Champions League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 1, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Paris Saint-Germain
Dortmund 		41.1%
33.4%		25.5%
+141
+183
+145
+180
1.45
1.29		2.74
o3-123
u3+103
o3-125
u3+105
Games for Apr 30, 2024
Games for May 7, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Arsenal
Bayern Munich		19.0%
59.8%		21.2%
+173
+163
+180
+164
0
1		-0.99872-0.99217-0.51480
Real Madrid
Manchester City		14.6%
65.3%		20.1%
+430
-163
+410
-160
4
3		-1.69461-1.65407-1.92237
Atletico Madrid
Dortmund		26.3%
48.8%		24.9%
+217
+123
+210
+125
2
4		-0.83418-0.84756-0.71758
Paris Saint-Germain
Barcelona		26.3%
48.1%		25.6%
+209
+117
+210
+115
4
1		-1.15849-1.16661-1.33522
Barcelona
Paris Saint-Germain		26.3%
48.1%		25.6%
+250
+109
+260
+110
3
2		-1.28248-1.29997-1.33701
Dortmund
Atletico Madrid		26.5%
48.6%		24.9%
+370
-119
+355
-125
1
2		-0.63181-0.62556-0.72216
Bayern Munich
Arsenal		35.0%
38.6%		26.3%
+422
-140
+430
-150
2
2		-1.44621-1.44677-1.33382
Manchester City
Real Madrid		41.5%
31.3%		27.2%
+184
+159
+178
+175
3
3		-1.26606-1.25148-1.30372
Inter
Atletico Madrid		30.2%
41.5%		28.3%
+145
+200
+139
+200
2
3		-1.12868-1.13937-0.87880
PSV Eindhoven
Dortmund		14.6%
68.0%		17.4%
+231
+112
+220
+115
0
2		-0.77679-0.79893-0.38516
Porto
Arsenal		9.9%
73.7%		16.5%
+1050
-343
+1050
-370
2
4		-0.27316-0.27286-0.30566
Napoli
Barcelona		13.7%
67.1%		19.2%
+320
-124
+335
-120
1
3		-0.62405-0.63117-0.39857
RB Leipzig
Real Madrid		14.6%
66.1%		19.3%
+455
-171
+450
-175
1
1		-1.57123-1.62745-1.64512
FC Copenhagen
Manchester City		2.6%
90.6%		6.8%
+1807
-675
+1850
-715
1
3		-0.17208-0.16983-0.09843
Paris Saint-Germain
Real Sociedad		45.4%
28.0%		26.6%
+237
+122
+237
+135
2
1		-1.24414-1.22044-0.79063
Lazio
Bayern Munich		4.8%
85.7%		9.5%
+886
-353
+950
-373
0
3		-0.28110-0.27565-0.15421
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The UEFA Champions League game predictions do not account for injuries, missing players or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be different from the prediction. Even though these teams generally bring their A-teams to Champions League games, please see my disclaimer page for more on the benefits and downfalls of these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.