MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 23, 2025
Games for Dec 25, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
36.5%
63.5%
+276
-300
+268
-300
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+116
-1½-130
0
6
-0.30351-0.30919-0.45352
Oakland Athletics
Baltimore Orioles
56.0%
44.0%
-127
+117
-127
+120
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+117
+1½-135
3
1
-0.60086-0.59470-0.57932
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
41.4%
58.6%
+145
-155
+148
-152
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+125
2
15
-0.51371-0.51194-0.53447
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
34.0%
66.0%
+150
-163
+159
-167
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+125
3
2
-0.93586-0.96317-1.07999
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
44.0%
56.0%
+135
-142
+135
-140
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
0
3
-0.54535-0.54782-0.57918
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
46.0%
54.0%
+117
-127
+117
-123
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+155
2
8
-0.60086-0.60732-0.61580
New York Mets
Chicago Cubs
51.8%
48.2%
+101
-111
+100
-109
-1½+151
+1½-170

3
4
-0.66563-0.67229-0.72915
Seattle Mariners
Boston Red Sox
47.7%
52.3%
+156
-167
+155
-163
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+117
7
3
-0.95597-0.94794-0.74110
New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians
48.3%
51.7%
-101
-107
+100
-110
+1½-200
-1½+176

6
3
-0.70739-0.71668-0.72859
Pittsburgh Pirates
Detroit Tigers
48.1%
51.9%
+108
-117
+110
-115
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-187
-1½+170
4
2
-0.75211-0.75294-0.73278
Arizona Diamondbacks
Cincinnati Reds
43.1%
56.9%
+132
-142
+132
-138
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+143
14
11
-0.85923-0.85238-0.84153
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
46.2%
53.8%
-109
-101
-105
+100
+1½-215
-1½+185

8
9
-0.71192-0.70528-0.62068
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
44.8%
55.2%
+113
-122
+118
-124
+1½-165
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+150
6
3
-0.77499-0.79153-0.80336
New York Mets
Chicago Cubs
52.6%
47.4%
-125
+115
-124
+120
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+136
+1½-155
4
16
-0.78592-0.79653-0.74670
Arizona Diamondbacks
Cincinnati Reds
38.0%
62.0%
+155
-166
+158
-168
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-134
-1½+116
8
5
-0.95218-0.96215-0.96753
Pittsburgh Pirates
Detroit Tigers
46.1%
53.9%
+124
-133
+125
-130
+1½-192
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
2
5
-0.57778-0.58016-0.61876
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.