MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
54.4%
45.6%
-121
+115
-125
+118
-1½+137
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-143
0
3
-0.77801-0.79350-0.78417
Tampa Bay Rays
Cincinnati Reds
48.2%
51.8%
-101
-106
-102
-105

-1½+150
+1½-165
2
7
-0.68136-0.68605-0.65778
Los Angeles Dodgers
Boston Red Sox
52.0%
48.0%
+104
-112
+101
-109

-1½+155
+1½-160
5
2
-0.73126-0.71701-0.65481
Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers
52.5%
47.5%
+102
-108
+100
-107


6
2
-0.71728-0.70991-0.64396
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Yankees
42.5%
57.5%
+150
-155
+150
-160
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+125
12
5
-0.92410-0.93156-0.85480
Colorado Rockies
Baltimore Orioles
36.7%
63.3%
+171
-180
+177
-188
+1½-115
-1½+107
+1½-115
-1½+114
6
5
-1.00876-1.03254-1.00329
Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates
54.4%
45.6%
+101
-102
-104
-101

-1½+150
+1½-165
1
0
-0.70059-0.68595-0.60862
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
33.2%
66.8%
+195
-210
+200
-215
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½+100
-1½-110
5
1
-1.09808-1.11438-1.10313
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
46.2%
53.8%
+128
-135
+125
-134
+1½-164
-1½+152
+1½-160
-1½+145
4
2
-0.83716-0.82789-0.77171
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
41.5%
58.5%
+139
-141
+130
-135
+1½-173
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+165
5
2
-0.87476-0.84211-0.87933
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
46.9%
53.1%
+138
-146
+137
-150
+1½-163
-1½+149
+1½-160
-1½+150
7
9
-0.53529-0.53253-0.63243
Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers
43.4%
56.6%
+127
-131
+126
-135
+1½-168
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+160
11
4
-0.82739-0.83218-0.83536
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Guardians
48.0%
52.0%
+105
-110
+107
-113
+1½-195
-1½+178
+1½-185
-1½+175
4
3
-0.72940-0.74108-0.73293
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
41.9%
58.1%
+128
-135
+130
-138
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+150
1
2
-0.56729-0.55953-0.54357
Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
36.5%
63.5%
+195
-207
+190
-200
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½+105
11
9
-1.09497-1.07614-1.00884
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
55.0%
45.0%
-135
+127
-135
+126
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-140
4
8
-0.83466-0.83218-0.79944
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.