MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 22, 2025
Games for Dec 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
58.4%
41.6%
-177
+163
-179
+170
-1½-115
+1½-104
-1½-110
+1½+100
3
7
-0.98602-1.00512-0.87690
Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics
53.4%
46.6%
-123
+114
-125
+115
-1½+131
+1½-150
-1½+134
+1½-145
3
6
-0.77949-0.78592-0.76404
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
54.8%
45.2%
-130
+121
-128
+123
-1½+127
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-144
1
7
-0.81054-0.81180-0.79487
Washington Nationals
New York Yankees
45.8%
54.2%
+109
-117
+113
-119
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
3
4
-0.63522-0.62273-0.61164
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
44.2%
55.8%
+175
-190
+175
-185
+1½-122
-1½+105
+1½-124
-1½+106
2
3
-0.44150-0.44482-0.58331
Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals
41.6%
58.4%
+175
-183
+170
-180
+1½-125
-1½+111
+1½-125
-1½+112
8
9
-0.44619-0.45497-0.53717
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
50.0%
50.0%
-135
+131
-138
+132
-1½+125
+1½-131
-1½+120
+1½-135
4
5
-0.84460-0.85238-0.69305
Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics
45.8%
54.2%
+114
-121
+117
-125
+1½-190
-1½+166
+1½-175
-1½+165
1
2
-0.61706-0.60404-0.61319
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Angels
58.4%
41.6%
-171
+159
-164
+156
-1½-111
+1½-101
-1½-110
+1½-106
2
9
-0.96861-0.95176-0.87731
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
49.0%
51.0%
-152
+144
-150
+146
-1½+103
+1½-119
-1½+105
+1½-115
6
2
-0.51849-0.51730-0.71243
Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Guardians
51.1%
48.9%
+131
-140
+135
-140
+1½-165
-1½+148
+1½-160
-1½+155
3
0
-0.85334-0.86325-0.67203
Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals
40.6%
59.4%
+190
-200
+192
-210
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+100
0
5
-0.41690-0.40916-0.52145
Toronto Blue Jays
Houston Astros
41.7%
58.3%
+135
-139
+131
-138
+1½-155
-1½+136
+1½-151
-1½+135
4
10
-0.54908-0.55767-0.53899
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
59.1%
40.9%
-141
+131
-143
+138
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+108
+1½-115
3
0
-0.55384-0.53883-0.52662
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
50.4%
49.6%
+112
-119
+115
-116
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-190
-1½+175
5
4
-0.76638-0.76761-0.68508
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
47.4%
52.6%
+129
-139
+132
-140
+1½-157
-1½+144
+1½-160
-1½+144
12
2
-0.84665-0.85583-0.74699
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.