Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Mallorca
Osasuna 		22.6%
50.1%		27.3%
+390
-127
+390
-125
0.84
1.41		2.25
o2¼+102
u2¼-115
o2-140
u2+120
Girona
Levante 		35.7%
36.7%		27.6%
+151
+180
+150
+182
1.19
1.22		2.41
o2½-108
u2½-112
o2½-105
u2½-110
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid 		11.9%
68.4%		19.7%
+470
-172
+475
-170
0.71
2.03		2.74
o2½-119
u2¾-125
o2½-120
u2½+100
Barcelona
Athletic Club 		58.5%
17.1%		24.4%
-167
+385
-165
+385
1.64
0.76		2.40
o3¼+100
u3¼-112
o3-140
u3+120
Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano		14.1%
65.3%		20.5%
+440
-132
+400
-130
0
3		-0.58807-0.61639-0.42575
Getafe
Real Madrid		5.3%
82.0%		12.7%
+860
-244
+875
-255
1
0		-2.28327-2.31042-2.93276
Celta Vigo
Girona		32.7%
39.1%		28.1%
+206
+156
+208
+136
2
1		-1.14047-1.16658-1.11715
Sevilla
Betis		18.8%
58.9%		22.3%
+405
-123
+375
-132
2
2		-1.34769-1.37678-1.49884
Osasuna
Valencia		29.9%
43.1%		27.0%
+225
+148
+220
+145
0
1		-0.93140-0.93843-0.84102
Espanyol
Elche		30.3%
42.1%		27.6%
+208
+150
+210
+143
2
2		-1.21699-1.21959-1.28735
Atletico Madrid
Oviedo		62.5%
15.5%		22.0%
-127
+420
-130
+406
1
0		-0.60618-0.61797-0.47061
Real Sociedad
Mallorca		37.7%
32.5%		29.7%
+141
+222
+140
+214
1
0		-0.90335-0.92201-0.97535
Villarreal
Barcelona		8.0%
78.0%		14.0%
+620
-256
+638
-260
1
4		-0.35828-0.35089-0.24833
Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano		31.7%
38.6%		29.7%
+215
+156
+215
+145
1
1		-1.16603-1.18071-1.21311
Alaves
Levante		33.6%
37.3%		29.1%
+184
+176
+190
+170
0
2		-1.04180-1.03033-0.98489
Girona
Alaves		28.5%
44.2%		27.3%
+240
+142
+230
+145
2
2		-1.16309-1.13987-1.29708
Valencia
Villarreal		15.8%
63.8%		20.4%
+455
-145
+400
-140
1
2		-0.55255-0.57180-0.44906
Mallorca
Celta Vigo		21.0%
54.1%		24.9%
+429
-127
+375
-125
0
2		-0.61052-0.63828-0.61384
Levante
Barcelona		3.8%
87.2%		9.0%
+2397
-900
+2000
-1100
0
3		-0.12847-0.13353-0.13715
Sevilla
Getafe		29.2%
41.0%		29.8%
+285
+145
+280
+142
1
0		-1.37785-1.36187-1.23169
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.58807 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.61639 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.42575
0.16232
0.19064

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.