MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Astros
San Diego Padres
55.7%
44.3%
-118
+108
-115
+109
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+133
+1½-145
6
3
-0.63563-0.63898-0.58524
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
53.3%
46.7%
-121
+115
-120
+115
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+133
+1½-140
2
7
-0.77801-0.77596-0.76207
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
51.5%
48.5%
-116
+108
-116
+112
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
2
3
-0.75001-0.76012-0.72408
Seattle Mariners
Arizona Diamondbacks
52.2%
47.8%
-107
-102
-105
-102
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-160
6
5
-0.68152-0.68605-0.65030
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
35.0%
65.0%
+170
-180
+165
-177
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+117
2
3
-0.45497-0.46409-0.43092
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
55.4%
44.6%
-134
+126
-130
+125
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
3
4
-0.83037-0.82055-0.80670
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
42.0%
58.0%
+155
-165
+158
-162
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
15
4
-0.95078-0.95368-0.86738
Detroit Tigers
Cincinnati Reds
39.6%
60.4%
+161
-165
+162
-172
+1½-125
-1½+108
+1½-125
-1½+110
15
5
-0.96511-0.97710-0.92526
Minnesota Twins
Tampa Bay Rays
40.8%
59.2%
+180
-187
+173
-185
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+105
3
5
-0.43705-0.44744-0.52421
Cleveland Guardians
Boston Red Sox
38.9%
61.1%
+153
-162
+157
-167
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
5
8
-0.49423-0.48373-0.49227
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
62.4%
37.6%
-141
+132
-138
+131
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-130
3
10
-0.85755-0.84989-0.97886
Oakland Athletics
Toronto Blue Jays
41.2%
58.8%
+142
-147
+138
-142
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
10
11
-0.52728-0.54003-0.53176
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
36.9%
63.1%
+210
-225
+210
-220
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-115
3
4
-0.38251-0.38472-0.46018
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
58.7%
41.3%
-123
+114
-124
+120
-1½+121
+1½-135
-1½+124
+1½-135
6
2
-0.61367-0.59946-0.53256
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
44.8%
55.2%
+139
-145
+139
-144
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
5
6
-0.53471-0.53589-0.59468
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
55.0%
45.0%
-152
+143
-146
+142
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-103
+1½-110
6
5
-0.52014-0.52841-0.59693
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.