MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees
28.5%
71.5%
+295
-325
+290
-320
+1½+135
-1½-155
+1½+150
-1½-150
0
13
-0.28598-0.29008-0.33504
Cleveland Guardians
Baltimore Orioles
61.1%
38.9%
-133
+126
-133
+128
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+122
+1½-130
6
3
-0.57389-0.57006-0.49218
Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates
50.7%
49.3%
-112
+105
-112
+106
-1½+140
+1½-160

8
6
-0.65406-0.65174-0.67956
Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds
48.8%
51.2%
+117
-127
+120
-125
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
8
5
-0.79483-0.79851-0.71742
San Francisco Giants
Miami Marlins
55.5%
44.5%
-108
-101
-106
+102
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-165
15
6
-0.67690-0.67401-0.58900
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
52.4%
47.6%
-106
-104
-107
+105
-1½+154
+1½-170

14
5
-0.68852-0.66458-0.64615
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.9%
58.1%
+166
-175
+167
-173
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-123
-1½+110
0
2
-0.46421-0.46437-0.54245
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
57.8%
42.2%
-145
+137
-150
+141
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-113
13
6
-0.53820-0.52565-0.54784
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
48.9%
51.1%
-106
-104
-105
-104
-1½+152
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-165
5
7
-0.69780-0.69549-0.67195
San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers
52.1%
47.9%
-108
-102
-104
-101
+1½-210
-1½+181
+1½-196
-1½+180
4
5
-0.70719-0.70039-0.73522
Los Angeles Angels
New York Yankees
40.2%
59.8%
+133
-125
+139
-143
+1½-146
-1½+170
+1½-135
-1½+131
1
2
-0.57240-0.53708-0.51356
Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles
54.1%
45.9%
-103
-101
-105
-101
-1½+150
+1½-162
-1½+150
+1½-160
7
6
-0.68830-0.68363-0.61384
San Francisco Giants
Miami Marlins
49.0%
51.0%
+123
-133
+125
-134
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+170
0
3
-0.57975-0.57442-0.67415
Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds
47.3%
52.7%
+115
-125
+116
-122
+1½-165
-1½+146
+1½-165
-1½+150
1
8
-0.60825-0.61109-0.64052
Chicago White Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
34.3%
65.7%
+167
-175
+168
-174
+1½-120
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+122
3
8
-0.46283-0.46221-0.41946
Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers
55.2%
44.8%
-123
+115
-124
+117
-1½+135
+1½-147
-1½+136
+1½-145
3
1
-0.61153-0.60567-0.59444
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.