Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Rio Ave
Gil Vicente FC 		17.1%
58.7%		24.2%
+325
-128
+400
-135
0.76
1.66		2.42
o2¼-111
u2¼-109

Moreirense
Estrela 		31.2%
39.8%		29.0%
+193
+154
+210
+140
1.02
1.18		2.20
o2¼-114
u2¼-105

Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Portimonense
Famalicao		27.3%
47.6%		25.1%
+225
+140
+235
+135
1
0		-1.21963-1.25956-1.29689
Braga
Rio Ave		54.1%
24.0%		21.9%
-140
+375
-130
+355
0
0		-1.41387-1.37212-1.52042
Gil Vicente FC
Benfica		15.8%
70.3%		13.9%
+1400
-435
+1500
-525
2
1		-2.73614-2.82195-1.84820
Maritimo
Belenenses		34.2%
33.3%		32.5%
+282
+116
+260
+125
0
2		-0.81146-0.85982-1.10081
Santa Clara
Vitoria		24.9%
50.7%		24.4%
+240
+133
+245
+125
0
1		-0.87098-0.86140-0.67871
Sporting CP
SC Farense		68.6%
16.5%		14.9%
-141
+454
-155
+450
1
0		-0.56708-0.54932-0.37685
Pacos
Boavista		43.2%
29.0%		27.8%
+225
+146
+235
+135
0
2		-0.93930-0.90503-1.23822
Famalicao
Sporting CP		17.2%
66.4%		16.4%
+575
-161
+600
-205
1
1		-1.38214-1.49598-1.80697
Belenenses
Braga		14.5%
68.2%		17.3%
+725
-259
+700
-250
1
1		-1.59302-1.60674-1.75342
Nacional
Santa Clara		28.3%
44.2%		27.4%
+435
-132
+410
-135
1
5		-0.60006-0.60150-0.81545
Moreirense
Gil Vicente FC		38.1%
34.2%		27.7%
+257
+119
+265
+115
2
1		-1.31423-1.34504-0.96532
Benfica
Pacos		51.6%
25.6%		22.8%
-213
+610
-225
+575
5
0		-0.42757-0.41746-0.66169
Porto
Tondela		72.5%
11.7%		15.8%
-303
+850
-290
+825
2
0		-0.32999-0.34667-0.32154
Rio Ave
Boavista		39.9%
31.8%		28.3%
+176
+186
+170
+180
3
3		-1.14517-1.18026-1.26185
SC Farense
Maritimo		29.2%
44.3%		26.5%
+145
+207
+160
+200
0
1		-1.17662-1.14863-0.81504
Vitoria
Portimonense		52.0%
23.4%		24.6%
+183
+160
+185
+160
0
3		-1.00567-1.01195-1.45355
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.61415 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.71741 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.32961
0.28454
0.38780

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).