Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid		8.5%
76.3%		15.1%
+1000
-365
+900
-350
2
0		-2.42951-2.33966-2.46029
Rayo Vallecano
Espanyol		40.0%
31.8%		28.3%
+225
+146
+212
+140
0
1		-0.92181-0.92394-1.14696
Sevilla
Valencia		25.0%
48.7%		26.4%
+312
+100
+295
+100
1
1		-1.27040-1.29091-1.33317
Girona
Elche		28.0%
44.1%		27.9%
+280
+114
+268
+110
0
3		-0.79197-0.77503-0.81880
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club		31.1%
39.4%		29.5%
+162
+200
+165
+185
0
1		-1.12107-1.09297-0.93214
Barcelona
Betis		57.2%
20.0%		22.8%
-111
+295
-120
+285
5
3		-0.66812-0.64215-0.55932
Real Sociedad
Alaves		30.5%
40.2%		29.4%
+196
+178
+185
+177
0
1		-1.05288-1.06308-0.91237
Getafe
Villarreal		12.7%
67.5%		19.8%
+530
-154
+527
-155
0
2		-0.53297-0.52787-0.39232
Mallorca
Oviedo		36.5%
32.9%		30.6%
+210
+162
+200
+160
0
0		-1.16671-1.14863-1.18358
Real Madrid
Athletic Club		36.9%
34.1%		29.0%
-121
+350
-125
+340
3
0		-0.63609-0.62008-0.99731
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona		15.8%
62.6%		21.5%
+355
-144
+364
-135
1
3		-0.56143-0.57400-0.46804
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano		16.6%
61.5%		21.9%
+295
+111
+300
+110
1
1		-1.21716-1.22271-1.51896
Real Madrid
Girona		63.8%
15.3%		20.9%
-265
+645
-234
+625
1
1		-1.77549-1.73972-1.56380
Espanyol
Celta Vigo		18.9%
58.2%		23.0%
+345
-110
+311
+100
1
0		-1.52818-1.44202-1.66860
Betis
Sevilla		41.3%
30.9%		27.8%
+178
+170
+170
+183
2
0		-1.05682-1.02237-0.88344
Villarreal
Real Sociedad		30.5%
42.5%		27.0%
+154
+190
+160
+185
3
2		-0.96598-0.98136-1.18682
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-1-1 (0.625)0-1.35342 
Sportsbooks42-1-1 (0.625)0-1.33238 
DRatings41-2-1 (0.375)0-1.43980
-0.08638
-0.10742

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.