MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
52.2%
47.8%
-106
-103
+100
-102
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+162
+1½-170
1
2
-0.70019-0.68824-0.73737
Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates
51.8%
48.2%
+118
-126
+114
-120
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
5
1
-0.79542-0.77347-0.65774
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians
46.8%
53.2%
+115
-123
+117
-122
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+145
3
0
-0.78202-0.78504-0.75927
Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks
47.2%
52.8%
+141
-150
+143
-150
+1½-145
-1½+131
+1½-140
-1½+127
8
5
-0.89446-0.89936-0.74974
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
56.3%
43.7%
-136
+126
-136
+130
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+104
+1½-115
7
4
-0.56976-0.56217-0.57405
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
41.7%
58.3%
+156
-166
+159
-160
+1½-125
-1½+118
+1½-125
-1½+118
8
5
-0.95459-0.95314-0.87563
Los Angeles Angels
San Diego Padres
36.0%
64.0%
+275
-310
+280
-298
+1½+140
-1½-155
+1½+140
-1½-155
4
0
-1.34427-1.34680-1.02212
Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks
42.7%
57.3%
+161
-169
+158
-166
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+125
3
1
-0.97067-0.95938-0.85088
Chicago White Sox
Oakland Athletics
45.9%
54.1%
+116
-124
+117
-125
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
6
3
-0.78651-0.79098-0.77958
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
62.9%
37.1%
-225
+210
-220
+205
-1½-155
+1½+135
-1½-140
+1½+140
12
3
-0.38251-0.38995-0.46304
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
42.8%
57.2%
+152
-162
+153
-160
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+115
4
5
-0.49579-0.49610-0.55774
Los Angeles Dodgers
St. Louis Cardinals
60.0%
40.0%
-143
+135
-143
+137
-1½+102
+1½-120
-1½+112
+1½-120
7
2
-0.54412-0.54058-0.51114
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
60.0%
40.0%
-143
+135
-139
+135
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+115
+1½-120
4
3
-0.54412-0.54908-0.51108
Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers
51.7%
48.3%
-101
-107
+105
-107
-1½+160
+1½-178

0
10
-0.67911-0.66458-0.72826
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
36.7%
63.3%
+231
-255
+230
-250
+1½+115
-1½-133
+1½+115
-1½-124
5
8
-0.35106-0.35364-0.45747
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
50.9%
49.1%
+105
-112
+109
-110
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-176
-1½+170
12
7
-0.73382-0.73944-0.67519
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.