Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		32.5%
40.8%		26.7%
+193
+144
+200
+140
1.18
1.35		2.53
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		17.8%
58.9%		23.3%
+430
-150
+445
-150
0.84
1.75		2.59
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Benfica
Arouca 		73.5%
9.4%		17.1%
-370
+900
-370
+930
2.25
0.66		2.91
o3+100
u3-120

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Braga
Moreirense		43.5%
30.2%		26.3%
-145
+400
-150
+450
3
2		-0.57545-0.56512-0.83142
Famalicao
Arouca		37.6%
34.4%		28.0%
+170
+182
+175
+180
1
2		-1.08122-1.08232-1.06796
Maritimo
Belenenses		23.3%
50.0%		26.6%
+205
+165
+195
+170
2
1		-1.15296-1.13457-1.45487
Pacos
Boavista		30.7%
40.7%		28.6%
+160
+210
+150
+210
0
3		-1.16075-1.18581-0.89791
Moreirense
Santa Clara		28.8%
43.6%		27.6%
+310
+104
+325
-105
2
2		-1.24525-1.24320-1.28717
Porto
Famalicao		56.8%
23.2%		20.1%
-250
+683
-260
+725
2
1		-0.38353-0.37589-0.56607
Gil Vicente FC
Portimonense		25.2%
48.5%		26.3%
+215
+149
+210
+155
1
0		-1.18721-1.17837-1.37706
Sporting CP
Braga		35.3%
36.6%		28.2%
+145
+200
+155
+195
2
1		-0.94410-0.98840-1.04205
Arouca
Benfica		10.4%
81.5%		8.1%
+1163
-425
+1500
-500
0
2		-0.25528-0.23081-0.20426
Tondela
FC Vizela		27.8%
45.7%		26.5%
+200
+140
+200
+140
1
2		-0.91864-0.92284-0.78283
Vitoria
Estoril		32.5%
39.1%		28.4%
+145
+220
+165
+190
0
0		-1.19577-1.15265-1.25780
Boavista
Gil Vicente FC		28.6%
43.2%		28.2%
+370
-111
+400
-120
0
3		-0.68780-0.65792-0.83850
Famalicao
Pacos		31.7%
41.4%		26.9%
+200
+165
+200
+160
0
2		-1.00728-1.00550-0.88232
Belenenses
Porto		10.0%
79.7%		10.3%
+1500
-610
+1450
-625
0
2		-0.20125-0.19872-0.22729
Santa Clara
Tondela		37.4%
32.8%		29.7%
+143
+215
+145
+215
0
3		-1.19571-1.19448-1.11419
Portimonense
Vitoria		32.3%
37.9%		29.8%
+320
-104
+330
-105
1
0		-1.47872-1.50973-1.12930
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).