NBA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 25, 2025

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		PointsTotal
Points		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Cleveland Cavaliers (16-14)
New York Knicks (20-8)		28.8%
71.2%
+110
-130
+170
-200
+6-110
-2-110
+5½-110
-5½-110
114.8
121.1		235.9
o230½-115
u236½-110
o236½-110
u236½-110
All Bet Values Active
San Antonio Spurs (21-7)
Oklahoma City Thunder (26-3)		21.1%
78.9%
+300
-400
+370
-475
+10-110
-9½-110
+10½-110
-10½-110
111.9
120.6		232.5
o228½-110
u234-110
o233½-110
u234½-110
All Bet Values Active
Dallas Mavericks (11-19)
Golden State Warriors (15-15)		26.1%
73.9%
+165
-195
+245
-300
+7½-110
-4½-110
+7½-110
-7½-110
110.2
117.8		228.0
o227½-110
u227½-110
o227½-110
u228-110
All Bet Values Active
Houston Rockets (17-9)
Los Angeles Lakers (19-8)		58.9%
41.1%
+120
-140
-190
+165
+2½-110
+5-110
-4½-110
+4½-110
117.0
113.8		230.8
o223½-110
u228½-110
o228½-110
u228½-110
All Bet Values Active
Minnesota Timberwolves (19-10)
Denver Nuggets (21-7)		39.4%
60.6%
+170
-200
+160
-185
+5-110
-4½-105
+5-110
-4½-110
117.3
120.7		238.0
o230-110
u237-110
o236½-110
u237½-110
All Bet Values Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 24, 2025
Games for Dec 26, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Closing
ML		Closing
Spread		Orig. Total
Points		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Memphis Grizzlies (13-16)
Utah Jazz (10-18)		54.9%
45.1%
-164
+150
-170
+150
-4-105
+4-105
-4-109
+4½-115
244.3
o242+102
u241½-110
o240½-110
u242½-110
4th Q
END-		137
128
Orlando Magic (16-13)
Portland Trail Blazers (12-17)		52.5%
47.5%
-115
+105
-120
+105
-1-106
+1½-110
-1-110
+1½-109
234.9
o230½-103
u231½-110
o231-110
u231½-110
3rd Q
07:56		74
59
Detroit Pistons (23-6)
Sacramento Kings (7-22)		74.0%
26.0%
-420
+370
-400
+350
-9½-110
+10-106
-9-110
+9½-109
229.6
o226-107
u226+100
o226-110
u227-110
3rd Q
10:06		77
65
Houston Rockets (17-9)
Los Angeles Clippers (7-21)		72.4%
27.6%
-250
+226
-245
+230
-7-101
+7-106
-7-105
+7½-110
222.0
o219-108
u220½-110
o219½-110
u220-110
2nd Q
03:11		54
56

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		Final
Points		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Rockets
Chicago Bulls		59.0%
41.0%
-180
+175
-180
+160
-5-108
+5-105
-4½-109
+4½-105
143
107		-0.44830-0.46893-0.52784
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks		27.6%
72.4%
+400
-500
+375
-450
+10½-108
-10-110
+10-109
-10-109
104
114		-0.21511-0.22897-0.32305
Dallas Mavericks
Oklahoma City Thunder		27.4%
72.6%
+240
-280
+250
-280
+7½-108
-7-115
+7½-110
-7-109
121
119		-1.25425-1.27508-1.29364
Charlotte Hornets
Cleveland Cavaliers		18.1%
81.9%
+400
-450
+400
-450
+10-108
-10-108
+10-109
-10-109
114
128		-0.21869-0.21869-0.19937
Detroit Pistons
Washington Wizards		59.0%
41.0%
-195
+180
-200
+175
-5-108
+5+100
-5-109
+5-109
124
104		-0.43197-0.43532-0.52848
Atlanta Hawks
Portland Trail Blazers		57.8%
42.2%
-170
+160
-170
+160
-4-108
+4-107
-4-109
+4-109
110
114		-0.96964-0.96964-0.86171
Denver Nuggets
Memphis Grizzlies		41.6%
58.4%
+205
-225
+200
-210
+6½-108
-6-110
+6-105
-6-109
90
105		-0.38769-0.40015-0.53729
Miami Heat
Indiana Pacers		37.4%
62.6%
+145
-160
+140
-160
+3½-105
-3½-108
+4-110
-3½-109
110
119		-0.50878-0.51706-0.46893
Phoenix Suns
Minnesota Timberwolves		29.8%
70.2%
+240
-270
+250
-280
+7½-108
-7½-105
+7½-109
-7-115
117
120		-0.33865-0.32768-0.35337
Utah Jazz
Sacramento Kings		43.6%
56.4%
+227
-255
+240
-240
+7-108
-7-108
+7-109
-6½-110
117
121		-0.35469-0.34831-0.57318
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks		19.7%
80.3%
+650
-700
+550
-750
+14-105
-13½-110
+13½-109
-13-110
93
110		-0.14183-0.16073-0.21918
Los Angeles Lakers
New Orleans Pelicans		66.4%
33.6%
-310
+290
-300
+275
-8-108
+8½-110
-7½-110
+8-110
104
99		-0.29201-0.30422-0.40893
Toronto Raptors
Boston Celtics		7.9%
92.1%
+985
-1385
+1000
-1300
+16½-108
-16½-108
+16½-109
-16½-109
123
126		-0.09424-0.09340-0.08257
Milwaukee Bucks
Charlotte Hornets		62.5%
37.5%
-160
+150
-170
+150
-4+100
+4-110
-3½-110
+4-109
114
115		-0.93156-0.94549-0.97979
Minnesota Timberwolves
Sacramento Kings		58.0%
42.0%
-120
+110
-120
+110
-1½-110
+2-108
-1½-109
+2-110
130
126		-0.62755-0.62755-0.54407
Memphis Grizzlies
Golden State Warriors		30.8%
69.2%
+245
-280
+250
-300
+7½-113
-7-108
+7½-109
-7-105
118
123		-0.33173-0.32277-0.36774
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks74404998-2417 (0.673)25-0.60629 
Sportsbooks74404984-2422 (0.672)34-0.60704 
DRatings74404886-2554 (0.657)0-0.61770
-0.01140
-0.01066

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the NBA games that we provide above are at “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score of the game.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.

Related Blog Posts

Randomness, Edge, and Volume in Sports Betting Outcomes

We dig into the data behind variance and expectation.

Top 5 Sweepstakes Sportsbooks

Find out who makes our top five sweepstakes sportsbook list.

2025-2026 NFL Season Preview

Here is our 2025-2026 NFL season preview based on 1,000 simulations.

The Predictive Power of Prediction Markets

Discover how prediction markets deliver accurate forecasts.

Creating a Ratings Model with Bradley-Terry

Modeling with the Bradley-Terry model in Python

All Blog Posts