Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 9, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Rio Ave
Tondela 		27.1%
45.1%		27.9%
+255
+112
+265
+110
0.96
1.33		2.29
o2¼-122
u2¼+102

Games for Mar 8, 2026
Games for Mar 10, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Benfica
Gil Vicente FC		64.4%
14.8%		20.8%
-175
+525
-175
+490
2
1		-0.48315-0.50055-0.44058
Famalicao
Rio Ave		45.1%
27.5%		27.4%
-119
+310
-115
+305
0
0		-1.38422-1.35907-1.29616
Moreirense
Casa Pia AC		37.2%
33.4%		29.3%
+200
+180
+205
+160
1
1		-1.09937-1.13199-1.22632
Santa Clara
Tondela		41.7%
30.2%		28.1%
+165
+215
+155
+215
2
2		-1.08028-1.12927-1.26919
Alverca
Vitoria		15.7%
63.3%		21.0%
+400
-125
+375
-125
1
1		-1.31375-1.30328-1.56117
Braga
Nacional		55.8%
20.0%		24.3%
-200
+525
-175
+480
2
1		-0.45800-0.50053-0.58375
Estrela
AVS		30.0%
42.7%		27.2%
+160
+190
+150
+190
0
0		-1.23018-1.22984-1.30085
Estoril
Sporting CP		4.9%
83.5%		11.6%
+1200
-550
+1275
-575
0
3		-0.20697-0.20874-0.17986
Arouca
Porto		5.3%
82.1%		12.6%
+1400
-455
+1250
-450
1
3		-0.23822-0.25161-0.19664
Casa Pia AC
Famalicao		10.3%
73.3%		16.4%
+525
-172
+515
-175
0
2		-0.49392-0.49979-0.31072
Rio Ave
Porto		4.6%
83.9%		11.6%
+1900
-833
+2100
-950
0
1		-0.15072-0.14908-0.17595
Gil Vicente FC
Estoril		36.2%
34.0%		29.8%
+121
+232
+125
+215
1
3		-1.23863-1.19786-1.07837
Vitoria
Braga		16.7%
60.6%		22.7%
+575
-189
+540
-200
2
3		-0.46142-0.45443-0.50068
AVS
Benfica		3.9%
86.6%		9.5%
+2200
-1000
+2100
-1100
0
3		-0.13787-0.13493-0.14408
Sporting CP
Moreirense		73.1%
9.8%		17.2%
-385
+1000
-420
+1100
3
0		-0.26876-0.26334-0.31351
Nacional
Arouca		27.2%
45.1%		27.7%
+250
+122
+205
+135
0
3		-0.82734-0.90084-0.79613
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).