MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants
40.4%
59.6%
+145
-154
+151
-158
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+138
1
0
-0.91046-0.93102-0.90701
Cleveland Guardians
Los Angeles Angels
40.5%
59.5%
+204
-200
+210
-220
+1½-103
-1½+105
+1½-103
-1½-110
5
9
-0.40107-0.38472-0.51924
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
57.7%
42.3%
-107
+100
-105
+100
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+160
+1½-168
4
3
-0.67666-0.68116-0.54965
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
40.4%
59.6%
+180
-190
+175
-185
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+120
0
5
-0.43510-0.44482-0.51787
Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves
31.7%
68.3%
+183
-194
+180
-192
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+102
6
3
-1.05340-1.04418-1.14781
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
42.1%
57.9%
+117
-120
+113
-120
+1½-160
-1½+163
+1½-170
-1½+165
7
1
-0.78100-0.77096-0.86458
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
31.5%
68.5%
+220
-240
+224
-240
+1½+105
-1½-116
+1½+110
-1½-112
2
5
-0.36652-0.36272-0.37863
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
56.2%
43.8%
-140
+134
-139
+131
-1½+125
+1½-129
-1½+125
+1½-140
2
1
-0.54962-0.55638-0.57592
Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies
40.1%
59.9%
+185
-192
+185
-200
+1½-115
-1½-103
+1½-110
-1½+100
3
7
-0.42763-0.42286-0.51211
Seattle Mariners
Tampa Bay Rays
49.9%
50.1%
+133
-138
+133
-138
+1½-162
-1½+150
+1½-162
-1½+155
2
3
-0.55399-0.55399-0.69069
San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds
57.1%
42.9%
-163
+154
-157
+152
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-104
+1½+100
8
5
-0.49179-0.50053-0.55977
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
62.6%
37.4%
-164
+155
-160
+155
-1½+100
+1½-116
-1½+103
+1½-115
3
1
-0.48937-0.49303-0.46789
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
66.2%
33.8%
-172
+166
-178
+170
-1½-115
+1½+106
-1½-115
+1½+115
1
3
-0.98658-1.00387-1.08400
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
39.7%
60.3%
+170
-180
+170
-180
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
3
7
-0.45497-0.45497-0.50547
New York Mets
St. Louis Cardinals
51.4%
48.6%
-108
+108
-108
+107
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
5
10
-0.73237-0.72987-0.72118
Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants
35.2%
64.8%
+220
-240
+235
-255
+1½-108
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-108
2
8
-0.36652-0.34753-0.43424
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.