MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
49.0%
51.0%
-102
-105
+102
-105
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
+1½-170
4
2
-0.70029-0.71031-0.71359
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
43.7%
56.3%
+119
-128
+123
-128
+1½-168
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+151
5
6
-0.59519-0.58709-0.57437
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
42.3%
57.7%
+154
-162
+155
-158
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+130
4
0
-0.94412-0.94063-0.86055
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
42.1%
57.9%
+143
-153
+142
-148
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
3
4
-0.51909-0.52616-0.54630
Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants
39.7%
60.3%
+168
-178
+170
-170
+1½-131
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
1
5
-0.45917-0.46262-0.50584
Oakland Athletics
Detroit Tigers
57.4%
42.6%
-209
+191
-200
+192
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-124
+1½+110
8
6
-0.41083-0.41456-0.55595
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
58.1%
41.9%
-161
+151
-150
+151
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+112
+1½-115
7
6
-0.49827-0.50923-0.54378
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.7%
66.3%
+192
-210
+190
-197
+1½-115
-1½+102
+1½-115
-1½+108
3
4
-0.40916-0.41863-0.41140
Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants
34.7%
65.3%
+170
-178
+168
-175
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
5
2
-1.00387-0.99528-1.05935
Chicago Cubs
Minnesota Twins
41.7%
58.3%
+167
-177
+165
-174
+1½-129
-1½+110
+1½-128
-1½+115
3
0
-0.99552-0.98687-0.87381
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago White Sox
25.2%
74.8%
+337
-370
+313
-350
+1½+161
-1½-175
+1½+170
-1½-170
3
6
-0.25516-0.27102-0.29077
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
48.8%
51.2%
+118
-127
+117
-125
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+155
5
3
-0.79735-0.79098-0.71754
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
51.5%
48.5%
+105
-113
+108
-114
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-215
-1½+195
3
2
-0.73601-0.74575-0.66314
Oakland Athletics
Detroit Tigers
59.1%
40.9%
-175
+167
-172
+166
-1½-116
+1½+100
-1½-109
+1½+105
6
8
-0.99290-0.98658-0.89411
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
31.3%
68.7%
+220
-240
+225
-240
+1½+115
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-128
4
5
-0.36652-0.36179-0.37605
New York Yankees
Los Angeles Angels
64.6%
35.4%
-281
+250
-264
+240
-1½-165
+1½+150
-1½-155
+1½+150
4
1
-0.32742-0.34042-0.43747
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.