NCAA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 5, 2026

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		PointsTotal
Points		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
San Diego Toreros (11-20)
Loyola Marymount Lions (15-16)		28.9%
71.1%
+220
-250
+230
-255
+5½-105
-5½-110
+6-109
-5½-110
70.5
76.8		147.3
o144½-115
u145-110
o144-110
u145½-110
Games for Mar 4, 2026
Games for Mar 6, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Closing
ML		Closing
Spread		Orig. Total
Points		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
MS Valley State Delta Devils (3-28)
Jackson State Tigers (10-20)		13.7%
86.3%
+490
-833
+575
-750
+11½-106
-11½-105
+11½-109
-11½-109
148.0
o145-110
u145-110
o145-110
u145½-110
2nd H
03:01		69
75
Georgia Southern Eagles (17-15)
Arkansas State Red Wolves (20-11)		29.4%
70.6%
+285
-330
+280
-310
+7½-107
-7½-110
+7½-109
-7-110
164.6
o166-103
u166½-110
o165½-110
u166½-110
2nd H
00:01		80
77
Southern University Jaguars (14-16)
Alabama A&M Bulldogs (17-13)		50.6%
49.4%
-114
-110
-109
+100
+0-110
+1-115
+0-109
+1-110
147.9
o144½-110
u145½-110
o145-110
u145½-110
2nd H
11:46		60
46
Jacksonville State Gamecocks (14-15)
New Mexico State Aggies (13-15)		35.5%
64.5%
+220
-260
+235
-260
+6-105
-6-110
+7-110
-6-110
143.3
o144½-108
u145½-110
o144½-110
u145-110
2nd H
05:42		58
50
Ark Pine Bluff Golden Lions (12-18)
Alcorn State Braves (8-21)		56.4%
43.6%
-120
+100
-120
+110
-1-110
+1½-110
-1-110
+1½-105
152.9
o144½-110
u146-115
o146-110
u147-110
2nd H
14:50		47
26
South Florida Bulls (21-8)
Memphis Tigers (12-17)		68.8%
31.2%
-320
+263
-310
+290
-7½-105
+7½-107
-7-115
+8-109
161.5
o163-105
u163-110
o163-110
u164-110
2nd H
14:06		62
58
Kennesaw State Owls (18-11)
UTEP Miners (10-19)		62.3%
37.7%
-170
+157
-170
+160
-3½-110
+3½-105
-3½-109
+3½-109
148.9
o149-110
u149½-110
o149-110
u149½-110
2nd H
09:30		46
55
Pepperdine Waves (9-22)
Portland Pilots (13-18)		38.0%
62.0%
+145
-160
+150
-160
+3½-110
-3½-109
+3½-109
-3½-105
149.8
o154½-108
u154½-110
o154-110
u155-110
2nd H
04:41		61
70
Cal State Northridge Matadors (18-12)
CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (8-22)		73.9%
26.1%
-400
+320
-375
+360
-8½-105
+8½-110
-8-110
+8½-109
163.2
o163½-110
u164-110
o163½-110
u166-110
2nd H
14:55		55
48
Lindenwood Lions (18-14)
SE Missouri State Redhawks (19-12)		43.0%
57.0%
+140
-150
+145
-160
+3½-110
-3-108
+3½-109
-3-110
148.0
o148½-105
u149-107
o148½-110
u149-110
2nd H
15:54		38
34
South Dakota State Jackrabbits (14-17)
St. Thomas Tommies (23-8)		32.5%
67.5%
+195
-217
+195
-215
+5-110
-5-110
+5½-110
-5-105
150.5
o150-110
u150-110
o148½-110
u151-110
2nd H
14:49		41
47
Evansville Purple Aces (7-24)
Northern Iowa Panthers (19-12)		9.1%
90.9%
+800
-1250
+1000
-1500
+14½-110
-14-110
+14½-110
-14-105
128.3
o127½-107
u128-110
o128-110
u128½-110
2nd H
17:42		36
41
UC San Diego Tritons (21-9)
Cal State Fullerton Titans (15-15)		63.0%
37.0%
-145
+130
-150
+135
-3-105
+3-110
-3-109
+3-109
158.5
o156-110
u156½-110
o155½-110
u156½-110
TIME
HALF		39
29
Abilene Christian Wildcats (13-16)
California Baptist Lancers (21-8)		19.6%
80.4%
+377
-450
+415
-450
+9½-110
-9-110
+9½-109
-9½-109
138.3
o136-110
u136½-110
o137-110
u137-110
TIME
HALF		19
49
Cal Poly Mustangs (13-17)
UC Irvine Anteaters (20-10)		18.8%
81.2%
+370
-470
+435
-450
+9½-108
-9½-105
+9½-109
-9½-109
156.7
o160½-110
u161½-113
o160-110
u160½-110
1st H
00:21		42
52
UC Davis Aggies (17-12)
Long Beach State 49ers (9-21)		55.6%
44.4%
-120
+110
-125
+120
-1½-110
+2-110
-1½-110
+2-109
148.6
o150-108
u150-110
o150-110
u151-110
1st H
15:00		31
34

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		Final
Points		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
St. Francis Red Flash
Central Connecticut Blue Devils		18.3%
81.7%
+310
-415
+370
-420
+8½-110
-8½-105
+9-110
-8-110
64
69		-0.26442-0.23383-0.20269
Chicago State Cougars
Wagner Seahawks		33.9%
66.1%
+175
-210
+175
-200
+4½-105
-4-110
+4-109
-4-109
61
80		-0.42971-0.43532-0.41435
Army Black Knights
Lafayette Leopards		35.9%
64.1%
+132
-167
+155
-155
+3-105
-3-110
+3½-110
-3-109
77
83		-0.52421-0.49784-0.44480
Le Moyne Dolphins
New Haven Chargers		56.0%
44.0%
-135
+115
-135
+115
-2-105
+2-110
-2-110
+2½-109
59
66		-0.80428-0.80428-0.82084
Cleveland State Vikings
Robert Morris Colonials		16.1%
83.9%
+680
-900
+700
-1000
+12½-110
-12½-105
+13-109
-12½-110
64
83		-0.13318-0.12883-0.17534
New Mexico State Aggies
MTSU Blue Raiders		35.8%
64.2%
+203
-235
+220
-240
+5½-110
-5-116
+6-110
-5-110
85
86		-0.38559-0.36652-0.44379
Missouri Tigers
Mississippi State Bulldogs		54.1%
45.9%
-125
+115
-125
+110
-1-115
+2-114
-1-110
+1½-109
88
64		-0.60825-0.61904-0.61443
Fordham Rams
VCU Rams		9.1%
90.9%
+661
-950
+700
-900
+13-110
-13-105
+13-109
-12½-110
63
82		-0.13561-0.13005-0.09584
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
Holy Cross Crusaders		46.1%
53.9%
+105
-125
+105
-125
+1½-110
-1-110
+1½-109
-1½-109
76
62		-0.76029-0.76029-0.77492
Boston University Terriers
American University Eagles		38.0%
62.0%
+140
-161
+130
-145
+3-105
-3-110
+3-110
-2½-109
68
65		-0.90845-0.85918-0.96653
Colorado Buffaloes
Houston Cougars		6.2%
93.8%
+1300
-5000
+1800
-3800
+18½-110
-18½-105
+19-110
-18½-109
62
102		-0.07033-0.05261-0.06379
Saint Joseph's Hawks
Rhode Island Rams		40.3%
59.7%
+125
-125
+130
-140
+2½-110
-2-108
+2½-109
-2-110
61
55		-0.81094-0.85085-0.90981
Florida State Seminoles
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets		67.1%
32.9%
-250
+211
-245
+210
-6-101
+5½-110
-5½-109
+6½-110
80
71		-0.37167-0.37449-0.39951
Seton Hall Pirates
Connecticut Huskies		9.5%
90.5%
+776
-1100
+800
-1200
+13+100
-13-108
+13½-110
-13-109
67
71		-0.11738-0.11366-0.10032
Iowa Hawkeyes
Penn State Nittany Lions		82.2%
17.8%
-525
+446
-545
+425
-9-110
+9½-110
-9½-109
+10-110
69
71		-1.72031-1.69304-1.72524
Virginia Cavaliers
Duke Blue Devils		18.5%
81.5%
+430
-550
+475
-550
+10-109
-10-108
+10½-110
-10-109
51
77		-0.20130-0.18692-0.20417
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks2816-10 (0.607)2-0.63208 
Sportsbooks2816-12 (0.571)0-0.63333 
DRatings2815-13 (0.536)0-0.65190
-0.01982
-0.01857

Predictions Methodology

Below are our projections for all of the games in college basketball today. The projections that we provide are now at a “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.

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