MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
35.6%
64.4%
+139
-145
+140
-142
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+130
1
4
-0.53471-0.53655-0.43958
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
49.2%
50.8%
-157
+148
-155
+154
-1½-102
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-114
6
1
-0.50687-0.49937-0.70883
Houston Astros
San Diego Padres
50.3%
49.7%
+102
-110
+105
-109
+1½-210
-1½+185
+1½-200
-1½+186
2
10
-0.66532-0.66027-0.69945
Seattle Mariners
Arizona Diamondbacks
55.0%
45.0%
-127
+117
-126
+119
-1½+121
+1½-140
-1½+124
+1½-140
8
5
-0.60086-0.59829-0.59856
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
52.1%
47.9%
-113
+104
-110
+105
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
6
7
-0.73345-0.72940-0.73662
Detroit Tigers
Cincinnati Reds
38.6%
61.4%
+184
-195
+175
-188
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+104
4
7
-0.42702-0.44281-0.48833
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
57.9%
42.1%
-148
+142
-145
+140
-1½+100
+1½-119
-1½+102
+1½-115
10
7
-0.52616-0.53299-0.54657
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
44.3%
55.7%
+113
-120
+111
-119
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
0
4
-0.62096-0.62712-0.58474
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
52.2%
47.8%
-156
+147
-153
+150
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
3
4
-0.91834-0.92103-0.73760
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
52.6%
47.4%
-120
+110
-118
+113
-1½+142
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
2
3
-0.76336-0.76684-0.74748
Cleveland Guardians
Boston Red Sox
36.3%
63.7%
+175
-185
+175
-185
+1½-114
-1½-105
+1½-113
-1½-105
3
4
-0.44482-0.44482-0.45160
Minnesota Twins
Tampa Bay Rays
36.5%
63.5%
+192
-210
+195
-210
+1½-105
-1½-111
+1½-105
-1½-110
4
11
-0.40916-0.40573-0.45432
Oakland Athletics
Toronto Blue Jays
41.7%
58.3%
+164
-171
+165
-171
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+113
8
10
-0.47020-0.46877-0.54025
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
44.4%
55.6%
+139
-145
+141
-146
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+134
6
7
-0.53471-0.53013-0.58781
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
29.8%
70.2%
+292
-330
+300
-330
+1½+160
-1½-170
+1½+155
-1½-170
4
3
-1.38838-1.40360-1.21026
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
56.1%
43.9%
-157
+150
-150
+153
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
11
9
-0.50367-0.50607-0.57887
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.