NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 10, 2023

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		PointsTotal
Points		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Carolina Panthers (7-10)
Atlanta Falcons (7-10)		Unknown
Unknown		38.0%
62.0%
+130
-150
+130
-150
+3-108
-3-108
+3-110
-3-110
19.5
22.8		42.3
o43-110
u44-110
o43-110
u43-110
Houston Texans (3-13-1)
Baltimore Ravens (10-8)		Unknown
Unknown		13.5%
86.5%
+345
-430
+350
-425
+9½-108
-9½-108
+9½-110
-9½-110
13.4
29.4		42.8
o44½-108
u44½-108
o44½-110
u45-110
Cincinnati Bengals (14-5)
Cleveland Browns (7-10)		Unknown
Unknown		66.4%
33.6%
-135
+120
-140
+125
-2½-108
+2½-108
-2½-110
+2½-110
25.8
21.3		47.1
o47-108
u47-108
o47-110
u47½-110
Jacksonville Jaguars (10-9)
Indianapolis Colts (4-12-1)		Unknown
Unknown		57.5%
42.5%
-170
+155
-190
+170
-3½-108
+3½-108
-3½-110
+4-110
23.5
20.5		44.0
o43½-108
u44-110
o43-110
u43½-110
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-10)
Minnesota Vikings (13-5)		Unknown
Unknown		41.8%
58.2%
+230
-280
+245
-290
+6½-108
-6-112
+7-110
-6½-110
20.1
23.1		43.2
o45½-110
u46-108
o45-110
u45½-110
Tennessee Titans (7-10)
New Orleans Saints (7-10)		Unknown
Unknown		33.3%
66.7%
+160
-180
+160
-175
+3½-105
-3½-108
+3½-110
-3½-110
18.7
23.2		41.9
o41-105
u41½-108
o42-110
u42-110
San Francisco 49ers (15-5)
Pittsburgh Steelers (9-8)		Unknown
Unknown		64.6%
35.4%
-150
+130
-155
+140
-3-102
+3-108
-3-110
+3-110
22.6
18.6		41.2
o41-108
u41½-110
o41-110
u41½-110
Arizona Cardinals (4-13)
Washington Commanders (8-8-1)		Unknown
Unknown		18.1%
81.9%
+210
-245
+210
-250
+6½-110
-6-108
+6-110
-6-110
15.4
28.1		43.5
o40-108
u40-108
o40-110
u40½-110
Green Bay Packers (8-9)
Chicago Bears (3-14)		Unknown
Unknown		68.7%
31.3%
+120
-140
+125
-140
+2½-103
-2½-108
+2½-110
-2½-110
24.5
19.3		43.8
o44½-105
u44½-108
o44½-110
u45-110
Las Vegas Raiders (6-11)
Denver Broncos (5-12)		Unknown
Unknown		49.1%
50.9%
+160
-180
+155
-175
+3+110
-3½-108
+3½-110
-3½-110
21.1
21.6		42.7
o45-108
u45-108
o44½-110
u44½-110
Miami Dolphins (9-9)
Los Angeles Chargers (10-8)		Unknown
Unknown		48.1%
51.9%
+120
-135
+125
-140
+2½-108
-2½-108
+2½-110
-2½-110
24.8
25.5		50.3
o49½-110
u50-108
o50-110
u50-110
Philadelphia Eagles (16-4)
New England Patriots (8-9)		Unknown
Unknown		66.0%
34.0%
-200
+185
-220
+190
-5-108
+5-108
-5-110
+5-110
23.8
19.5		43.3
o46-108
u46-108
o46-110
u46-110
Los Angeles Rams (5-12)
Seattle Seahawks (9-9)		Unknown
Unknown		36.1%
63.9%
+210
-250
+210
-220
+6-115
-5½-108
+6-110
-5-110
19.5
23.2		42.7
o46½-108
u46½-108
o46-110
u46½-110
Dallas Cowboys (13-6)
New York Giants (10-8-1)		Unknown
Unknown		66.2%
33.8%
-150
+135
-155
+135
-3-108
+3-105
-3-110
+3-110
23.9
19.4		43.3
o47-108
u47-108
o46½-110
u47-110
Games for Sep 7, 2023
Games for Sep 11, 2023

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		Final
Points		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Kansas City Chiefs
Philadelphia Eagles		47.4%
52.6%
-101
-115
+110
-114
+0-101
-1-108
+1½-110
-1-110
38
35		-0.72486-0.75080-0.74558
Cincinnati Bengals
Kansas City Chiefs		44.0%
56.0%
+115
-130
+117
-118
+2-108
-2-108
+2-110
-1½-110
20
23		-0.60042-0.61593-0.58071
San Francisco 49ers
Philadelphia Eagles		40.1%
59.9%
+135
-145
+137
-142
+2½+102
-3+105
+3-110
-3+100
7
31		-0.54173-0.54178-0.51218
Dallas Cowboys
San Francisco 49ers		36.7%
63.3%
+165
-175
+170
-180
+3½-108
-3½-104
+3½-110
-3½-110
12
19		-0.46561-0.45497-0.45672
Cincinnati Bengals
Buffalo Bills		32.1%
67.9%
+230
-240
+232
-260
+5½-105
-5½-108
+6-110
-5½-110
27
10		-1.20281-1.22312-1.13479
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles		20.5%
79.5%
+325
-360
+320
-380
+9½-120
-8-108
+8-110
-8-105
7
38		-0.26286-0.26295-0.22998
Jacksonville Jaguars
Kansas City Chiefs		16.5%
83.5%
+415
-450
+435
-526
+9½-108
-9½-105
+9½-110
-9½-110
20
27		-0.21295-0.20086-0.18038
Dallas Cowboys
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		65.2%
34.8%
-135
+125
-140
+130
-2½-108
+2½+100
-2½-110
+2½+100
31
14		-0.57304-0.55696-0.42699
Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals		15.2%
84.8%
+350
-405
+350
-410
+8-110
-7½-103
+7½-110
-7-120
17
24		-0.24458-0.24406-0.16545
New York Giants
Minnesota Vikings		38.0%
62.0%
+130
-145
+133
-145
+2½+102
-3+105
+2½+100
-2½-110
31
24		-0.85918-0.86669-0.96743
Miami Dolphins
Buffalo Bills		18.9%
81.1%
+762
-1050
+800
-1100
+14-110
-14+100
+14-110
-13½-110
31
34		-0.11962-0.11441-0.20938
Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars		47.5%
52.5%
-130
+120
-135
+120
-2-108
+2½-108
-2-110
+2½-110
30
31		-0.80802-0.81706-0.64380
Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco 49ers		20.3%
79.7%
+395
-420
+415
-450
+9½-108
-10+105
+9½-110
-9-110
23
41		-0.22324-0.21295-0.22635
Detroit Lions
Green Bay Packers		36.0%
64.0%
+210
-205
+232
-250
+4-105
-4-108
+5-110
-4-110
20
16		-1.12609-1.21534-1.02029
Dallas Cowboys
Washington Commanders		65.5%
34.5%
-350
+300
-320
+300
-7-110
+7½-110
-7½-110
+7½-105
6
26		-1.41371-1.39812-1.06328
Los Angeles Chargers
Denver Broncos		61.5%
38.5%
+235
-265
+240
-275
+6½-108
-6½-108
+6½-110
-6½-110
28
31		-0.34441-0.33724-0.95482
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 01/29/23
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsMake Div. Rd.Win Div. Rd.Conf. ChampWin Super Bowl
1Kansas City Chiefs (14-3-0)14.03.00.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%47.7%
2Philadelphia Eagles (14-3-0)14.03.00.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%52.3%
3Cincinnati Bengals (12-4-0)12.04.00.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4San Francisco 49ers (13-4-0)13.04.00.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5New York Giants (9-7-1)9.07.01.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Jacksonville Jaguars (9-8-0)9.08.00.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Buffalo Bills (13-3-0)13.03.00.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Dallas Cowboys (12-5-0)12.05.00.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Minnesota Vikings (13-4-0)13.04.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Baltimore Ravens (10-7-0)10.07.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Los Angeles Chargers (10-7-0)10.07.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Miami Dolphins (9-8-0)9.08.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Seattle Seahawks (9-8-0)9.08.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-9-0)8.09.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Detroit Lions (9-8-0)9.08.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Houston Texans (3-13-1)3.013.01.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Carolina Panthers (7-10-0)7.010.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Los Angeles Rams (5-12-0)5.012.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Tennessee Titans (7-10-0)7.010.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Green Bay Packers (8-9-0)8.09.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Cleveland Browns (7-10-0)7.010.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Atlanta Falcons (7-10-0)7.010.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23Arizona Cardinals (4-13-0)4.013.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Chicago Bears (3-14-0)3.014.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Indianapolis Colts (4-12-1)4.012.01.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26New York Jets (7-10-0)7.010.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Washington Commanders (8-8-1)8.08.01.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28New England Patriots (8-9-0)8.09.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29New Orleans Saints (7-10-0)7.010.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Las Vegas Raiders (6-11-0)6.011.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Denver Broncos (5-12-0)5.012.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Pittsburgh Steelers (9-8-0)9.08.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.

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