MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
52.8%
47.2%
-146
+136
-145
+138
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
0
1
-0.87575-0.87904-0.74972
Kansas City Royals
Toronto Blue Jays
33.2%
66.8%
+220
-240
+215
-224
+1½+110
-1½-128
+1½+115
-1½-125
0
4
-0.36652-0.37787-0.40386
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
37.6%
62.4%
+182
-198
+185
-190
+1½-115
-1½-101
+1½-115
-1½+105
9
4
-1.05561-1.05334-0.97761
Houston Astros
San Francisco Giants
49.2%
50.8%
+113
-123
+115
-123
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+175
9
6
-0.77696-0.78202-0.70981
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
59.4%
40.6%
-198
+182
-192
+185
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-120
+1½+120
5
6
-1.05561-1.05570-0.90106
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
51.6%
48.4%
-112
+102
-110
+106
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-150
2
0
-0.66116-0.65583-0.66206
Minnesota Twins
St. Louis Cardinals
46.2%
53.8%
+142
-152
+144
-148
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+145
1
5
-0.52182-0.52281-0.62075
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox
40.7%
59.3%
+210
-230
+208
-224
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-118
4
6
-0.38037-0.38500-0.52298
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
51.6%
48.4%
-157
+147
-154
+150
-1½+103
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-120
9
5
-0.50846-0.50667-0.66213
Milwaukee Brewers
Atlanta Braves
55.5%
44.5%
-145
+135
-140
+135
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
9
5
-0.54173-0.54782-0.58904
New York Yankees
Miami Marlins
51.9%
48.1%
-164
+151
-160
+152
-1½-104
+1½-110
-1½-103
+1½-110
3
1
-0.49551-0.49765-0.65535
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
46.3%
53.7%
+128
-138
+129
-135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+139
3
7
-0.56328-0.56539-0.62267
Baltimore Orioles
Detroit Tigers
43.6%
56.4%
+141
-151
+140
-148
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+127
4
3
-0.89602-0.88882-0.83057
Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets
44.3%
55.7%
+127
-137
+126
-135
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-172
-1½+155
6
2
-0.83820-0.83218-0.81387
Kansas City Royals
Toronto Blue Jays
37.3%
62.7%
+212
-235
+210
-220
+1½+120
-1½-137
+1½+120
-1½-130
4
6
-0.37631-0.38472-0.46713
Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals
45.7%
54.3%
+120
-130
+121
-125
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+165
3
4
-0.59012-0.59580-0.61024
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.