MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Phillies
Pittsburgh Pirates
54.1%
45.9%
-125
+117
-127
+118
-1½+127
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
4
5
-0.79098-0.79735-0.77879
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
62.2%
37.8%
-129
+120
-130
+125
-1½+125
+1½-138
-1½+130
+1½-135
2
7
-0.80616-0.82055-0.97164
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
41.9%
58.1%
+175
-185
+173
-180
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+115
6
9
-0.44482-0.45095-0.54361
Chicago Cubs
Detroit Tigers
36.5%
63.5%
+172
-182
+175
-184
+1½-138
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+125
1
3
-0.45086-0.44551-0.45479
Houston Astros
Cleveland Guardians
50.6%
49.4%
-126
+119
-125
+121
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
4
2
-0.59829-0.59580-0.68047
Arizona Diamondbacks
Cincinnati Reds
45.0%
55.0%
-109
+101
-110
+105
-1½+145
+1½-157
-1½+145
+1½-150
3
4
-0.71701-0.72940-0.59846
Texas Rangers
Washington Nationals
50.9%
49.1%
-107
+102
-107
+108
-1½+145
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-150
0
2
-0.71498-0.73004-0.71206
Miami Marlins
Tampa Bay Rays
39.0%
61.0%
+127
-136
+134
-136
+1½-158
-1½+149
+1½-155
-1½+150
3
4
-0.56784-0.55479-0.49472
Houston Astros
Pittsburgh Pirates
56.2%
43.8%
-136
+127
-137
+128
-1½+125
+1½-138
-1½+122
+1½-135
8
2
-0.56784-0.56460-0.57565
Kansas City Royals
St. Louis Cardinals
45.3%
54.7%
-101
-102
+100
-104

+1½-210
-1½+200
7
5
-0.69559-0.70289-0.79204
Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays
43.6%
56.4%
+123
-127
+125
-131
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+150
3
4
-0.58864-0.57869-0.57286
Cleveland Guardians
New York Yankees
34.5%
65.5%
+236
-260
+235
-250
+1½+115
-1½-128
+1½+115
-1½-125
0
4
-0.34507-0.34919-0.42376
Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals
59.2%
40.8%
-145
+141
-145
+136
-1½+105
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-123
7
1
-0.53128-0.53996-0.52432
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
45.0%
55.0%
+116
-126
+117
-125
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
5
6
-0.60453-0.60404-0.59820
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
42.8%
57.2%
-101
-105
+100
+100

+1½-210
-1½+205
2
3
-0.68363-0.69315-0.55783
Baltimore Orioles
Seattle Mariners
39.2%
60.8%
+136
-143
+140
-147
+1½-160
-1½+152
+1½-160
-1½+148
4
3
-0.87079-0.88719-0.93647
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.