MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
46.4%
53.6%
-150
+145
-145
+138
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-125
2
1
-0.51765-0.53473-0.76854
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
62.4%
37.6%
-195
+185
-190
+180
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+100
2
5
-1.06441-1.04700-0.97835
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
36.4%
63.6%
+175
-178
+170
-183
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+104
1
2
-0.44890-0.44920-0.45177
Seattle Mariners
Arizona Diamondbacks
41.8%
58.2%
-112
+105
-105
+100
-1½+145
+1½-160

3
4
-0.73449-0.70542-0.54196
Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins
49.7%
50.3%
-115
+110
-112
+108
-1½+145
+1½-165

1
3
-0.75362-0.74183-0.68806
Los Angeles Angels
Colorado Rockies
44.8%
55.2%
+130
-130
+123
-130
+1½-149
-1½+130
+1½-148
-1½+130
4
8
-0.57054-0.58268-0.59354
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
55.6%
44.4%
-119
+110
-120
+110
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-178
3
5
-0.76269-0.76492-0.81186
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
45.8%
54.2%
-111
+105
-110
+105
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
3
1
-0.65560-0.65778-0.78045
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
41.1%
58.9%
+160
-167
+156
-164
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+120
0
1
-0.47734-0.48566-0.52853
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
29.4%
70.6%
+235
-250
+230
-255
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-130
3
4
-0.34547-0.34582-0.34831
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
60.5%
39.5%
-176
+166
-172
+163
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+108
10
6
-0.46066-0.46831-0.50268
Pittsburgh Pirates
Kansas City Royals
46.3%
53.7%
+135
-138
+130
-138
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-150
-1½+140
3
4
-0.54965-0.55769-0.62258
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
34.9%
65.1%
+230
-185
+180
-190
+1½+110
-1½+125
+1½-130
-1½+120
1
10
-0.39594-0.43229-0.42894
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
31.4%
68.6%
+240
-260
+240
-263
+1½+120
-1½-140
+1½+120
-1½-130
1
11
-0.33680-0.33519-0.37737
New York Mets
Toronto Blue Jays
57.9%
42.1%
-215
+205
-215
+197
-1½-145
+1½+130
-1½-135
+1½+127
18
1
-0.38960-0.39613-0.54656
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
51.8%
48.2%
-155
+150
-154
+145
-1½-110
+1½-101
-1½-110
+1½+102
7
8
-0.92614-0.91397-0.73075
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.