MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
47.8%
52.2%
-105
-103
+100
-102
+1½-215
-1½+185

4
3
-0.68844-0.69808-0.73888
Pittsburgh Pirates
Minnesota Twins
34.5%
65.5%
+196
-210
+195
-210
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½-108
-1½-105
6
2
-1.10033-1.09808-1.06415
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
48.5%
51.5%
-111
+106
-114
+107
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-159
2
1
-0.65377-0.64546-0.72451
Seattle Mariners
Boston Red Sox
41.5%
58.5%
+180
-195
+180
-190
+1½-108
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
8
2
-1.04762-1.04185-0.88003
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
39.2%
60.8%
+133
-140
+137
-141
+1½-170
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+150
6
1
-0.85830-0.86986-0.93637
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
46.9%
53.1%
+126
-131
+126
-130
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+160
3
5
-0.57675-0.57821-0.63313
Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies
49.3%
50.7%
+115
-123
+113
-119
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+152
4
5
-0.61153-0.62273-0.67982
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
47.0%
53.0%
-107
-101
+100
-104
-1½+155
+1½-168
-1½+158
+1½-165
4
5
-0.70739-0.68349-0.63501
Pittsburgh Pirates
Minnesota Twins
38.9%
61.1%
+144
-150
+145
-150
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-140
-1½+136
0
2
-0.52062-0.51896-0.49297
Texas Rangers
Chicago White Sox
42.7%
57.3%
+133
-140
+130
-138
+1½-155
-1½+144
+1½-150
-1½+140
7
9
-0.55144-0.55953-0.55638
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
43.2%
56.8%
+149
-159
+150
-160
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+130
4
5
-0.50332-0.50078-0.56618
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
46.4%
53.6%
+144
-154
+148
-153
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+133
4
5
-0.51639-0.51089-0.62431
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
41.3%
58.7%
+150
-157
+151
-160
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+139
5
3
-0.92712-0.93397-0.88382
New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians
49.4%
50.6%
-161
+149
-154
+146
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-105
5
3
-0.50142-0.51309-0.70595
Seattle Mariners
Boston Red Sox
44.3%
55.7%
+132
-141
+136
-141
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
5
6
-0.55199-0.54480-0.58533
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
54.3%
45.7%
-113
+103
-110
+106
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-147
6
2
-0.65676-0.65583-0.61133
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.