%
+225
-245
+227
-244
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+106
-1½-120
8
6
-1.19634-1.19978-1.02415
Los Angeles Angels
Philadelphia Phillies
47.1%
52.9%
+110
-119
+108
-113
+1½-182
-1½+168
+1½-190
-1½+170
7
9
-0.62933-0.64512-0.63692
Cleveland Guardians
Baltimore Orioles
49.6%
50.4%
-106
-102
-106
+102
-1½+145
+1½-163
-1½+148
+1½-160
3
2
-0.68377-0.67401-0.70049
Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates
57.4%
42.6%
-142
+132
-137
+136
-1½+118
+1½-130
-1½+126
+1½-135
0
3
-0.85923-0.86045-0.85264
Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees
30.0%
70.0%
+250
-270
+250
-266
+1½+119
-1½-135
+1½+125
-1½-134
4
5
-0.33041-0.33155-0.35667
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
36.5%
63.5%
+166
-176
+165
-175
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
9
4
-0.99185-0.98819-1.00874
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
56.5%
43.5%
-187
+177
-180
+175
-1½-130
+1½+110
-1½-123
+1½+110
6
2
-0.44086-0.44830-0.57084
Los Angeles Angels
Philadelphia Phillies
43.1%
56.9%
+148
-158
+154
-155
+1½-143
-1½+125
+1½-139
-1½+130
2
7
-0.50587-0.49937-0.56387
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
54.8%
45.2%
-105
+107
-112
+110
-1½+145
+1½-162

7
4
-0.66433-0.64257-0.60201
Houston Astros
Kansas City Royals
60.7%
39.3%
-195
+184
-190
+181
-1½-134
+1½+125
-1½-128
+1½+125
0
6
-1.05685-1.04418-0.93306
Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
46.0%
54.0%
+115
-122
+118
-123
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+180
3
2
-0.78001-0.78955-0.77699
San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers
46.1%
53.9%
+121
-130
+120
-125
+1½-184
-1½+164
+1½-180
-1½+166
4
0
-0.81054-0.79851-0.77382
San Francisco Giants
Miami Marlins
51.1%
48.9%
-105
-105
-102
-103
-1½+165
+1½-182
-1½+170
+1½-180
4
5
-0.69315-0.69073-0.71458
Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds
42.5%
57.5%
+117
-123
+121
-128
+1½-165
-1½+153
+1½-159
-1½+145
10
8
-0.78704-0.80679-0.85583
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.