Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		32.5%
40.8%		26.7%
+193
+144
+200
+140
1.18
1.35		2.53
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		17.8%
58.9%		23.3%
+430
-150
+445
-150
0.84
1.75		2.59
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Benfica
Arouca 		73.5%
9.4%		17.1%
-370
+900
-370
+930
2.25
0.66		2.91
o3+100
u3-120

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Braga
Pacos		48.2%
27.5%		24.3%
-119
+367
-125
+365
0
0		-1.32776-1.31793-1.41391
Pacos
Portimonense		27.1%
46.0%		26.9%
+240
+133
+250
+130
1
0		-1.26862-1.30001-1.30589
Gil Vicente FC
Santa Clara		25.8%
48.4%		25.7%
+200
+160
+195
+165
0
1		-1.01088-1.02304-0.72493
Tondela
Benfica		9.6%
82.7%		7.6%
+2100
-665
+2500
-950
1
2		-0.15471-0.14742-0.18966
Vitoria
Braga		16.8%
69.0%		14.1%
+355
-129
+330
-125
0
0		-1.35023-1.38502-1.95666
Sporting CP
Famalicao		51.3%
25.8%		22.9%
-180
+548
-190
+600
1
1		-1.43050-1.43318-1.47412
Arouca
Porto		9.1%
83.3%		7.6%
+1410
-550
+1600
-625
0
3		-0.21986-0.19713-0.18273
Boavista
FC Vizela		32.2%
38.5%		29.4%
+205
+149
+210
+145
1
1		-1.19326-1.19448-1.22496
Maritimo
Estoril		25.8%
48.0%		26.2%
+277
+125
+300
+110
1
2		-0.84070-0.78955-0.73430
Santa Clara
Boavista		31.8%
38.4%		29.8%
+195
+161
+200
+160
0
2		-1.00611-1.00550-0.95782
Estoril
Pacos		24.3%
52.3%		23.4%
+260
+125
+280
+115
3
1		-1.31599-1.38462-1.41502
FC Vizela
Vitoria		26.1%
49.3%		24.6%
+326
-110
+350
-120
0
4		-0.67936-0.65433-0.70686
Porto
Maritimo		71.6%
14.4%		14.0%
-220
+710
-240
+775
1
1		-1.49942-1.51000-1.96676
Portimonense
Tondela		37.5%
32.1%		30.4%
+173
+191
+170
+180
3
0		-1.02650-1.04214-0.98035
Belenenses
Sporting CP		11.7%
75.6%		12.7%
+1500
-500
+1500
-500
0
2		-0.23240-0.23081-0.27937
Benfica
Gil Vicente FC		58.9%
21.5%		19.6%
-150
+435
-150
+440
2
0		-0.55837-0.56138-0.53004
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).