NCAA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 11, 2026

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Providence Friars (14-17)
Butler Bulldogs (16-15)
51.2%
48.8%
-120
+105
-120
+105
-1½-110
+1-102
-1-110
+1½-109
81.1
80.7
161.8
o163-110
u163-105
o163-110
u164-110
McNeese State Cowboys (27-5)
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (28-4)
56.0%
44.0%
-155
+142
-160
+140
-3-110
+3-105
-3-110
+3-105
69.8
67.6
137.4
o131½-110
u132½-115
o131-110
u132-110
Air Force Falcons (3-28)
Nevada Wolf Pack (20-11)
5.9%
94.1%
+1325
-6000
+2200
-5800
+20½-110
-20-115
+20½-109
-20½-109
61.9
78.0
139.9
o140-130
u142-110
o141½-110
u142½-110
Delaware State Hornets (7-22)
Morgan State Bears (14-15)
40.5%
59.5%
+125
-130
+125
-135
+2-105
-2-110
+2½-110
-2-110
69.3
72.6
141.9
o142½-110
u143-110
o142½-110
u143½-110
Xavier Musketeers (14-17)
Marquette Golden Eagles (12-19)
37.6%
62.4%
+160
-180
+165
-180
+4-104
-4-110
+4½-110
-4-109
75.3
79.2
154.5
o156-115
u157-110
o156½-110
u157½-110
Northwestern Wildcats (14-18)
Indiana Hoosiers (18-13)
32.7%
67.3%
+215
-245
+240
-250
+6-105
-6-110
+6½-109
-6-110
69.3
74.7
144.0
o142-110
u142-110
o142-110
u142-110
Missouri State Bears (15-17)
Liberty Flames (25-6)
30.5%
69.5%
+220
-250
+235
-260
+6½-112
-6-110
+6-105
-5½-110
68.9
74.6
143.5
o142½-110
u143-110
o143-110
u143½-110
Boston University Terriers (17-16)
Lehigh Mountain Hawks (17-16)
53.4%
46.6%
-135
+130
-125
+115
-2-110
+2½-105
-2-110
+2-105
70.0
68.5
138.5
o138½-110
u139-110
o138½-110
u139-110
Tulane Green Wave (17-14)
Memphis Tigers (13-18)
36.3%
63.7%
+160
-175
+160
-175
+4-110
-4-109
+4-109
-4-109
73.8
78.4
152.2
o151½-105
u151½-110
o151-110
u151½-110
California Golden Bears (21-10)
Florida State Seminoles (17-14)
42.6%
57.4%
+160
-175
+165
-170
+4-110
-4-109
+4-109
-4-105
75.9
78.8
154.7
o152½-110
u153-108
o152½-110
u153-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Ole Miss Rebels (12-19)
Texas Longhorns (18-13)
28.3%
71.7%
+215
-255
+240
-250
+6-104
-6-110
+6-109
-6-109
71.2
77.8
149.0
o145½-110
u146-110
o145½-110
u146-110
Brigham Young Cougars (22-10)
West Virginia Mountaineers (18-13)
64.0%
36.0%
-195
+170
-200
+180
-4½-105
+4½-110
-4-109
+4½-110
74.3
69.7
144.0
o140½-110
u141-110
o140½-110
u141-110
Tarleton State Texans (14-17)
Abilene Christian Wildcats (13-18)
53.4%
46.6%
-140
+125
-135
+120
-2-110
+2½-109
-2-109
+2½-110
69.3
67.8
137.1
o135-110
u135½-110
o135-110
u136-110
Jackson State Tigers (12-20)
Florida A&M Rattlers (14-15)
38.9%
61.1%
+240
-260
+235
-270
+6-110
-6-110
+6½-110
-6-110
71.8
75.4
147.2
o142-110
u142½-110
o142-110
u142-110
Cal Poly Mustangs (14-18)
UC San Diego Tritons (22-10)
29.9%
70.1%
+210
-240
+205
-240
+6-110
-5½-110
+5½-109
-5½-109
77.3
83.2
160.5
o160½-110
u161-110
o161½-110
u162-110
Fresno State Bulldogs (13-18)
Colorado State Rams (20-11)
27.0%
73.0%
+265
-320
+300
-320
+7½-110
-8+100
+8-109
-7½-110
69.6
76.7
146.3
o144-113
u144½-110
o144½-110
u145-110
Georgetown Hoyas (14-17)
DePaul Blue Demons (16-15)
45.9%
54.1%
+105
-120
+100
-115
+1-101
+0-115
+1½-110
-1-109
67.6
69.3
136.9
o133-115
u134½-110
o133-110
u133½-110
Rutgers Scarlet Knights (13-18)
Minnesota Golden Gophers (15-16)
33.8%
66.2%
+200
-240
+205
-220
+5½-110
-6-101
+6-110
-5½-109
66.1
71.2
137.3
o134½-115
u136-115
o135-110
u136-110
New Mexico State Aggies (16-15)
Sam Houston State Bearkats (21-10)
37.6%
62.4%
+186
-217
+195
-220
+5-108
-5-110
+5½-109
-5-115
75.2
79.1
154.3
o153½-108
u154½-110
o153-110
u153½-110
Temple Owls (16-15)
Florida Atlantic (17-14)
45.3%
54.7%
+105
-125
+105
-120
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½-109
-1½-109
72.1
74.1
146.2
o144½-110
u145-110
o144½-110
u145-110
Wake Forest Demon Deacons (17-15)
Clemson Tigers (22-9)
33.9%
66.1%
+220
-240
+230
-260
+6-107
-6-104
+6½-109
-6-110
69.2
74.3
143.5
o139½-110
u140-110
o139½-110
u140½-110
South Carolina Gamecocks (13-18)
Oklahoma Sooners (17-14)
27.1%
72.9%
+300
-350
+295
-350
+8½-110
-8-110
+8-105
-8-109
72.9
79.9
152.8
o149½-110
u149½-110
o149-110
u149½-110
Oklahoma State Cowboys (19-13)
TCU Horned Frogs (21-10)
35.4%
64.6%
+215
-240
+230
-260
+6-110
-6+100
+6-109
-6-109
77.2
81.9
159.1
o157½-115
u157½-105
o157½-110
u158-110
Idaho Vandals (20-14)
Montana Grizzlies (18-15)
56.8%
43.2%
-140
+131
-145
+130
-2½-108
+3-110
-2½-109
+2½-109
75.7
73.2
148.9
o145-110
u145-110
o144½-110
u145-110
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (18-13)
UC Davis Aggies (18-13)
65.3%
34.7%
-235
+203
-240
+205
-5½-110
+5½-105
-5½-109
+5½-109
74.7
69.8
144.5
o139-110
u140½-110
o139-110
u139½-110
San Jose State Spartans (8-23)
Boise State Broncos (20-11)
9.2%
90.8%
+874
-1450
+1100
-1500
+14½-110
-14-109
+14½-109
-14-110
66.0
79.4
145.4
o145-105
u145-110
o145-110
u146-110
Games for Mar 10, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Points
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Loyola Chicago Ramblers (8-23)
Richmond Spiders (15-16)
30.6%
69.4%
+174
-195
+190
-200
+4½-110
-4½-104
+5-115
-4½-109
145.2
o141½-105
u142-115
o142-110
u142-110
2nd H
14:24
38
48
Prairie View A&M Panthers (15-17)
Bethune Cookman Wildcats (17-14)
32.3%
67.7%
+195
-220
+210
-220
+5½-108
-5½-110
+6-110
-5½-105
152.9
o147-110
u148-110
o147-110
u147½-110
2nd H
15:39
37
40
USC Trojans (18-13)
Washington Huskies (15-16)
35.9%
64.1%
+170
-175
+165
-155
+3½-105
-3½-110
+4-110
-3-110
153.5
o154½-115
u155½-113
o154½-110
u155-110
1st H
00:13
40
33
SMU Mustangs (20-12)
Louisville Cardinals (22-9)
25.4%
74.6%
+245
-285
+255
-280
+6½-105
-6½-110
+7-109
-6½-110
164.9
o164-110
u164-105
o163½-110
u164½-110
1st H
06:37
16
16
Wyoming Cowboys (18-13)
UNLV Rebels (16-15)
40.1%
59.9%
+140
-158
+155
-155
+3-110
-2½-113
+3-109
-3-109
153.3
o152½-110
u153½-115
o153-110
u154-110
1st H
13:30
10
13
Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-18)
Auburn Tigers (16-15)
25.3%
74.7%
+290
-360
+320
-340
+8-105
-8-110
+8-105
-8-109
161.9
o160-105
u160½-105
o160-110
u160½-110
1st H
17:17
7
7
Cincinnati Bearcats (18-14)
UCF Knights (20-10)
60.6%
39.4%
-150
+130
-155
+145
-3-106
+3-110
-3-110
+3½-109
149.7
o149-110
u150-110
o149-110
u150-110
1st H
17:45
6
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
UNLV Rebels
Boise State Broncos
20.0%
80.0%
+528
-575
+500
-625
+10½-109
-10-109
+10½-109
-10½-109
86
83
-1.84839-1.82010-1.60784
UMass Minutemen
Akron Zips
9.8%
90.2%
+725
-950
+725
-900
+13-110
-12½-110
+13-109
-13-109
92
99
-0.12572-0.12635-0.10273
Ohio Bobcats
Miami RedHawks
18.3%
81.7%
+345
-410
+350
-410
+8-105
-7½-110
+8-109
-7½-110
74
90
-0.24649-0.24406-0.20152
Saint Louis Billikens
Loyola Chicago Ramblers
95.0%
5.0%
-2100
+1150
-2000
+1300
-17-110
+18-105
-17½-109
+18-110
86
59
-0.08048-0.07232-0.05094
Michigan State Spartans
Wisconsin Badgers
58.5%
41.5%
-140
+120
-130
+125
-2-104
+2-110
-1½-109
+2-105
71
92
-0.82563-0.82055-0.88042
Brown Bears
Harvard Crimson
22.6%
77.4%
+315
-380
+350
-370
+8-110
-8-104
+8½-110
-7½-109
53
56
-0.26572-0.24864-0.25562
Iona Gaels
Canisius Golden Griffins
71.4%
28.6%
-200
+174
-200
+185
-4½-105
+4½-109
-4-115
+4½-109
69
63
-0.43660-0.42286-0.33745
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
Rider Broncs
67.3%
32.7%
-235
+200
-230
+210
-5-105
+5-109
-4½-110
+5½-110
65
55
-0.38877-0.38037-0.39616
George Mason Patriots
George Washington Colonials
46.9%
53.1%
+148
-165
+150
-160
+3½-110
-3½-103
+4-110
-3-109
53
72
-0.49933-0.50078-0.63375
Saint Peter's Peacocks
Sacred Heart Pioneers
55.4%
44.6%
-124
+105
-125
+105
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-109
+1½-109
71
78
-0.75839-0.76029-0.80793
Yale Bulldogs
Dartmouth Big Green
81.9%
18.1%
-515
+410
-475
+400
-10+102
+10-110
-9½-110
+10-109
83
70
-0.21039-0.21680-0.19944
Quinnipiac Bobcats
Siena Saints
39.2%
60.8%
+157
-175
+160
-170
+4-110
-3½-110
+4-110
-3½-109
74
62
-0.96903-0.96964-0.93580
Cornell Big Red
Princeton Tigers
57.4%
42.6%
-160
+145
-155
+150
-3-110
+3½-110
-3-109
+3-105
89
65
-0.50878-0.50566-0.55600
Columbia Lions
Penn Quakers
41.6%
58.4%
+115
-125
+115
-125
+2-110
-2-104
+2-110
-1½-109
67
76
-0.60825-0.60825-0.53784
Manhattan Jaspers
Niagara Purple Eagles
54.9%
45.1%
-135
+115
-135
+120
-2-104
+2-110
-2-109
+2½-110
76
69
-0.59314-0.58291-0.59929
UC Irvine Anteaters
Cal Poly Mustangs
74.8%
25.2%
-245
+210
-250
+230
-5½-110
+5½-108
-5½-105
+6-110
73
79
-1.16360-1.21110-1.37729
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks2519-5 (0.780)1-0.47769 
Sportsbooks2519-5 (0.780)1-0.47942 
DRatings2518-7 (0.720)0-0.49339
-0.01571
-0.01398

Predictions Methodology

Below are our projections for all of the games in college basketball today. The projections that we provide are now at a “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.