EFL Cup Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 16, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chelsea
Cardiff City 		74.6%
9.3%		16.1%
-500
+1200

2.39
0.72		3.11
o3-117
u3-103

Games for Dec 15, 2025
Games for Dec 17, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Chelsea
Brentford		57.6%
22.2%		20.2%
+188
+220
+185
+210
2
0		-1.03784-1.04865-0.55118
Sunderland
Arsenal		7.3%
86.4%		6.3%
+1342
-423
+1175
-450
1
5		-0.24279-0.24990-0.14568
Tottenham
Burnley		41.2%
32.4%		26.3%
+112
+275
+105
+270
1
0		-0.78006-0.76873-0.88562
Manchester City
West Ham United		58.7%
22.4%		19.0%
-235
+703
-235
+650
3
5		-2.11246-2.06585-1.49723
Brighton and Hove Albion
Leicester City		23.2%
55.3%		21.5%
+271
+115
+265
+115
2
4		-0.78887-0.80236-0.59258
Liverpool
Preston North End		76.6%
12.8%		10.6%
-218
+602
-230
+600
2
0		-0.41116-0.41015-0.26633
Brentford
Stoke City		43.0%
29.9%		27.0%
+124
+244
+115
+235
2
1		-0.83725-0.81758-0.84323
Leeds United
Arsenal		31.6%
41.6%		26.8%
+360
-123
+345
-125
0
2		-0.62526-0.63365-0.87733
Sunderland
Queens Park Rangers		30.0%
44.0%		26.0%
+310
-115
+300
-115
3
1		-1.44558-1.43658-1.20337
Southampton
Chelsea		16.8%
70.3%		12.9%
+694
-236
+630
-230
3
4		-0.38396-0.41109-0.35278
Leicester City
Millwall		63.7%
19.0%		17.2%
-190
+664
-175
+575
2
0		-0.44399-0.47435-0.45047
Tottenham
Wolverhampton		40.5%
32.9%		26.6%
+140
+226
+150
+215
3
2		-0.90795-0.95062-0.90330
West Ham United
Manchester United		20.9%
61.9%		17.1%
+523
-175
+490
-180
1
0		-1.86323-1.82691-1.56308
AFC Wimbledon
Arsenal		7.4%
87.1%		5.5%
+2221
-720
+1500
-725
0
3		-0.14718-0.18029-0.13806
Aston Villa
Chelsea		16.8%
69.7%		13.4%
+850
-270
+725
-270
3
4		-0.34201-0.36476-0.36093
Swansea City
Brighton and Hove Albion		19.5%
61.5%		19.1%
+950
-280
+900
-310
0
2		-0.33542-0.33045-0.48660
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The League Cup is an annual tournament organized by the English Football League. The tournament comprises of all the teams in the top four divisions of English football: the Premier League, English Championship, League One, and League Two. Projections for the seven round tournament are listed above and are based on the result after 90 minutes.