Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Rio Ave
Gil Vicente FC 		17.1%
58.7%		24.2%
+330
-127
+400
-135
0.76
1.66		2.42
o2¼-106
u2¼-114

Moreirense
Estrela 		31.2%
39.8%		29.0%
+195
+155
+195
+155
1.02
1.18		2.20
o2¼-108
u2¼-112

Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sporting CP
Moreirense		57.2%
21.8%		21.0%
-230
+800
-230
+800
1
1		-1.53917-1.46166-1.56279
Maritimo
Benfica		16.4%
68.8%		14.8%
+1509
-588
+1700
-675
0
1		-0.19093-0.18839-0.37410
Braga
SC Farense		67.7%
17.8%		14.5%
-130
+360
-145
+425
2
1		-0.61201-0.57235-0.38945
Pacos
Famalicao		39.6%
33.3%		27.0%
+195
+153
+200
+155
0
2		-0.97670-0.98305-1.09916
Tondela
Vitoria		20.8%
58.2%		21.0%
+375
-121
+440
-150
2
1		-1.58323-1.73693-1.56964
Boavista
Belenenses		32.4%
35.3%		32.3%
+220
+149
+195
+175
2
0		-1.20845-1.13392-1.12757
Santa Clara
Porto		12.5%
76.2%		11.3%
+1016
-338
+1100
-350
1
2		-0.30396-0.29990-0.27143
Gil Vicente FC
Rio Ave		27.7%
44.3%		28.1%
+240
+126
+240
+125
2
0		-1.27264-1.27357-1.28536
Portimonense
Nacional		30.4%
38.7%		31.0%
+164
+189
+160
+190
5
1		-1.01608-1.00622-1.19122
Benfica
Braga		35.2%
38.4%		26.5%
+101
+250
+115
+210
2
0		-0.74750-0.81507-1.04518
SC Farense
Boavista		30.4%
41.0%		28.6%
+255
+125
+220
+140
1
0		-1.31751-1.21362-1.19053
Famalicao
Maritimo		35.1%
36.5%		28.4%
+180
+170
+185
+175
4
0		-1.07169-1.09404-1.04771
Belenenses
Rio Ave		25.6%
46.0%		28.4%
+335
+100
+350
-105
0
0		-1.19369-1.19799-1.25864
Vitoria
Sporting CP		24.0%
53.7%		22.3%
+450
-150
+650
-195
0
1		-0.55483-0.46348-0.62153
Porto
Portimonense		77.2%
11.6%		11.2%
-222
+700
-235
+725
2
1		-0.41078-0.40088-0.25882
Moreirense
Pacos		29.4%
43.2%		27.4%
+370
-115
+360
-120
0
3		-0.66499-0.65356-0.83868
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.61415 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.71741 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.32961
0.28454
0.38780

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).