NCAA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 11, 2026

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Loyola Chicago Ramblers (8-23)
Richmond Spiders (15-16)
30.6%
69.4%
+174
-180
+190
-200
+4½-110
-4-110
+5-115
-4½-109
69.7
75.5
145.2
o141½-105
u142-110
o142-110
u142-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Prairie View A&M Panthers (15-17)
Bethune Cookman Wildcats (17-14)
32.3%
67.7%
+190
-220
+210
-220
+5½-108
-5½-105
+6-110
-5½-105
73.7
79.2
152.9
o147-110
u148-110
o147-110
u147½-110
SMU Mustangs (20-12)
Louisville Cardinals (22-9)
25.4%
74.6%
+245
-285
+270
-300
+6½-105
-6½-110
+7-109
-7-105
78.7
86.2
164.9
o164-110
u164-105
o163½-110
u164½-110
USC Trojans (18-13)
Washington Huskies (15-16)
35.9%
64.1%
+170
-170
+170
-175
+4-110
-3½-109
+4-109
-4-105
74.4
79.1
153.5
o152½-110
u153-110
o152½-110
u152½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-18)
Auburn Tigers (16-15)
25.3%
74.7%
+289
-350
+320
-350
+8-105
-7½-115
+8-105
-7½-110
77.1
84.8
161.9
o159½-110
u159-104
o159½-110
u160-110
Wyoming Cowboys (18-13)
UNLV Rebels (16-15)
40.1%
59.9%
+145
-160
+160
-165
+3-105
-3-110
+4-110
-3-110
75.0
78.3
153.3
o153-106
u153½-115
o153-110
u154-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cincinnati Bearcats (18-14)
UCF Knights (20-10)
60.6%
39.4%
-150
+140
-145
+135
-3-110
+3½-110
-3-109
+3-109
76.6
73.1
149.7
o149½-110
u150-105
o149-110
u150-110
Providence Friars (14-17)
Butler Bulldogs (16-15)
52.9%
47.1%
-120
+105
-120
+105
-1½-110
+1-103
-1-110
+1½-109
82.2
80.9
163.1
o163-110
u163-105
o163-110
u164-110
McNeese State Cowboys (27-5)
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (28-4)
56.0%
44.0%
-155
+142
-160
+140
-3-110
+3-105
-3-110
+3-105
69.8
67.6
137.4
o132½-110
u133½-110
o132-110
u133-110
Air Force Falcons (3-28)
Nevada Wolf Pack (20-11)
5.9%
94.1%
+1325
-6000
+2200
-5800
+20½-110
-20-115
+20½-109
-20½-109
61.9
78.0
139.9
o140-130
u142-110
o141½-110
u142½-110
Delaware State Hornets (7-22)
Morgan State Bears (14-15)
40.5%
59.5%
+125
-130
+125
-140
+2-105
-2-110
+2½-110
-2-110
69.3
72.6
141.9
o142½-110
u143-110
o142½-110
u142½-110
Xavier Musketeers (14-17)
Marquette Golden Eagles (12-19)
37.6%
62.4%
+160
-180
+165
-180
+4-105
-4-110
+4½-110
-4-109
75.3
79.2
154.5
o156-115
u157-110
o155½-110
u157½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Northwestern Wildcats (14-18)
Indiana Hoosiers (18-13)
32.7%
67.3%
+215
-245
+240
-250
+6-105
-6-110
+6½-109
-6-110
69.3
74.7
144.0
o142-110
u142-110
o142-110
u142-110
Missouri State Bears (15-17)
Liberty Flames (25-6)
30.5%
69.5%
+225
-250
+235
-245
+6½-110
-6-110
+6-105
-5½-110
68.9
74.6
143.5
o143-105
u143-110
o143-110
u143½-110
Boston University Terriers (17-16)
Lehigh Mountain Hawks (17-16)
53.4%
46.6%
-135
+130
-125
+115
-2-110
+2½-105
-2-110
+2-105
70.0
68.5
138.5
o138½-110
u139-110
o139-110
u139½-110
Tulane Green Wave (17-14)
Memphis Tigers (13-18)
36.3%
63.7%
+160
-175
+160
-175
+4-110
-4-109
+4-109
-4-109
73.8
78.4
152.2
o151½-105
u151½-110
o151-110
u151½-110
California Golden Bears (21-10)
Florida State Seminoles (17-14)
42.6%
57.4%
+160
-180
+170
-180
+4-105
-4-110
+4½-110
-4-109
75.9
78.8
154.7
o152½-110
u153½-115
o152½-110
u153-110
Ole Miss Rebels (12-19)
Texas Longhorns (18-13)
28.3%
71.7%
+220
-255
+240
-250
+6-103
-6-110
+6-109
-6-109
71.2
77.8
149.0
o145½-110
u146-110
o145½-110
u146-110
Brigham Young Cougars (22-10)
West Virginia Mountaineers (18-13)
64.0%
36.0%
-195
+170
-200
+180
-4½-105
+4½-110
-4-109
+4½-110
74.3
69.7
144.0
o141-105
u141-110
o140½-110
u141-110
Tarleton State Texans (14-17)
Abilene Christian Wildcats (13-18)
53.4%
46.6%
-140
+125
-135
+120
-2-115
+2½-107
-2-109
+2½-110
69.3
67.8
137.1
o135-110
u135½-110
o135-110
u136-110
Jackson State Tigers (12-20)
Florida A&M Rattlers (14-15)
38.9%
61.1%
+240
-260
+235
-270
+6-110
-6-110
+6½-110
-6-110
71.8
75.4
147.2
o142-110
u142½-110
o142-110
u142½-110
Cal Poly Mustangs (14-18)
UC San Diego Tritons (22-10)
29.9%
70.1%
+210
-240
+205
-240
+6-110
-5½-110
+5½-109
-5½-109
77.3
83.2
160.5
o160½-110
u161-110
o160½-110
u162-110
Fresno State Bulldogs (13-18)
Colorado State Rams (20-11)
27.0%
73.0%
+275
-320
+300
-320
+8-114
-7½-110
+8-109
-7½-110
69.6
76.7
146.3
o144-110
u144½-110
o144½-110
u145-110
Georgetown Hoyas (14-17)
DePaul Blue Demons (16-15)
45.9%
54.1%
+105
-120
+105
-115
+1-101
+0-115
+1½-110
-1-109
67.6
69.3
136.9
o133-115
u134½-110
o133-110
u133½-110
Rutgers Scarlet Knights (13-18)
Minnesota Golden Gophers (15-16)
33.8%
66.2%
+200
-220
+205
-220
+5½-110
-5-115
+5½-109
-5½-109
66.1
71.2
137.3
o134½-115
u136-115
o135-110
u136-110
New Mexico State Aggies (16-15)
Sam Houston State Bearkats (21-10)
37.6%
62.4%
+186
-217
+195
-220
+5-108
-5-110
+5½-109
-5-115
75.2
79.1
154.3
o153½-108
u154½-110
o153-110
u153½-110
Temple Owls (16-15)
Florida Atlantic (17-14)
45.3%
54.7%
+105
-125
+105
-120
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½-109
-1½-109
72.1
74.1
146.2
o144½-110
u145-110
o144½-110
u145-110
Wake Forest Demon Deacons (17-15)
Clemson Tigers (22-9)
33.9%
66.1%
+220
-240
+230
-260
+6-107
-6-104
+6½-109
-6-110
69.2
74.3
143.5
o139½-110
u140-110
o139½-110
u140½-110
South Carolina Gamecocks (13-18)
Oklahoma Sooners (17-14)
27.1%
72.9%
+295
-350
+295
-350
+8½-110
-8-110
+8-105
-8-109
72.9
79.9
152.8
o149½-110
u149½-110
o149-110
u149½-110
Oklahoma State Cowboys (19-13)
TCU Horned Frogs (21-10)
35.4%
64.6%
+215
-240
+220
-230
+6-110
-6+100
+6-109
-6-109
77.2
81.9
159.1
o157½-115
u157½-105
o157½-110
u158-110
Idaho Vandals (20-14)
Montana Grizzlies (18-15)
56.8%
43.2%
-140
+131
-145
+130
-2½-108
+3-110
-2½-109
+2½-109
75.7
73.2
148.9
o145-110
u145½-110
o144½-110
u145-110
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (18-13)
UC Davis Aggies (18-13)
65.3%
34.7%
-235
+203
-240
+205
-5½-110
+5½-105
-5½-109
+5½-109
74.7
69.8
144.5
o139-110
u139½-110
o139-110
u139½-110
San Jose State Spartans (8-23)
Boise State Broncos (20-11)
9.2%
90.8%
+874
-1450
+1100
-1500
+14½-110
-14-109
+14½-109
-14-110
66.0
79.4
145.4
o144½-115
u145-110
o145-110
u146-110
Games for Mar 10, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Points
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Pitt Panthers (13-19)
NC State Wolfpack (19-12)
22.0%
78.0%
+345
-430
+375
-400
+8½-110
-8½-110
+8½-109
-8-110
146.4
o144½-110
u145½-105
o144½-110
u145-110
2nd H
05:13
81
87
Maryland Terrapins (12-20)
Iowa Hawkeyes (20-11)
13.2%
86.8%
+600
-750
+650
-750
+11½-110
-11½-108
+11½-109
-11½-109
138.2
o133-110
u134-110
o133½-110
u135-110
2nd H
01:16
61
72
LSU Tigers (15-16)
Kentucky Wildcats (19-12)
21.8%
78.2%
+334
-415
+340
-400
+9-110
-8½-110
+9-110
-8½-109
154.9
o151½-110
u151½-110
o151-110
u152-110
2nd H
15:12
54
53
Arizona State Sun Devils (17-15)
Iowa State Cyclones (25-6)
14.4%
85.6%
+732
-950
+700
-950
+13½-110
-13½-105
+13½-109
-13-115
149.8
o148½-110
u149½-115
o148-110
u148½-110
2nd H
15:39
23
54

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Texas A&M Aggies
Vanderbilt Commodores
24.0%
76.0%
+289
-340
+300
-330
+7½-110
-7½-106
+7½-109
-7½-109
69
82
-0.28719-0.28198-0.27479
Kansas Jayhawks
Iowa State Cyclones
27.3%
72.7%
+270
-310
+290
-340
+7½-110
-7½-110
+8-110
-7½-109
56
74
-0.30562-0.28655-0.31880
Northwestern Wildcats
Nebraska Cornhuskers
10.2%
89.8%
+732
-1100
+750
-1000
+13½-110
-13½-109
+14-110
-13-110
49
68
-0.12321-0.12170-0.10740
UCLA Bruins
Michigan Wolverines
6.9%
93.1%
+1106
-1700
+1220
-1950
+16-110
-16½+102
+16½-110
-16-109
56
86
-0.08415-0.07663-0.07146
Navy Midshipmen
Colgate Raiders
49.1%
50.9%
-110
-110
-109
+110
+0-104
+0-110
+0-109
+2-110
84
80
-0.69315-0.64871-0.71031
Samford Bulldogs
ETSU Buccaneers
29.7%
70.3%
+230
-275
+240
-265
+6-105
-6-110
+6½-110
-6-109
82
72
-1.22963-1.24372-1.21362
Fordham Rams
Rhode Island Rams
27.9%
72.1%
+200
-227
+200
-220
+5½-110
-5-110
+5½-110
-5-109
70
66
-1.12578-1.11923-1.27712
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
24.0%
76.0%
+222
-265
+230
-250
+6-106
-6-110
+6-109
-5½-110
74
89
-0.35610-0.35364-0.27384
California Golden Bears
Boston College Eagles
59.8%
40.2%
-170
+165
-170
+160
-3½-110
+4-110
-3½-109
+3½-109
86
75
-0.46959-0.47678-0.51465
Clemson Tigers
Duke Blue Devils
10.7%
89.3%
+732
-1000
+750
-1100
+13-105
-13½-102
+13½-109
-13-110
54
67
-0.12417-0.12076-0.11337
TCU Horned Frogs
Oklahoma State Cowboys
43.3%
56.7%
-109
-110
-109
-109
+0-110
+1-115
+0-109
+0-109
95
92
-0.69533-0.69315-0.83716
North Carolina A&T Aggies
Hampton Pirates
36.6%
63.4%
+149
-160
+160
-160
+3-110
-3-109
+3½-109
-3-110
71
70
-0.92912-0.95550-1.00542
UNLV Rebels
Boise State Broncos
20.0%
80.0%
+528
-575
+500
-625
+10½-109
-10-109
+10½-109
-10½-109
86
83
-1.84839-1.82010-1.60784
UMass Minutemen
Akron Zips
9.8%
90.2%
+725
-950
+725
-900
+13-110
-12½-110
+13-109
-13-109
92
99
-0.12572-0.12635-0.10273
Ohio Bobcats
Miami RedHawks
18.3%
81.7%
+345
-410
+350
-410
+8-105
-7½-110
+8-109
-7½-110
74
90
-0.24649-0.24406-0.20152
Saint Louis Billikens
Loyola Chicago Ramblers
95.0%
5.0%
-2100
+1150
-2000
+1300
-17-110
+18-105
-17½-109
+18-110
86
59
-0.08048-0.07232-0.05094
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks2417-6 (0.729)1-0.53092 
Sportsbooks2417-6 (0.729)1-0.53315 
DRatings2416-8 (0.667)0-0.55044
-0.01953
-0.01730

Predictions Methodology

Below are our projections for all of the games in college basketball today. The projections that we provide are now at a “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.