NCAA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bellarmine Knights (13-18)
Central Arkansas Bears (20-11)
31.0%
69.0%


+5½-105
-5½-110
+5½-110
-5½-110
75.9
81.7
157.6
o155½-110
u155½-105
o155½-110
u156-110
Gardner Webb Runnin' Bulldogs (4-28)
High Point Panthers (27-4)
2.4%
97.6%


+26-110
-26-110
+25½-110
-25½-110
69.5
91.9
161.4
o159-110
u159-110
o159½-110
u161½-110
All Bet Values Active
Drake Bulldogs (12-19)
Belmont Bruins (26-5)
19.6%
80.4%


+11½-110
-11½-110
+11½-110
-11½-110
71.4
80.6
152.0
o153½-110
u153½-110
o153½-110
u153½-110
Northeastern Huskies (6-23)
North Carolina A&T Aggies (11-18)
54.6%
45.4%


+1-109
-1-105
+1-110
-1-110
76.6
74.7
151.3
o153½-115
u153½-105
o154-110
u154½-110
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (15-17)
Lipscomb Bisons (19-12)
39.2%
60.8%


+4½-110
-3-131
+4½-110
-4-110
77.5
81.1
158.6
o150-110
u150-110
o150½-110
u150½-110
Charleston Southern Buccaneers (15-16)
Winthrop Eagles (21-10)
25.7%
74.3%


+4½-110
-4½-110
+5-110
-4-110
78.5
86.1
164.6
o162-110
u162-110
o162½-110
u163½-110
UIC Flames (17-14)
Murray State Racers (20-11)
41.5%
58.5%


+1-110
-1-103
+1-110
-1-110
75.0
78.1
153.1
o149-110
u149½-110
o148-110
u149-110
Stetson Hatters (12-20)
Austin Peay Governors (21-8)
17.6%
82.4%


+11-112
-11-108
+11½-110
-10-110
72.0
81.9
153.9
o152-110
u152-110
o152½-110
u152½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
The Citadel Bulldogs (10-21)
Chattanooga Mocs (13-18)
26.7%
73.3%


+7½-115
-7-110
+7-110
-6½-110
70.3
77.5
147.8
o146½-105
u146½-115
o145½-110
u145½-110
Southern Miss Golden Eagles (16-15)
Texas State Bobcats (19-12)
50.0%
50.0%


+1-110
-1-110
+1-110
-1-110
71.0
71.1
142.1
o141½-110
u141½-110
o141½-110
u141½-110
Longwood Lancers (16-15)
UNC Asheville Bulldogs (14-16)
45.0%
55.0%


-1-110
+1-105
-1-110
+1-110
74.3
76.4
150.7
o141-110
u141-110
o140½-110
u140½-110
Northern Illinois Huskies (9-20)
Akron Zips (25-5)
3.7%
96.3%


+23½-110
-23-110
+23½-110
-23-110
70.0
89.2
159.2
o154½-110
u155-110
o154½-110
u154½-110
Sacred Heart Pioneers (13-18)
Merrimack Warriors (21-10)
31.7%
68.3%




67.8
73.4
141.2


Bowling Green Falcons (17-13)
Eastern Michigan Eagles (10-20)
68.1%
31.9%


-3½-110
+4-115
-3½-110
+3½-110
77.9
72.3
150.2
o141-110
u141½-110
o141½-110
u141½-110
VCU Rams (23-7)
Dayton Flyers (21-9)
52.7%
47.3%


+2-110
-1½-110
+2-110
-1½-110
76.5
75.3
151.8
o148½-115
u149-110
o148½-110
u148½-110
Columbia Lions (16-11)
Harvard Crimson (16-11)
40.5%
59.5%


+4½-110
-4-115
+4½-110
-4-110
70.0
73.2
143.2
o133-110
u133-110
o133-110
u133½-110
Penn Quakers (15-11)
Brown Bears (9-17)
63.8%
36.2%


-3-105
+3-110
-3-110
+3-110
74.9
70.3
145.2
o141½-110
u142½-105
o141-110
u143-110
Overall Bet Value Active
All Bet Values Active
Central Michigan Chippewas (10-20)
Ball State Cardinals (11-19)
44.4%
55.6%


+2-108
-2-110
+1½-110
-1½-110
71.1
73.2
144.3
o136-110
u136½-110
o135-110
u135½-110
Western Michigan Broncos (10-20)
Kent State Golden Flashes (22-8)
13.0%
87.0%


+11-110
-11-105
+11-110
-11-110
74.6
86.0
160.6
o157-110
u158-115
o158½-110
u158½-110
Buffalo Bulls (17-13)
Toledo Rockets (16-14)
30.7%
69.3%


+8-110
-8-105
+8½-110
-8-110
77.3
83.2
160.5
o154-110
u154½-110
o154-110
u154-110
Omaha Mavericks (15-16)
South Dakota Coyotes (16-15)
54.6%
45.4%


-2½-105
+2½-110
-2½-110
+3-110
82.3
80.3
162.6
o151-105
u151½-115
o151-110
u151-110
Valparaiso Beacons (17-14)
Bradley University Braves (20-11)
33.3%
66.7%


+2½-110
-2½-110
+2½-110
-2½-110
69.6
74.9
144.5
o135½-110
u135½-110
o136-110
u136-110
West Georgia Wolves (15-16)
Queens Royals (18-13)
23.1%
76.9%


+7-110
-7-110
+6½-110
-6½-110
78.9
87.1
166.0
o163½-115
u163½-105
o164½-110
u165½-110
VMI Keydets (6-25)
UNC Greensboro Spartans (13-18)
25.9%
74.1%


+7½-110
-7½-110
+7½-110
-7-110
73.7
81.3
155.0
o155½-105
u156-115
o155½-110
u155½-110
UCF Knights (20-9)
West Virginia Mountaineers (17-13)
37.1%
62.9%


+3-105
-3½-105
+3½-110
-3-110
71.9
76.0
147.9
o141½-105
u141½-115
o141½-110
u141½-110
Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks (21-10)
Tennessee State Tigers (21-9)
49.7%
50.3%




70.8
71.0
141.8


Georgia Southern Eagles (17-15)
South Alabama Jaguars (21-10)
43.8%
56.2%


+4½-105
-4½-115
+4½-110
-4½-110
74.1
76.5
150.6
o149½-110
u149½-110
o149½-110
u149½-110
Presbyterian Blue Hose (14-17)
Radford Highlanders (16-15)
40.3%
59.7%


+2-110
-2-109
+2-110
-2-110
74.4
77.7
152.1
o145-110
u145½-110
o145½-110
u146½-110
Fairfield Stags (19-12)
Saint Peter's Peacocks (17-11)
46.3%
53.7%




68.1
69.8
137.9


Miami RedHawks (30-0)
Ohio Bobcats (15-15)
80.9%
19.1%


-5½-110
+5½-107
-5½-110
+6-110
86.0
76.7
162.7
o160-110
u160½-110
o159½-110
u160½-110
St. John's Red Storm (24-6)
Seton Hall Pirates (20-10)
71.3%
28.7%


-4½-110
+4½-110
-4½-110
+4½-110
75.3
68.8
144.1
o137-110
u137½-105
o137-110
u138-110
Portland Pilots (13-18)
Washington State Cougars (12-19)
31.4%
68.6%




73.6
79.4
153.0


Denver Pioneers (15-16)
North Dakota Fighting Hawks (16-16)
59.7%
40.3%


-3½-110
+3½-110
-3½-110
+4-110
83.2
80.0
163.2
o160½-105
u161-110
o160½-110
u160½-110
Northern Iowa Panthers (19-12)
Illinois State Redbirds (20-11)
51.4%
48.6%




68.1
67.6
135.7


UNLV Rebels (16-14)
San Diego State Aztecs (19-10)
19.6%
80.4%


+10-110
-10-109
+10½-110
-9½-110
70.2
79.4
149.6
o152½-110
u153½-110
o152½-110
u153-110
Overall Bet Value Active
SE Missouri State Redhawks (19-12)
Morehead State Eagles (19-12)
63.5%
36.5%




73.4
68.9
142.3


Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Points
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
San Diego Toreros (11-20)
Loyola Marymount Lions (15-16)
28.9%
71.1%
+222
-250
+230
-255
+5½-105
-5½-110
+6-105
-5½-110
147.3
o144½-110
u145-105
o144½-110
u145½-110
TIME
HALF
42
31
UC Riverside Highlanders (10-21)
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (21-7)
12.4%
87.6%
+637
-900
+650
-800
+12½-105
-12½-110
+12½-109
-12½-109
150.4
o150½-110
u151-110
o149-110
u150½-110
1st H
04:45
29
36

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
St. Francis Red Flash
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
18.3%
81.7%
+310
-415
+370
-420
+8½-110
-8½-105
+9-110
-8-110
64
69
-0.26442-0.23383-0.20269
Chicago State Cougars
Wagner Seahawks
33.9%
66.1%
+175
-210
+175
-200
+4½-105
-4-110
+4-109
-4-109
61
80
-0.42971-0.43532-0.41435
Army Black Knights
Lafayette Leopards
35.9%
64.1%
+132
-167
+155
-155
+3-105
-3-110
+3½-110
-3-109
77
83
-0.52421-0.49784-0.44480
Le Moyne Dolphins
New Haven Chargers
56.0%
44.0%
-135
+115
-135
+115
-2-105
+2-110
-2-110
+2½-109
59
66
-0.80428-0.80428-0.82084
Cleveland State Vikings
Robert Morris Colonials
16.1%
83.9%
+680
-900
+700
-1000
+12½-110
-12½-105
+13-109
-12½-110
64
83
-0.13318-0.12883-0.17534
New Mexico State Aggies
MTSU Blue Raiders
35.8%
64.2%
+203
-235
+220
-240
+5½-110
-5-116
+6-110
-5-110
85
86
-0.38559-0.36652-0.44379
Missouri Tigers
Mississippi State Bulldogs
54.1%
45.9%
-125
+115
-125
+110
-1-115
+2-114
-1-110
+1½-109
88
64
-0.60825-0.61904-0.61443
Fordham Rams
VCU Rams
9.1%
90.9%
+661
-950
+700
-900
+13-110
-13-105
+13-109
-12½-110
63
82
-0.13561-0.13005-0.09584
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
Holy Cross Crusaders
46.1%
53.9%
+105
-125
+105
-125
+1½-110
-1-110
+1½-109
-1½-109
76
62
-0.76029-0.76029-0.77492
Boston University Terriers
American University Eagles
38.0%
62.0%
+140
-161
+130
-145
+3-105
-3-110
+3-110
-2½-109
68
65
-0.90845-0.85918-0.96653
Colorado Buffaloes
Houston Cougars
6.2%
93.8%
+1300
-5000
+1800
-3800
+18½-110
-18½-105
+19-110
-18½-109
62
102
-0.07033-0.05261-0.06379
Saint Joseph's Hawks
Rhode Island Rams
40.3%
59.7%
+125
-125
+130
-140
+2½-110
-2-108
+2½-109
-2-110
61
55
-0.81094-0.85085-0.90981
Florida State Seminoles
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
67.1%
32.9%
-250
+211
-245
+210
-6-101
+5½-110
-5½-109
+6½-110
80
71
-0.37167-0.37449-0.39951
Seton Hall Pirates
Connecticut Huskies
9.5%
90.5%
+776
-1100
+800
-1200
+13+100
-13-108
+13½-110
-13-109
67
71
-0.11738-0.11366-0.10032
Iowa Hawkeyes
Penn State Nittany Lions
82.2%
17.8%
-525
+446
-545
+425
-9-110
+9½-110
-9½-109
+10-110
69
71
-1.72031-1.69304-1.72524
Virginia Cavaliers
Duke Blue Devils
18.5%
81.5%
+430
-550
+475
-550
+10-109
-10-108
+10½-110
-10-109
51
77
-0.20130-0.18692-0.20417
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks4429-13 (0.682)2-0.58823 
Sportsbooks4429-15 (0.659)0-0.58624 
DRatings4428-16 (0.636)0-0.60249
-0.01426
-0.01624

Predictions Methodology

Below are our projections for all of the games in college basketball today. The projections that we provide are now at a “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.