NCAA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 5, 2026

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Southern University Jaguars (14-16)
Alabama A&M Bulldogs (17-13)
50.6%
49.4%
-114
-110
-109
+100
+0-110
+1-115
+0-109
+1-110
74.1
73.8
147.9
o144½-110
u145½-110
o145-110
u145½-110
Jacksonville State Gamecocks (14-15)
New Mexico State Aggies (13-15)
35.5%
64.5%
+220
-260
+235
-260
+6-105
-6-110
+7-110
-6-110
69.3
74.0
143.3
o144½-108
u145½-110
o144½-110
u145-110
Ark Pine Bluff Golden Lions (12-18)
Alcorn State Braves (8-21)
56.4%
43.6%
-120
+100
-120
+110
-1-110
+1½-110
-1-110
+1½-105
77.7
75.2
152.9
o144½-110
u146-115
o146-110
u147-110
South Florida Bulls (21-8)
Memphis Tigers (12-17)
68.8%
31.2%
-320
+263
-310
+290
-7½-105
+7½-107
-7-115
+8-109
83.6
77.9
161.5
o163-105
u163-110
o163-110
u164-110
Kennesaw State Owls (18-11)
UTEP Miners (10-19)
62.3%
37.7%
-170
+157
-170
+160
-3½-110
+3½-105
-3½-109
+3½-109
76.4
72.5
148.9
o149-110
u149½-110
o149-110
u149½-110
Pepperdine Waves (9-22)
Portland Pilots (13-18)
38.0%
62.0%
+145
-160
+150
-160
+3½-110
-3½-109
+3½-109
-3½-105
73.0
76.8
149.8
o154½-108
u154½-110
o154-110
u155-110
Cal State Northridge Matadors (18-12)
CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (8-22)
73.9%
26.1%
-400
+320
-375
+360
-8½-108
+8½-110
-8-110
+8½-109
85.3
77.9
163.2
o165½-110
u165½-110
o165½-110
u166-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Lindenwood Lions (18-14)
SE Missouri State Redhawks (19-12)
43.0%
57.0%
+140
-145
+145
-160
+3-103
-2½-110
+3½-109
-3-110
72.7
75.3
148.0
o149-103
u149-107
o148½-110
u149-110
South Dakota State Jackrabbits (14-17)
St. Thomas Tommies (23-8)
32.5%
67.5%
+195
-220
+195
-215
+5-110
-5-105
+5½-110
-5-109
72.5
78.0
150.5
o150-110
u150-110
o148½-110
u151-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Evansville Purple Aces (7-24)
Northern Iowa Panthers (19-12)
9.1%
90.9%
+800
-1250
+1000
-1500
+14½-105
-14-110
+14½-110
-14-105
57.4
70.9
128.3
o127½-107
u128½-110
o128-110
u128½-110
UC San Diego Tritons (21-9)
Cal State Fullerton Titans (15-15)
63.0%
37.0%
-145
+130
-150
+145
-3-106
+3-110
-3-109
+3½-110
81.3
77.2
158.5
o156-110
u156½-110
o155½-110
u156½-110
Abilene Christian Wildcats (13-16)
California Baptist Lancers (21-8)
19.6%
80.4%
+400
-490
+425
-500
+10-110
-9½-115
+10-109
-9½-110
64.6
73.7
138.3
o136½-110
u137-110
o137-110
u137-110
Cal Poly Mustangs (13-17)
UC Irvine Anteaters (20-10)
18.8%
81.2%
+370
-465
+435
-420
+9½-110
-9½-107
+10-110
-9-110
73.6
83.1
156.7
o160-110
u161½-113
o158-110
u161-110
All Bet Values Active
UC Davis Aggies (17-12)
Long Beach State 49ers (9-21)
55.6%
44.4%
-125
+110
-135
+120
-2-104
+2-110
-2-109
+2½-110
75.4
73.2
148.6
o150-110
u150-110
o150-110
u151-110
San Diego Toreros (11-20)
Loyola Marymount Lions (15-16)
28.9%
71.1%
+201
-240
+215
-240
+5½-109
-5½-110
+5½-105
-5½-109
70.5
76.8
147.3
o145-110
u146-110
o146-110
u146½-110
Games for Mar 4, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Points
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Holy Cross Crusaders (11-21)
Lehigh Mountain Hawks (15-16)
28.9%
71.1%
+210
-240
+215
-240
+5½-105
-5-110
+5½-110
-5-105
139.8
o142-110
u142-110
o142-110
u143-110
FINAL
FINAL
66
69
MTSU Blue Raiders (15-14)
FIU Golden Panthers (14-15)
46.7%
53.3%
-115
-105
-110
+100
+0-110
+1-110
+0-110
+1-109
153.1
o153½-110
u154-110
o153-110
u154½-110
2nd H
00:48
68
65
Sam Houston State Bearkats (21-8)
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens (9-20)
72.5%
27.5%
-320
+280
-320
+305
-7½-105
+7½-110
-7-110
+8-110
146.1
o147½-110
u148-110
o147½-110
u148-110
2nd H
00:02
79
82
Tulsa Golden Hurricane (23-6)
East Carolina Pirates (11-18)
78.3%
21.7%
-460
+400
-420
+380
-9-105
+9½-110
-9-105
+9½-109
152.6
o156-110
u156½-105
o156½-110
u156½-110
2nd H
03:10
88
62
Eastern Illinois Panthers (13-19)
Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks (21-10)
25.7%
74.3%
+316
-380
+335
-380
+8-109
-8-107
+8½-109
-8-110
126.6
o126½-110
u127½-110
o125½-110
u126½-110
FINAL
FINAL
63
66
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles (10-22)
North Dakota State Bison (24-7)
18.1%
81.9%
+613
-800
+650
-820
+12+100
-12½-110
+12½-109
-12-110
148.8
o147½-110
u148½-110
o147-110
u147½-110
FINAL
FINAL
65
76
Indiana State Sycamores (11-20)
Valparaiso Beacons (17-14)
41.4%
58.6%
+120
-140
+135
-140
+2-105
-2-110
+2½-110
-2-109
141.0
o141-110
u141-108
o140-110
u141½-110
2nd H
00:01
62
63
Bethune Cookman Wildcats (17-13)
Florida A&M Rattlers (13-15)
60.7%
39.3%

-145
+125
-2½-105
+2½-110
-2½-109
+2½-109
147.5
o146-110
u146½-110
o145-110
u145½-110
2nd H
10:34
51
53
Michigan Wolverines (27-2)
Iowa Hawkeyes (20-9)
77.8%
22.2%
-420
+330
-420
+375
-8½-110
+9-110
-9-109
+9-109
147.8
o146-110
u147-110
o146½-110
u147-110
2nd H
18:49
32
33
Howard Bison (20-10)
Norfolk State Spartans (15-15)
64.5%
35.5%

-250
+235
-6-110
+6-110
-5½-109
+6-105
144.5
o149-110
u149½-105
o148½-110
u149-110
1st H
03:54
29
31
Delaware State Hornets (6-22)
MD E Shore Fighting Hawks (9-21)
28.0%
72.0%
+195
-235
+220
-250
+5½-110
-5½-108
+5½-105
-5-110
127.9
o124½-115
u125-110
o124-110
u124½-110
TIME
HALF
26
25
Prairie View A&M Panthers (13-17)
Texas Southern Tigers (12-16)
38.6%
61.4%
+106
-125
+115
-120
+2-110
-2-105
+2-110
-1-109
157.8
o154-110
u155-110
o154-110
u154½-110
1st H
06:42
20
23
Grambling State Tigers (12-18)
Alabama State Hornets (10-20)
45.0%
55.0%
+130
-149
+120
-135
+2½-105
-2-110
+2½-110
-2-109
144.8
o144½-110
u145½-110
o144½-110
u145-110
1st H
07:48
17
19
Coppin State Eagles (7-23)
Morgan State Bears (13-15)
26.0%
74.0%
+220
-270
+220
-250
+6-105
-6-110
+6-109
-6-105
148.5
o150½-110
u150½-105
o149-110
u150-110
1st H
07:30
19
17
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (18-11)
Missouri State Bears (13-16)
56.8%
43.2%
-109
-110
-110
-105
+0-110
+0-105
+0-110
+1-109
149.2
o152-110
u153-110
o152½-110
u153-110
TIME
HALF
38
43
Rutgers Scarlet Knights (12-17)
Michigan State Spartans (24-5)
5.1%
94.9%
+1550
-4500
+1800
-3800
+19½-105
-19½-110
+20-109
-19½-110
140.7
o142-105
u142½-110
o141½-110
u143-110
TIME
HALF
30
31
UT Arlington Mavericks (15-13)
Tarleton State Texans (14-16)
48.7%
51.3%
+110
-115
+110
-115
+1-110
-1-109
+1½-109
-1-110
138.0
o136-110
u136-105
o136½-110
u137½-110
TIME
HALF
29
28
MS Valley State Delta Devils (3-28)
Jackson State Tigers (10-20)
13.7%
86.3%
+490
-833
+575
-750
+11½-106
-11½-105
+11½-109
-11½-109
148.0
o145-110
u145-110
o145-110
u145½-110
1st H
10:48
0
15
Georgia Southern Eagles (17-15)
Arkansas State Red Wolves (20-11)
29.4%
70.6%
+285
-330
+280
-310
+7½-107
-7½-110
+7½-109
-7-110
164.6
o166-103
u166½-110
o165½-110
u166½-110
1st H
11:58
16
13
Utah Valley Wolverines (22-7)
Southern Utah Thunderbirds (10-19)
82.1%
17.9%
-525
+430
-500
+435
-9½-110
+10-110
-9½-109
+10-110
148.9
o150-110
u150½-110
o150-110
u151½-110
1st H
03:52
41
28
Manhattan Jaspers (12-19)
Fairfield Stags (19-12)
33.2%
66.8%
+175
-200
+175
-190
+4½-110
-4½-105
+4½-110
-4-109
149.8
o148-110
u149-110
o148-110
u148½-110
1st H
05:54
17
21

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Le Moyne Dolphins
New Haven Chargers
56.0%
44.0%
-135
+115
-135
+115
-2-105
+2-110
-2-110
+2½-109
59
66
-0.80428-0.80428-0.82084
Cleveland State Vikings
Robert Morris Colonials
16.1%
83.9%
+680
-900
+700
-1000
+12½-110
-12½-105
+13-109
-12½-110
64
83
-0.13318-0.12883-0.17534
New Mexico State Aggies
MTSU Blue Raiders
35.8%
64.2%
+203
-235
+220
-240
+5½-110
-5-116
+6-110
-5-110
85
86
-0.38559-0.36652-0.44379
Missouri Tigers
Mississippi State Bulldogs
54.1%
45.9%
-125
+115
-125
+110
-1-115
+2-114
-1-110
+1½-109
88
64
-0.60825-0.61904-0.61443
Fordham Rams
VCU Rams
9.1%
90.9%
+661
-950
+700
-900
+13-110
-13-105
+13-109
-12½-110
63
82
-0.13561-0.13005-0.09584
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
Holy Cross Crusaders
46.1%
53.9%
+105
-125
+105
-125
+1½-110
-1-110
+1½-109
-1½-109
76
62
-0.76029-0.76029-0.77492
Boston University Terriers
American University Eagles
38.0%
62.0%
+140
-161
+130
-145
+3-105
-3-110
+3-110
-2½-109
68
65
-0.90845-0.85918-0.96653
Colorado Buffaloes
Houston Cougars
6.2%
93.8%
+1300
-5000
+1800
-3800
+18½-110
-18½-105
+19-110
-18½-109
62
102
-0.07033-0.05261-0.06379
Saint Joseph's Hawks
Rhode Island Rams
40.3%
59.7%
+125
-125
+130
-140
+2½-110
-2-108
+2½-109
-2-110
61
55
-0.81094-0.85085-0.90981
Florida State Seminoles
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
67.1%
32.9%
-250
+211
-245
+210
-6-101
+5½-110
-5½-109
+6½-110
80
71
-0.37167-0.37449-0.39951
Seton Hall Pirates
Connecticut Huskies
9.5%
90.5%
+776
-1100
+800
-1200
+13+100
-13-108
+13½-110
-13-109
67
71
-0.11738-0.11366-0.10032
Iowa Hawkeyes
Penn State Nittany Lions
82.2%
17.8%
-525
+446
-545
+425
-9-110
+9½-110
-9½-109
+10-110
69
71
-1.72031-1.69304-1.72524
Virginia Cavaliers
Duke Blue Devils
18.5%
81.5%
+430
-550
+475
-550
+10-109
-10-108
+10½-110
-10-109
51
77
-0.20130-0.18692-0.20417
NC State Wolfpack
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
74.2%
25.8%
-275
+249
-260
+250
-6½-105
+6½-110
-6-110
+6½-109
90
96
-1.26958-1.26068-1.35557
Louisiana Lafayette
Arkansas State Red Wolves
13.0%
87.0%
+875
-1300
+900
-1400
+14½-110
-14-105
+14½-109
-13½-110
58
81
-0.10476-0.10178-0.13911
Georgia Southern Eagles
Marshall Thundering Herd
25.9%
74.1%
+270
-320
+280
-310
+7½-110
-7½-107
+7½-110
-7-109
99
82
-1.33998-1.35406-1.35000
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks126-6 (0.500)0-0.80265 
Sportsbooks126-6 (0.500)0-0.80658 
DRatings126-6 (0.500)0-0.80669
-0.00404
-0.00011

Predictions Methodology

Below are our projections for all of the games in college basketball today. The projections that we provide are now at a “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.