MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins
54.5%
45.5%
+106
-115
+107
-107


3
1
-0.74282-0.72755-0.60609
Los Angeles Angels
Toronto Blue Jays
40.8%
59.2%
+160
-167
+167
-175
+1½-128
-1½+112
+1½-125
-1½+122
2
3
-0.47929-0.46283-0.52440
Boston Red Sox
Washington Nationals
63.8%
36.2%
-215
+208
-234
+220
-1½-138
+1½+125
-1½-142
+1½+130
6
4
-0.38912-0.36883-0.44871
Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies
35.7%
64.3%
+206
-220
+205
-220
+1½+105
-1½-118
+1½+110
-1½-115
1
3
-0.38889-0.38995-0.44138
Baltimore Orioles
Atlanta Braves
41.7%
58.3%
+144
-150
+135
-145
+1½-140
-1½+137
+1½-155
-1½+140
2
1
-0.90177-0.87165-0.87419
Pittsburgh Pirates
Seattle Mariners
37.3%
62.7%
+148
-158
+150
-162
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+137
0
1
-0.50587-0.49890-0.46716
San Francisco Giants
Oakland Athletics
57.6%
42.4%
-169
+161
-172
+160
-1½-115
+1½+108
-1½-115
+1½+101
7
2
-0.47615-0.47514-0.55170
Texas Rangers
San Diego Padres
40.7%
59.3%
+109
-118
+108
-116
+1½-200
-1½+178
+1½-200
-1½+175
7
4
-0.75673-0.75001-0.89828
Chicago White Sox
Colorado Rockies
49.9%
50.1%
+127
-135
+135
-133
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+145
10
3
-0.83466-0.85076-0.69575
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Dodgers
43.7%
56.3%
+138
-144
+140
-146
+1½-163
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+150
6
4
-0.87738-0.88557-0.82867
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
57.8%
42.2%
-126
+120
-127
+126
-1½+132
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-140
1
0
-0.59626-0.58272-0.54872
New York Yankees
New York Mets
53.7%
46.3%
-140
+131
-138
+130
-1½+115
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-130
6
12
-0.85334-0.84742-0.77098
Kansas City Royals
Arizona Diamondbacks
43.5%
56.5%
+121
-124
+122
-130
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-165
-1½+152
1
7
-0.59740-0.58609-0.57033
Baltimore Orioles
Atlanta Braves
43.5%
56.5%
+142
-147
+137
-146
+1½-157
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+140
9
6
-0.89211-0.87822-0.83211
Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins
57.7%
42.3%
-132
+126
-131
+126
-1½+112
+1½-125
-1½+121
+1½-135
2
4
-0.82675-0.82490-0.86083
Boston Red Sox
Washington Nationals
51.0%
49.0%
-110
+105
-112
+110
-1½+145
+1½-155

10
3
-0.65817-0.64257-0.67364
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.