MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago White Sox
57.6%
42.4%
-121
+115
-118
+116
-1½+132
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-140
12
2
-0.61493-0.61806-0.55172
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
42.7%
57.3%
-105
-104
-103
-104

+1½-200
-1½+180
5
1
-0.69081-0.69551-0.84982
Minnesota Twins
Cincinnati Reds
47.1%
52.9%
+111
-116
+112
-120
+1½-183
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+170
5
6
-0.63260-0.62315-0.63622
Arizona Diamondbacks
Toronto Blue Jays
44.7%
55.3%
+112
-120
+110
-118
+1½-187
-1½+167
+1½-185
-1½+175
4
5
-0.62315-0.63113-0.59189
Los Angeles Angels
New York Yankees
34.5%
65.5%
+208
-225
+210
-225
+1½+110
-1½-123
+1½+110
-1½-120
4
0
-1.14175-1.14618-1.06314
Colorado Rockies
Washington Nationals
35.8%
64.2%
+172
-177
+168
-180
+1½-120
-1½+108
+1½-120
-1½+110
10
6
-1.00726-1.00169-1.02719
Pittsburgh Pirates
Detroit Tigers
34.9%
65.1%
+182
-195
+190
-195
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-120
-1½+120
3
7
-0.42948-0.41980-0.42929
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
59.6%
40.4%
-163
+153
-168
+157
-1½+110
+1½-118
-1½+100
+1½-110
3
8
-0.94312-0.95975-0.90604
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.2%
58.8%
+160
-169
+160
-166
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+140
3
6
-0.47760-0.48015-0.53144
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
56.0%
44.0%
-109
+104
-107
+100
-1½+148
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-155
1
3
-0.72460-0.70991-0.81984
Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners
35.4%
64.6%
+155
-165
+155
-165
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
2
0
-0.95078-0.95078-1.03840
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
45.8%
54.2%
-101
-105
+100
-106
+1½-205
-1½+189
+1½-200
-1½+180
1
7
-0.68363-0.67889-0.61264
Los Angeles Angels
New York Yankees
34.3%
65.7%
+177
-184
+173
-184
+1½-124
-1½+112
+1½-130
-1½+115
1
0
-1.02770-1.01841-1.07017
Colorado Rockies
Washington Nationals
34.6%
65.4%
+144
-153
+150
-155
+1½-148
-1½+139
+1½-140
-1½+140
6
4
-0.90646-0.92410-1.06239
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
57.5%
42.5%
-107
-101
-106
-103
-1½+157
+1½-165

5
2
-0.67911-0.68615-0.55290
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.0%
63.0%
+165
-170
+173
-179
+1½-120
-1½+112
+1½-110
-1½+110
4
5
-0.46959-0.45168-0.46156
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.