NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 11, 2022

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Baltimore Ravens (0-0)
New York Jets (0-0)
Lamar Jackson
Zach Wilson
69.5%
30.5%
-230
+200
-230
+208
-6-108
+6½-110
-6-110
+6-110
25.6
20.1
45.7
o45-109
u45-109
o45-110
u45-110
New Orleans Saints (0-0)
Atlanta Falcons (0-0)
Jameis Winston
Marcus Mariota
62.5%
37.5%
-220
+195
-220
+200
-5½-108
+5½-108
-5-110
+5½-110
22.9
19.4
42.3
o40½-110
u41-109
o41½-110
u42-110
New England Patriots (0-0)
Miami Dolphins (0-0)
Mac Jones
Tua Tagovailoa
42.7%
57.3%
+120
-140
+130
-146
+2½-108
-2½-109
+3-119
-2½-110
19.6
22.3
41.9
o44½-109
u44½-109
o44½-110
u45-110
Cleveland Browns (0-0)
Carolina Panthers (0-0)
Unknown
Baker Mayfield
48.8%
51.2%
+100
-115
+100
-116
+1-108
-1-108
+1-110
-1-110
20.7
21.2
41.9
o41-108
u41½-109
o41½-110
u41½-110
Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0)
Cincinnati Bengals (0-0)
Unknown
Joe Burrow
26.6%
73.4%
+230
-260
+240
-260
+6½-108
-6-115
+6½-110
-6½-110
19.1
26.4
45.5
o44½-109
u44½-109
o44½-110
u44½-110
San Francisco 49ers (0-0)
Chicago Bears (0-0)
Unknown
Justin Fields
66.7%
33.3%
-265
+235
-270
+240
-6½-109
+6½-109
-6½-110
+6½-110
24.2
19.6
43.8
o42-109
u42-109
o42-110
u42½-110
Philadelphia Eagles (0-0)
Detroit Lions (0-0)
Jalen Hurts
Jared Goff
61.1%
38.9%
-195
+175
-195
+175
-4-109
+4-109
-4-110
+4-110
24.2
20.7
44.9
o46½-109
u46½-109
o46½-110
u46½-110
Indianapolis Colts (0-0)
Houston Texans (0-0)
Matt Ryan
Davis Mills
77.0%
23.0%
-365
+295
-350
+310
-8-109
+8-109
-8-110
+8-110
26.6
17.9
44.5
o44-109
u44-109
o44-110
u44½-110
Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0)
Washington Football Team (0-0)
Trevor Lawrence
Carson Wentz
36.5%
63.5%
+170
-184
+175
-186
+3½-108
-3½-108
+3½-110
-3½-110
20.4
23.9
44.3
o44-109
u44-109
o44-110
u44-110
Kansas City Chiefs (0-0)
Arizona Cardinals (0-0)
Patrick Mahomes
Kyler Murray
57.4%
42.6%
-150
+135
-150
+140
-3-108
+3-109
-3-110
+3-105
27.0
24.2
51.2
o53-109
u53-109
o53-110
u54-110
Las Vegas Raiders (0-0)
Los Angeles Chargers (0-0)
Derek Carr
Justin Herbert
31.6%
68.4%
+160
-175
+165
-174
+3½-114
-3½+100
+3½-110
-3½+100
21.9
27.0
48.9
o52-109
u52-109
o52-110
u52-110
Green Bay Packers (0-0)
Minnesota Vikings (0-0)
Aaron Rodgers
Kirk Cousins
54.7%
45.3%
-125
+110
-124
+115
-1½-110
+2-108
-1½-110
+2-110
24.9
23.0
47.9
o49-109
u49-109
o49-110
u49-110
New York Giants (0-0)
Tennessee Titans (0-0)
Daniel Jones
Ryan Tannehill
31.8%
68.2%
+235
-255
+240
-250
+6-109
-6-109
+6-110
-6-110
18.9
24.1
43.0
o43½-115
u44-109
o43½-110
u44-110
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0)
Dallas Cowboys (0-0)
Tom Brady
Dak Prescott
56.6%
43.4%
-130
+110
-124
+115
-2-108
+2-108
-1½-110
+2-110
27.8
25.1
52.9
o52-108
u52-108
o52-110
u52½-110

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Rams
Cincinnati Bengals
64.3%
35.7%
-205
+190
-195
+185
-4½-105
+4½-109
-4½-105
+4½-105
23
20
-0.41412-0.42580-0.44133
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
36.0%
64.0%
+165
-175
+170
-173
+3½-109
-3½-105
+3½-110
-3½+100
17
20
-0.46561-0.46024-0.44685
Cincinnati Bengals
Kansas City Chiefs
27.4%
72.6%
+280
-320
+280
-310
+7-104
-7½+110
+7-105
-7-105
27
24
-1.35973-1.35406-1.29441
Buffalo Bills
Kansas City Chiefs
39.7%
60.3%
+125
-135
+120
-130
+2½+105
-2½-109
+2½-110
-2-110
36
42
-0.57304-0.59012-0.50579
Los Angeles Rams
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
37.9%
62.1%
+131
-140
+130
-142
+3-115
-3+100
+3-110
-3+105
30
27
-0.85334-0.85426-0.96988
San Francisco 49ers
Green Bay Packers
41.5%
58.5%
+230
-270
+225
-240
+6-109
-6-109
+6-110
-6-110
13
10
-1.22615-1.19214-0.88008
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/24/22
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsMake Div. Rd.Win Div. Rd.Conf. ChampWin Super Bowl
1Buffalo Bills (0-0-0)11.06.00.082.1%64.0%40.2%24.7%14.4%
2Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0)10.86.20.085.0%69.2%41.0%24.0%13.2%
3Green Bay Packers (0-0-0)10.56.50.081.0%59.9%33.0%17.8%9.3%
4Los Angeles Rams (0-0-0)10.26.80.075.6%51.9%31.1%17.6%9.2%
5Kansas City Chiefs (0-0-0)10.26.80.069.1%43.8%25.1%14.0%7.8%
6Cincinnati Bengals (0-0-0)9.97.10.064.7%42.3%22.2%11.2%5.7%
7Los Angeles Chargers (0-0-0)9.77.30.061.8%35.6%18.5%9.5%4.9%
8Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0)9.67.40.064.9%43.8%21.5%10.2%4.8%
9Indianapolis Colts (0-0-0)9.77.30.065.6%45.2%21.6%10.3%4.8%
10San Francisco 49ers (0-0-0)9.67.40.063.3%39.7%19.0%8.7%4.0%
11Denver Broncos (0-0-0)9.37.70.052.4%27.9%13.7%6.1%3.0%
12Baltimore Ravens (0-0-0)9.37.70.057.9%30.8%13.8%6.1%2.6%
13Minnesota Vikings (0-0-0)8.98.10.049.1%27.0%12.0%5.1%2.2%
14Tennessee Titans (0-0-0)8.78.30.047.4%24.7%10.4%4.4%2.0%
15Philadelphia Eagles (0-0-0)9.37.70.060.3%25.3%10.8%4.3%1.8%
16Miami Dolphins (0-0-0)9.08.00.048.3%21.7%9.6%4.3%1.8%
17Arizona Cardinals (0-0-0)8.58.50.043.4%18.1%8.1%3.4%1.4%
18Las Vegas Raiders (0-0-0)8.48.60.035.8%17.9%7.8%3.3%1.3%
19New Orleans Saints (0-0-0)8.58.50.044.2%16.0%7.0%2.9%1.2%
20New England Patriots (0-0-0)8.48.60.036.2%16.7%6.7%2.6%1.2%
21Washington Football Team (0-0-0)8.38.70.039.7%19.2%7.6%3.0%1.0%
22Cleveland Browns (0-0-0)8.09.00.030.2%10.8%4.1%1.6%0.6%
23Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-0)7.59.50.021.2%10.0%3.7%1.3%0.5%
24Chicago Bears (0-0-0)6.810.20.014.2%5.8%1.8%0.7%0.2%
25Carolina Panthers (0-0-0)7.19.90.019.6%5.9%1.8%0.6%0.2%
26Detroit Lions (0-0-0)6.910.10.017.5%5.2%1.7%0.5%0.2%
27New York Giants (0-0-0)7.39.70.023.9%6.6%1.8%0.6%0.1%
28Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0)7.010.00.018.0%5.4%1.7%0.6%0.1%
29Atlanta Falcons (0-0-0)6.210.80.09.9%3.7%1.2%0.3%0.1%
30Seattle Seahawks (0-0-0)6.110.90.08.4%2.5%0.6%0.2%0.0%
31New York Jets (0-0-0)5.911.10.05.8%2.4%0.6%0.1%0.0%
32Houston Texans (0-0-0)5.111.90.03.5%0.7%0.1%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.