MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Boston Red Sox
Oakland Athletics
54.4%
45.6%
-140
+132
-140
+137
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-133
8
0
-0.55326-0.54426-0.60798
Cleveland Guardians
Baltimore Orioles
54.0%
46.0%
-118
+110
-116
+112
-1½+140
+1½-156
-1½+136
+1½-155
4
5
-0.75927-0.76012-0.77668
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
49.8%
50.2%
+111
-120
+113
-117
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
2
3
-0.62534-0.62633-0.68884
Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates
46.4%
53.6%
+112
-120
+115
-120
+1½-184
-1½+164
+1½-180
-1½+166
1
2
-0.62315-0.61667-0.62317
Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays
40.6%
59.4%
+165
-175
+165
-174
+1½-130
-1½+111
+1½-128
-1½+115
3
12
-0.46561-0.46639-0.52163
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
52.4%
47.6%
-102
-105
+101
-105

-1½+155
+1½-170
1
6
-0.68605-0.67871-0.74316
Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees
32.2%
67.8%
+301
-320
+300
-340
+1½+150
-1½-165
+1½+165
-1½-175
0
3
-0.28316-0.28030-0.38876
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
47.2%
52.8%
+146
-148
+144
-152
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+131
1
6
-0.51950-0.51849-0.63866
Boston Red Sox
Oakland Athletics
58.6%
41.4%
-169
+160
-164
+157
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-115
7
2
-0.47760-0.48636-0.53406
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
60.9%
39.1%
-172
+164
-170
+165
-1½-119
+1½+100
-1½-118
+1½+105
3
1
-0.46940-0.46959-0.49528
Houston Astros
Kansas City Royals
60.0%
40.0%
-115
+110
-115
+111
-1½+133
+1½-150
-1½+146
+1½-145
10
3
-0.63673-0.63448-0.51011
San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers
42.7%
57.3%
+155
-165
+155
-160
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+145
7
0
-0.95078-0.94358-0.85085
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
48.5%
51.5%
-104
-105
-105
-101
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
+1½-160
4
3
-0.69549-0.68363-0.72352
Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
38.8%
61.2%
+170
-178
+177
-188
+1½-127
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+112
3
6
-0.45643-0.44021-0.49070
Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays
38.3%
61.7%
+212
-227
+208
-220
+1½+105
-1½-122
+1½+105
-1½-115
9
3
-1.15242-1.13703-0.95844
Los Angeles Angels
Philadelphia Phillies
46.4%
53.6%
+116
-125
+115
-122
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-172
-1½+165
0
10
-0.60613-0.61323-0.62301
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.