Ajax at PSV Eindhoven

Updated

Ajax

14.0%17.7%68.3%
WinDrawPSV Eindhoven Win
1.00Projected Goals 2.40
2Final Score 2

PSV Eindhoven

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Zwolle
T 1-1 at Volendam
W 0-2 vs Heracles Almelo
T 2-2 at Go Ahead Eagles
W 0-2 vs Telstar
PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
W 5-3 at NEC Nijmegen
L 2-0 vs Telstar
W 2-4 vs Groningen
W 2-0 at Twente
W 1-6 vs Sparta Rotterdam

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+358+378+400+360+381+360+400+383.5
PSV Eindhoven-137-151-170-159-161-159-151-140.4
Draw+311+336+330+355+326+355+355+378.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-----+383.5
PSV Eindhoven------140.4
Draw-----+378.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajax: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 20.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +380 to +370
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -157 to -164

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+115o3½-104o3½-112o3½-110o3½-108o3½-110o3½-104o3½+100
Underu3½-135u3½-112u3½-108u3½-110u3½-112u3½-110u3½-108u3½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+100
Under-----u3½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.4%
 
No42.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.35%
Exactly 219.31%
Exactly 418.57%
Exactly 67.15%
Exactly 81.47%
Exactly 100.19%
 
Exactly 111.37%
Exactly 321.87%
Exactly 512.62%
Exactly 73.47%
Exactly 90.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 036.82%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.38%
Exactly 36.12%
Exactly 41.53%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 09.09%
Exactly 121.79%
Exactly 226.13%
Exactly 320.89%
Exactly 412.53%
Exactly 56.01%
Exactly 62.40%
Exactly 70.82%
Exactly 80.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.74%
Exactly 225.66%
Exactly 45.29%
Exactly 60.44%
 
Exactly 132.63%
Exactly 313.46%
Exactly 51.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 062.96%
Exactly 129.13%
Exactly 26.74%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 032.94%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 220.31%
Exactly 37.52%
Exactly 42.09%
Exactly 50.46%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals4.67%
Wins by 3+ goals1.20%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals45.88%
Wins by 3+ goals25.86%
Wins by 4+ goals12.30%
Wins by 5+ goals4.98%
Wins by 6+ goals1.72%
Wins by 7+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal9.31%
Wins by 2 goals3.47%
Wins by 3 goals0.97%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal22.34%
Wins by 2 goals20.02%
Wins by 3 goals13.56%
Wins by 4 goals7.32%
Wins by 5 goals3.26%
Wins by 6 goals1.23%
Wins by 7 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.65%3.35%
1.585.29%14.71%
2.565.98%34.02%
3.544.11%55.89%
4.525.53%74.47%
5.512.91%87.09%
6.55.77%94.23%
7.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.18%36.82%
1.526.40%73.60%
2.58.02%91.98%
3.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.91%9.09%
1.569.12%30.88%
2.542.98%57.02%
3.522.09%77.91%
4.59.56%90.44%
5.53.56%96.44%
6.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.26%20.74%
1.546.63%53.37%
2.520.97%79.03%
3.57.51%92.49%
4.52.22%97.78%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
Score012345
0
3.35%
8.02%
9.62%
7.69%
4.61%
2.21%
1
3.34%
8.02%
9.61%
7.69%
4.61%
2.21%
2
1.67%
4.01%
4.80%
3.84%
2.30%
1.10%
3
0.56%
1.33%
1.60%
1.28%
0.77%
0.37%
4
0.14%
0.33%
0.40%
0.32%
0.19%
0.09%
Ajax
1-03.34%
2-01.67%
2-14.01%
3-00.56%
3-11.33%
3-21.60%
4-00.14%
4-10.33%
4-20.40%
4-30.32%
Draw
0-03.35%
1-18.02%
2-24.80%
3-31.28%
4-40.19%
PSV Eindhoven
0-18.02%
0-29.62%
1-29.61%
0-37.69%
1-37.69%
2-33.84%
0-44.61%
1-44.61%
2-42.30%
3-40.77%
0-52.21%
1-52.21%
2-51.10%
3-50.37%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
Score012345
0
20.74%
23.03%
12.79%
4.73%
1.31%
0.29%
1
9.60%
10.66%
5.92%
2.19%
0.61%
0.13%
2
2.22%
2.46%
1.37%
0.51%
0.14%
0.03%
3
0.34%
0.38%
0.21%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Ajax
1-09.60%
2-02.22%
2-12.46%
3-00.34%
3-10.38%
3-20.21%
Draw
0-020.74%
1-110.66%
2-21.37%
PSV Eindhoven
0-123.03%
0-212.79%
1-25.92%
0-34.73%
1-32.19%
2-30.51%
0-41.31%
1-40.61%
2-40.14%
0-50.29%
1-50.13%
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